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Democracy Institute/Sunday Express Poll: Trump bump is official
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:12 pm
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:12 pm
Express
Two thirds of voters also think that the economy is bouncing back in the US after coronavirus and 59 percent think Trump is best to handle an economic recovery.However, President Trump supporters are still shy of admitting they back him with 72 percent not wanting to admit it to friends and family compared to 28 percent for Biden.
National Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 45%
Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
Battleground States – Popular Vote Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 49%
Biden = 42%
Undecided = 10%
Florida – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 9%
Minnesota – Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
New Hampshire – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 10%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)270 needed to win
Trump = 319 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 219
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 3%
Biden voters: Yes = 9%
Two thirds of voters also think that the economy is bouncing back in the US after coronavirus and 59 percent think Trump is best to handle an economic recovery.However, President Trump supporters are still shy of admitting they back him with 72 percent not wanting to admit it to friends and family compared to 28 percent for Biden.
National Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 45%
Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
Battleground States – Popular Vote Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 49%
Biden = 42%
Undecided = 10%
Florida – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 9%
Minnesota – Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
New Hampshire – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 10%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)270 needed to win
Trump = 319 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 219
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 3%
Biden voters: Yes = 9%
This post was edited on 8/31/20 at 6:17 pm
12
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:14 pm to MrLSU
Black Lives Matter
Q “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America?”
Black Lives Matter = 26%
All Lives Matter = 74%
Monuments / Statues
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the removal of historic monuments and statues because certain individuals or groups find them offensive?”
Approve 15%
Disapprove 79%
Don’t Know 6%
Candidate CharacteristicsBiden’s Mental AcuityQ “Do you think Joe Biden is experiencing some form of cognitive decline, such as the early stages of dementia?”
Yes = 59%
No = 40%
Don’t know = 1%
Q “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America?”
Black Lives Matter = 26%
All Lives Matter = 74%
Monuments / Statues
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the removal of historic monuments and statues because certain individuals or groups find them offensive?”
Approve 15%
Disapprove 79%
Don’t Know 6%
Candidate CharacteristicsBiden’s Mental AcuityQ “Do you think Joe Biden is experiencing some form of cognitive decline, such as the early stages of dementia?”
Yes = 59%
No = 40%
Don’t know = 1%
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:15 pm to MrLSU
Both Emerson and Democracy Institute have the exact same Black/African American result with their polls:
Biden 77%
Trump 19%
Biden 77%
Trump 19%
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:16 pm to MrLSU
If Trump gets 20% of Black votes, and 40% of Hispanic voters, this will be an electoral landslide.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:16 pm to MrLSU
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Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:18 pm to MrLSU
quote:
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 3%
Biden voters: Yes = 9%
This, to me, is the most important number
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:19 pm to MrLSU
If Trump gets 19 and 39 percent of the black and brown vote in 2020, that would be 11% increases for both over 2016. It'd be a landslide Trump win.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:21 pm to MrLSU
Biden’s done. It’s over.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:21 pm to MrLSU
quote:
Q “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America?”
Black Lives Matter = 26%
All Lives Matter = 74%
Take that you racists!!!!!
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:22 pm to OchoDedos
Bush got 44% of the Hispanic vote in 2004. I wish Trump could do that well.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:27 pm to Jake88
quote:
Bush got 44% of the Hispanic vote in 2004. I wish Trump could do that well.
I think he just might. I think 19% of the black vote is a stretch, and 39% of the brown vote is a bit conservative.
I work with many hispanic and latino people; they've been pretty outspoken that the left's adherence to BLM has them feeling like they're on the outside looking in. A few who are devout Democrats said when Biden picked Harris, Trump got their vote.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:51 pm to OchoDedos
quote:
If Trump gets 20% of Black votes, and 40% of Hispanic voters, this will be an electoral landslide.
It would be epic and hilarious if Trump (aka racist Hitler) sets historic GOP minority voting records after McCain and Romney couldn’t do shite.
RIP GOPe
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:53 pm to MrLSU
Just came in to say that 45% of white people can go die in a fire. Thank you
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:56 pm to MrLSU
Can’t be true. MSM told me Trump didn’t get a convention bounce. They wouldn’t lie. Right?
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:56 pm to MrLSU
So I want to believe all of this. And many indicators point to this being correct.
What if we are being had? What if these polls are an attempt to suppress the Trump vote. ‘Stay home, this one is in the bag’.
Moral is, get out and vote for him. Bring your friends. Just not your shitty friends.
What if we are being had? What if these polls are an attempt to suppress the Trump vote. ‘Stay home, this one is in the bag’.
Moral is, get out and vote for him. Bring your friends. Just not your shitty friends.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:56 pm to MrLSU
quote:
When a candidate changes his tune three quarters of the way through a race, it is not because he knows he holds a winning hand. He does so because the electoral ground is shifting beneath his feet.
The Biden campaign made this move for one simple reason. Its own internal polling numbers revealed what Democracy Institute/Sunday Express polls have shown for the past three months: the overwhelming majority of Americans, including Black voters, are opposed to the organised anarchy – looting, vandalism, mayhem, and murdering of innocent people – explicitly and implicitly cheered on by a considerable cabal of Democratic politicians, while an even larger number simply turned a blind eye.
Back in June or July, George Will did an interview in which he perhaps accurately stated that the only way that Trump wins the election is if the riots and unrest were to continue through the election, but (wrongfully) dismissed that as a possibility, claiming that riots always fizzle out - as if he's got his finger on the pulse of the street.
Maybe in the old days, but he underestimated the incompetence of the mayors and councils of these cities and the extent of the lack of respect for authority in some of these kids, especially when urged on by their "leaders" and corporate America.
I've been unable to find the interview but would be interesting to get his take now.
Posted on 8/31/20 at 6:58 pm to MrLSU
quote:
Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
Posted on 8/31/20 at 7:46 pm to MrLSU
If the election were held today
*they say 319 to 219 in their poll, but they must’ve left out the EV from ME-2.
*they say 319 to 219 in their poll, but they must’ve left out the EV from ME-2.
This post was edited on 8/31/20 at 7:50 pm
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