re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

quote:

---

Hospital bed utilization due to covid19 is dropping

---

But there appears to be phenomenon happening where the ratio hospitalizations to deaths increase as both a function of time and severity. I think this is likely due to 3 reasons:

1. The natural lag of death after hospitalization as a progressions of the virus.
2. Some people start seeking hospitalization later on further along in the illnesses’.
-This means they would naturally spend less time in the hospital, which decreases utilization.
-They are probably more likely to die (too late), which increases deaths.
3. People start to die outside the hospital.

2 and 3 (especially) may not get counted in the death totals though, since they’re less likely to be “confirmed deaths;” that is unless they’re counted as probable deaths.

That being said, it appears that before a place hits its peak, the hospitalization data starts to indicate something more promising—if not the complete opposite—than the death data will indicate, for a while at least.