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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/7/20 at 2:21 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 4/7/20 at 2:21 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
4
Posted on 4/7/20 at 2:39 pm to Chromdome35
CHROME .. change of informatin for Louisiana on 4/6:
JBE just said that number reported was incorrect and the correct number is 1981 for those entering date/keeping track
JBE just said that number reported was incorrect and the correct number is 1981 for those entering date/keeping track
Posted on 4/7/20 at 2:43 pm to tiger91
Thanks I'll go look and update to match whatever WoM has it at now.
UPDATE: WoM still shows the numbers I have down for LA. If they update I will.
UPDATE: WoM still shows the numbers I have down for LA. If they update I will.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 2:55 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 3:34 pm to Chromdome35
Maybe today is starting the peak of deaths?
Posted on 4/7/20 at 3:37 pm to Chromdome35
The US just passed the death total for H1N1 with a total of 12,561 deaths as of now.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
quote:
From April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, CDC estimated there were 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (range: 195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (range: 8868-18,306) in the United States due to the (H1N1)pdm09 virus.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 3:40 pm
Posted on 4/7/20 at 3:45 pm to Chromdome35
NJ and GA both showed large increases in deaths from yesterday. NJ went from 86 to 229, GA went from 33 to 100.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:07 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
The US just passed the death total for H1N1 with a total of 12,561 deaths as of now
Has to do with who is impacted....
COVID-19 has a big impact on those that are elderly or preexisting conditions, which are the majority of the 7800 people that die every day in the United States. They are counting any death when someone tests positive, regardless if COVID-19 was the reason. How are we doing compared to total infected and hospitalizations? Also, how did that do with relation to the flu 2 years ago?
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:18 pm to tiger91
quote:
change of informatin for Louisiana on
The number of Covid patients on ventilators went from 563 down to 519 statewide. How this decrease came about is probably sad but the fact that we are putting fewer people on vents has to be a good sign.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:29 pm to DMAN1968
How this decrease came about is probably sad
There were 70 deaths reported in todays numbers, 35 more than the day before.
Vent was down from yesterday numbers by 44.
SO hopefully some came off of the vent as opposed to all dying. And I'm assuming that not all 70 deaths happened between reporting yesterday and today .. and perhaps the same with vents.
But YES less vents is a good sign "in general".
There were 70 deaths reported in todays numbers, 35 more than the day before.
Vent was down from yesterday numbers by 44.
SO hopefully some came off of the vent as opposed to all dying. And I'm assuming that not all 70 deaths happened between reporting yesterday and today .. and perhaps the same with vents.
But YES less vents is a good sign "in general".
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:31 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
death total for H1N1
Still well under H1N1 upper range ,fwiw
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:32 pm to McLemore
For a couple more days...
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:43 pm to Chromdome35
Recoveries should more than double deaths by now. It's now glaringly obvious that recoveries are being under-reported.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:46 pm to imjustafatkid
My state doesn't even report recoveries. They stay in the total state number.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 4:58 pm to LosLobos111
US Peak is projected April 16th.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:01 pm to Chromdome35
Yeah I really didn't have a grand point, except to point out the range. And I guess there is some slight issue with H1N1 reporting compared to CV19 w deaths. We're obviously much more keyed in with this thing.
But I guess we all should be used to being downvoted for making factual statements.
But I guess we all should be used to being downvoted for making factual statements.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:04 pm to uppermidwestbama
Florida 4/7 6 pm stats:
14504 total cases
1777 total hospitalized
283 deaths (1.9% - increased last 3 days but will below 3% national)
5126 Dade
2230 Broward
1159 Palm Beach
Well over 50% of all cases in S Florida.
768 in Orlando
608 in Tampa
14504 total cases
1777 total hospitalized
283 deaths (1.9% - increased last 3 days but will below 3% national)
5126 Dade
2230 Broward
1159 Palm Beach
Well over 50% of all cases in S Florida.
768 in Orlando
608 in Tampa
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:13 pm to Chromdome35
I've said in the thread a couple of times that I felt like testing was a real constraint on the total number of cases we're seeing.
I explored this thought today by comparing the new cases per day vs. the # positive tests per day which yielded the graph below.
The number of cases and it's slowing growth is not an accurate indicator of the success of any of the mitigation strategies.
I explored this thought today by comparing the new cases per day vs. the # positive tests per day which yielded the graph below.
The number of cases and it's slowing growth is not an accurate indicator of the success of any of the mitigation strategies.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:16 pm to Chromdome35
Do you mean new cases versus total tests?
Posted on 4/7/20 at 5:20 pm to Chromdome35
Maybe I’m not understanding your last sentence. If less people are showing symptoms, then I’d think less tests would be taken. Mitigation efforts could easily be the driving factor behind this.
This post was edited on 4/7/20 at 5:21 pm
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