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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/4/20 at 10:56 pm to Taxing Authority
Posted on 4/4/20 at 10:56 pm to Taxing Authority
Some testing weirdness from CA...
LINK (Twitter)

LINK (Twitter)
quote:
The biggest thing in this update is that California added 75k+ negative test results and only 1300 new positives. This must be a reporting restatement.
It's a HUGE change in the testing metrics for the state, and it is very good news, if the numbers can be believed.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 11:10 pm to Taxing Authority
I think one of the takeaways from this will be the need for a much more consistent and reliable reporting system.
There is a lot of variability in the numbers due to different states reporting in different ways.
Its slowed down the response to the outbreak.
There is a lot of variability in the numbers due to different states reporting in different ways.
Its slowed down the response to the outbreak.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 11:17 pm to Taxing Authority
Backlog?
California has tested 126,000 people. Of those, 13,000 test results are still pending as of Friday. That's down from the 59,500 pending results that were reported Thursday.
LINK
California has tested 126,000 people. Of those, 13,000 test results are still pending as of Friday. That's down from the 59,500 pending results that were reported Thursday.
LINK
Posted on 4/4/20 at 11:33 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
I think one of the takeaways from this will be the need for a much more consistent and reliable reporting system.
There is a lot of variability in the numbers due to different states reporting in different ways.
Its slowed down the response to the outbreak.
That is what has made this entire thing confusing when trying to analyze some of the numbers.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 11:43 pm to Chromdome35
quote:Would be simple to do. But government is in charge of it so...
I think one of the takeaways from this will be the need for a much more consistent and reliable reporting system.
quote:Yep.
Its slowed down the response to the outbreak.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 12:31 am to Chromdome35
Do you think they became part of today’s statistics?
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:50 am to RD Dawg
RD Dawg
RD, I did not post in reply to you. Sorry if misconstrued. I'm interested in Fla. numbers specifically. Actually typed that at 6pm and forget to hit enter to post, LoL.
quote:
The link I posted is a PREDICTER of Influenza and has been a pretty accurate barometer CV-19. Nothing to do with today's numbers
RD, I did not post in reply to you. Sorry if misconstrued. I'm interested in Fla. numbers specifically. Actually typed that at 6pm and forget to hit enter to post, LoL.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:13 am to dafif
FLORIDA-Current
11545 total cases
1470 hospital admissions
195 deaths.
Point 1 - clearly no hospital overload
Point 2 1.68% death rate
Point 3 apporx 6700 cases in Palm Beach, Ft Laud and Miami.
11545 total cases
1470 hospital admissions
195 deaths.
Point 1 - clearly no hospital overload
Point 2 1.68% death rate
Point 3 apporx 6700 cases in Palm Beach, Ft Laud and Miami.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:29 am to dafif
Great start to the day so far. Lower than normal at this point, even for a Sunday.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 9:23 am to TigerFanatic99
as people have been noticing, it is time to stop thinking of this as a national outbreak.
the top hotspots outside of nyc msa (just in terms of total numbers)
la
mich
ill
wash
cali
account for a whopping grand total of 1800 deaths after at least 3 months of outbreak. that includes cali with a huge, huge contingent of asians and frequent travel between cali and chini
this is neither a national outbreak nor a bad outbreak. nyc is skewing the numbers in a way that can't be overstated.
shutting down the country has been a monumental mistake.
the top hotspots outside of nyc msa (just in terms of total numbers)
la
mich
ill
wash
cali
account for a whopping grand total of 1800 deaths after at least 3 months of outbreak. that includes cali with a huge, huge contingent of asians and frequent travel between cali and chini
this is neither a national outbreak nor a bad outbreak. nyc is skewing the numbers in a way that can't be overstated.
shutting down the country has been a monumental mistake.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:04 am to TigerFanatic99
quote:
Great start to the day so far. Lower than normal at this point, even for a Sunday.
I'm not overly stoked because weekend reporting is consistently hinky, but, as you suggest, it is trending down and we'll take it.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:15 am to Ace Midnight
This is the week that you will see the results from social distancing and shuttingn down businesses, events, and sports.
There will be plenty of death, but you will see more recoveries and continued decrease in new confirmed cases growth rate.
The deaths you will see this week are mostly from the first week before social distancing/shutdown or the first week into it (already exposed).
For NYC we will know if they are over the peak this week.
There will be plenty of death, but you will see more recoveries and continued decrease in new confirmed cases growth rate.
The deaths you will see this week are mostly from the first week before social distancing/shutdown or the first week into it (already exposed).
For NYC we will know if they are over the peak this week.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:15 am to Ace Midnight
667 new deaths today. Nearly 10k new cases. Ugh.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:18 am to mmcgrath
600 of those are in New York 
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:20 am to mmcgrath
quote:
667 new deaths today. Nearly 10k new cases. Ugh.
Middling projection for today is ~1500 deaths. Headed for mid 2000s next weekend.
This is going to get worse before it gets better.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 10:21 am
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:22 am to Ace Midnight
“Worse” in numbers of deaths but that is expected given the % of those on vents not making it. To me “worse” would be spikes in hospitalizations and vent use but I’m just voicing my thoughts.
Not by any means saying deaths aren’t bad but it’s a crapshoot it seems.
Oh and Cuomo just said 75% of those in ny are being discharged from hospital. Also he said “the vulnerable should stay isolated and protected”. Really?
Why am I home?
Not by any means saying deaths aren’t bad but it’s a crapshoot it seems.
Oh and Cuomo just said 75% of those in ny are being discharged from hospital. Also he said “the vulnerable should stay isolated and protected”. Really?
Why am I home?
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 10:23 am
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:23 am to Ace Midnight
quote:
Middling projection for today is ~1500 deaths. Headed for mid 2000s next weekend.
This is going to get worse before it gets better.
The projections for April 5th were above 1,500, according to this.
We are pretty much right on track. And yes, it will get worse for 10-12 days, in terms of deaths.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:24 am to tiger91
quote:
“Worse” in numbers of deaths but that is expected given the % of those on vents not making it. To me “worse” would be spikes in hospitalizations and vent use but I’m just voicing my thoughts.
Maybe I'm focusing on effects too much. Personally, I DGAF about hospitalization spikes, assuming they're getting reasonable outcomes. Now, ventilator - that's almost a death sentence, so that is a concern.
Deaths being, ultimately, a trailing indicator of the pandemic waning doesn't make it better for folks who lose people at the end of the chain.
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