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re: CBO: Trump’s Tariffs Could Slash Deficit by $4 Trillion

Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:32 am to
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
23956 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Napkin math. But you get the gist

I don’t mind paying down the debt. Even if they hide the way it is accomplished.
Posted by ole man
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
17950 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:37 am to
Sure……Dude… everybody gets your drift.
Posted by Out da box
Member since Feb 2018
923 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:37 am to
Exporting countries (their companies) are largely eating the cost. The reason is US competitors set the bar on price. Foreign companies either overcharge US competiitor prices (which will result in loss of market share) or they eat the cost. They eat cost because they use slave labor…..
That’s the whole point….level the labor wages playing field globally…

Posted by Free888
Member since Oct 2019
3264 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:45 am to
quote:

While raising the cost to consumers over that time by $3.3 trillion


Complete BS. For example, Toyota has already said they’ll make up the difference on Japanese made autos by cutting the margins on US made autos.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115230 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:48 am to
quote:

quote:
So, not 100%, which was (and is) my point.
You should read the survey.


Does the survey say that every dollar of tariff is being passed on directly to the consumer?
Posted by RealDawg
Dawgville
Member since Nov 2012
11309 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:50 am to
quote:

While raising the cost to consumers over that time by $3.3 trillion


And yet, prices haven’t been passed along yet.

You know why? Competition.

Raise prices at your own risk. Either way, consumers can make a choice.
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
26618 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:52 am to
quote:

So why would a foreign company locate HERE to manufacture? Why would they locate in one of the most expensive countries on planet earth to manufacture in?


I mean, aren't there a lot of foreign investments promising just that right now? So there has to be something there correct?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298500 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:53 am to
quote:


And yet, prices haven’t been passed along yet.

You know why? Competition.


Wrong. Trump delayed many tariffs because of market instability.

Your price increases lag.

Posted by Drizzt
Cimmeria
Member since Aug 2013
14881 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:55 am to
SFP with his typical awful take totally untethered from reality.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:56 am to
quote:

Because there's one variable in your math not accounted for. Everyone assume "buy American" means a US company on US soil. But they've tweaked that and a foreign company can manufacture on US soil in this case. There's your capital entropy and jobs (with wages being TBD) right there.
This doen'st really help though. It's not a lack of capital availability that keeps manufacturing from locating here, it's the cost to produce goods.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:00 am to
quote:

How do you get the domestic manufacturing without the higher prices?
It's literally the entire point of tariffs.

What's funny is proponents think that domestic goods won't increase in price. That when imported prices rise, domestic producers will simply choose to produce at discounted prices relative to imports. Why the hell would they do that?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476309 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:01 am to
quote:

SFP with his typical awful take totally untethered from reality.

The 4 goals?

1. Raising tax revenue
2. Bringing manufacturing home
3. National Security
4. Refinancing the debt

You're saying these 4 arguments have not been used to justify tariffs?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Tariffs don't affect domestic products, produce and services.
Of course they do. Let's say I sell a product, and it competes with a Chinese import. My price is $1. Chinese price is $0.98. The tariff raises the chinese price to $1.50, so I won't have to compete with them. What will my price be?

HINT: It's not $1.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:04 am to
quote:

That’s the whole point….level the labor wages playing field globally…
The tariffs so far are not where near high enough to do this. In many cases they'd need to be 2-300%.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
55612 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:06 am to
Ignorance.


Tariffs are in place now. It is those tariffs that the CBO is calculating. So your argument is complete BS.

Posted by Free888
Member since Oct 2019
3264 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:07 am to
quote:

The 4 goals? 1. Raising tax revenue 2. Bringing manufacturing home 3. National Security 4. Refinancing the debt


Possibly the biggest reason is to correct the balance of trade disparity. If you look at the tariffs, they’re based on addressing that.

Regarding the concerns over higher prices if manufactured in the US, wages improve for US citizens allowing them to also afford higher prices. This is offset by an improved individual tax situation for them, as the overall tax revenue base increases.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Does the survey say that every dollar of tariff is being passed on directly to the consumer?
It also doesn't show that you're not a child molester. But hey... it' clearly shows businesses plan to pass more of the cost along than they currently are. If you want to argue absurdum absolutes, feel free.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13386 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:08 am to
quote:

What's funny is proponents think that domestic goods won't increase in price. That when imported prices rise, domestic producers will simply choose to produce at discounted prices relative to imports. Why the hell would they do that?


Yeah, I've tried to make them understand that too.

They don't give any answer and just downvote when I have brought that up.

But it's common sense.

If your market position as a domestic auto company is that you get the market share of people who choose you over a foreign company like BMW, for example, because you provide a cheaper alternative, and BMW increases in price by 20%, you can also raise your price and still maintain the same gap between the foreign competitor and your product.

Why in the hell anyone thinks you wouldn't do that I have no idea.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13386 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:11 am to
quote:

I mean, aren't there a lot of foreign investments promising just that right now?


I don't know the details of any of that, but wouldn't it stand to reason that there has to be something else to sweeten that deal? Tax exemptions or the like?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63261 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Possibly the biggest reason is to correct the balance of trade disparity.
Given our strong currency, why do you believe this needs to be "solved". Why should trade with every country be "balanced"?

quote:

Regarding the concerns over higher prices if manufactured in the US, wages improve for US citizens allowing them to also afford higher prices.
Exactly! If we went around breaking windows, then businesses would have to hire glass installers, glass installers would have to buy glass, then the glass installers and glass manufacturers would have more money to spend at the businesses that had broken windows! Brilliant! Let's go break windows! We'll all be rich!
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