- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Biden's lead in polling average is the highest at this stage in campaign since 1996
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Big Scrub TX
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:33 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
There's nuance, but the pollsters aren't complete idiots.
How many had hillary with an 80%+ chance of winning again?
0
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:34 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
I've said for months that I think Trump will win. And I still believe that.
You also said the Supreme Court isn't political, so.............
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:34 am to oogabooga68
What a fricking maroon
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:35 am to Flats
quote:
You also said the Supreme Court isn't political, so.............
Seriously Mickey, you said that shite?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:36 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:At this stage, these are nothing but deliberate suppression polls.
I've said for months that I think Trump will win. And I still believe that. These polls are going to have to really rethink how they are performing after 2 presidential elections that show how off they are.
Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll has Trump approval identical with Obama's on this day four years ago –– 49%.
A 7% differential is not a mistake. It is a lie.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:37 am to Mickey Goldmill
Completely irrelevant in the era of Trump.
Response rates for polls in 2000 was something like 35%. Today it's less than 2%.
Also, a candidate losing the popular vote and winning the electoral college was always considered an anomaly. Not so any longer.
If Biden wins the national popular vote by 2% or less, he loses.
As a matter of fact, he could win it by as much as 4% and still lose.
The national polling is worthless. Actually that's not true, it's only worth is as evidence that polls are meaningless.
Response rates for polls in 2000 was something like 35%. Today it's less than 2%.
Also, a candidate losing the popular vote and winning the electoral college was always considered an anomaly. Not so any longer.
If Biden wins the national popular vote by 2% or less, he loses.
As a matter of fact, he could win it by as much as 4% and still lose.
The national polling is worthless. Actually that's not true, it's only worth is as evidence that polls are meaningless.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:42 am to Mickey Goldmill
The bigger the lie the more believable
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:45 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Anyone who thinks Trump is leading presently is deluding themselves. And BTW - the polls were pretty accurate in 2016. There's nuance, but the pollsters aren't complete idiots.
Damn, son. This exact thing just happened in 2016 and you're questioning it. Wow, talk about refusing reality...
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:46 am to Mickey Goldmill
Hillary only led by 1.4 points in 538's polling going into the first debate in 2016.
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 11:47 am
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:47 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
These polls are going to have to really rethink how they are performing after 2 presidential elections that show how off they are.
if Trump wins again and this happens, it's almost worthy of a public inquiry or DOJ investigation
this seems like it would take coordination to commit, effectively fraud and/or influence elections, which could be a RICO case, theoretically
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:48 am to Mickey Goldmill
I care about states
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:49 am to Mickey Goldmill
Fantastic for a guy who can't draw flies at a 'rally'.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:14 pm to oogabooga68
quote:
Seriously Mickey, you said that shite?
He did.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:16 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
These polls are going to have to really rethink how they are performing after 2 presidential elections that show how off they are.
They aren’t seeking truth. They are seeking a result.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:18 pm to Mickey Goldmill
the sad thing is you think its real. its literally like last election cycle didn't happen, nobody ont eh left learned any lessons. over poll democrats to try to create voter suppression polls, believe your own skewed polls, be shocked when trump wins, lose shite
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 12:19 pm
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:19 pm to narddogg81
quote:
the sad thing is you think its real. its literally like last election cycle didn't happen, nobody ont eh left learned any lessons. over poll democrats to try to create voter suppression polls, believe your own skewed polls, be shocked when trump wins, lose shite
Did you not read my post at all?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:20 pm to roadGator
quote:
They aren’t seeking truth. They are seeking a result.
Is this even debatable at this point? As it gets nearer they'll talk about uncertainty and margin of error because they want to maintain credibility, but most polls are about impacting the election, not predicting it.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:27 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:I suspect that would be a big fat no
Did you not read my post at all?
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:30 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:Yes, need to make sure that we're not just looking dumbly at popular vote without regard to electoral map.
National polls, sure because states like California exist. State polls were horrible though.
But don't kid yourself - Trump is actually behind on the electoral map and it is not looking good. The Senate is in play as well, which is what I care most about.
Posted on 10/1/20 at 12:32 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
But don't kid yourself - Trump is actually behind on the electoral map and it is not looking good
Trump has defied every expectation of the American political class since 2015. The idea the election is over with more than a month before election day is absolutely irresponsible, but not surprising of the Mockingbird media.
Page 2 of 4
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News