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re: are there still people who still believe the earth is warming and man caused it?

Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:19 am to
Posted by DCRebel
An office somewhere
Member since Aug 2009
17644 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Because, believe it or not, the US is not the entire world. Also, believe it or not, weather is not the same as climate.



Exactly. This "omg it's sooooo cold where I live right now so global warming is a sham" argument is weak and ignorant.

For the record, it's just as bad as saying "oh man it's so hot outside where I live, so global warming is totally legit."

The weather of any given place at any given time isn't evidence for or against climate change. This is because weather and climate aren't the same thing.
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 10:21 am
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117588 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:21 am to
quote:

No - they've shifted - now, any extreme weather is man's fault.


Non extreme weather is also man's fault. We had the quietest hurricane season ever in 2013. That's just not natural.
Posted by Vegas Bengal
Member since Feb 2008
26344 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:23 am to
Whenever there are record highs, the first folks who post that you can't take a few days of high temperatures into account in analyzing GW are the first who start threads when it's freezing.
Posted by KeyserSoze999
Member since Dec 2009
10608 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:26 am to
link?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63365 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Exactly, and points like OP is making about weather have no place in the discussion.
Yes and no. Certainly a single weather event doesn't prove anything about multi-decodal cyclical trend.

But it does highlight fact that natural variation > the cumulative effect of "global warming". It would seem clear that CO2 is not the determining driver of surface temps some make it out to be.

It's also curious to see how attitudes about the significance of weather events have changed since the 2005 hurricane season...
Posted by lsutothetop
TigerDroppings Elite
Member since Jul 2008
11323 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:28 am to
I'm a skeptic too but pointing to one abnormally low day doesn't disprove a trend.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95646 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:30 am to
quote:

It's also curious to see how attitudes about the significance of weather events have changed since the 2005 hurricane season...


The dearth of hurricanes is man's fault.

LINK

Literally cannot make this up. If there are too many? Man's fault. Not enough? Man's fault. But they cannot tell us the "just right" number of North Atlantic hurricanes for a season.

This would just go easier if we shut up and gave them our money, wouldn't it?
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117588 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:37 am to
quote:

I'm a skeptic too but pointing to one abnormally low day doesn't disprove a trend.


I'm not a skeptic. I know GW is a fraud. Here is the bottom line:

In order for the GW people to be correct it requires that they go 3 for 3 at bat:

1. The earth is warming at an unnatural level.

2. Man is causing it.

3. There will be dire consequences.

If No. 1 is false then why should we do anything? The earth is not warming.

If No. 1 is true and No. 2 is false; why should we do anything? It's natural warming, not man made.

If No. 1 is true and No. 2 is true but No. 3 is false then why do anything? There are no negative impacts.

ALL THREE must be true for GW people to win the day. I believe that all 3 are false.
Posted by Vegas Bengal
Member since Feb 2008
26344 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:42 am to
This might surprise you but when it's winter here, it's summer in the Southern Hemisphere and they're experiencing record heat:

Blistering heat that formed over the Nullarbor at the end of December and continues over parts of inland Australia smashed temperature records and was a “highly significant” event, the Bureau of Meteorology said.

In a special climate statement released late on Monday, the bureau said the latest heatwave, while less extensive and prolonged as the record-breaking hot spell to start 2013, was still a remarkable event. The report comes just days after the bureau confirmed last year was Australia’s hottest in more than a century of records, easily beating 2005.

“A major feature of the (latest) heatwave was the very large margin by which some records were broken, particularly in northern New South Wales,” the bureau said. “At Narrabri (in NSW), the 47.8 degrees observed on 3 January surpassed the previous record by 3.6 degrees, the largest such margin at any Australian location with 40 or more years of data.”

Read more: LINK
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 10:44 am
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:44 am to
quote:

It would seem clear that CO2 is not the determining driver of surface temps some make it out to be.

It's not the driver, it's just the accelerator.
quote:

It's also curious to see how attitudes about the significance of weather events have changed since the 2005 hurricane season...

Obviously, it's foolish to point to any weather event or series of events as evidence of anything related to climate. People using these events as evidence in either direction should probably be ignored.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117588 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:49 am to
quote:

This might surprise you but when it's winter here, it's summer in the Southern Hemisphere

Doesn't surprise me. I learned that in 4th grade.

quote:

and they're experiencing record heat:


And the ice breakers in Antarctica with the GW scientists are stuck in record ice. So, what's your point?
Posted by Vegas Bengal
Member since Feb 2008
26344 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:50 am to

quote:

So, what's your point?



quote:

The report comes just days after the bureau confirmed last year was Australia’s hottest in more than a century of records, easily beating 2005.
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16880 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:52 am to
quote:


The report comes just days after the bureau confirmed last year was Australia’s hottest in more than a century of records, easily beating 2005.

quote:

Obviously, it's foolish to point to any weather event or series of events as evidence of anything related to climate. People using these events as evidence in either direction should probably be ignored.

Posted by red_giraffe
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2012
1069 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:55 am to
And pink unicorns exist on Mars.

Are you guys going to quit circle jerking your unsupported claims or are you actually going to try and link something like, I don't know, actual unbiased sources that support your arguments.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117588 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:55 am to
Did you just call Vegas a fool?
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:55 am to
Can anyone post a picture of the Bloomberg cover after Hurricane Sandy, titled "It's Global Warming, Stupid"?
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29105 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 10:56 am to
quote:

1. The earth is warming at an unnatural level.

Multiple lines of evidence indicate that the earth has warmed in the last century by an amount that normally takes hundreds, if not thousands of years.
quote:

2. Man is causing it.

We know that we are adding to the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, and numerous experiments and calculations indicate that CO2 contributes to global heat retention.
quote:

3. There will be dire consequences.

There is really no disputing that very few degrees of change results in drastic changes to the planet. The difference between now and an ice age is only 5C, what would 5C in the other direction do? The honest answer is we don't know, but apparently you have no problem with wanting to find out.


You can dispute these points all you want, but your beliefs are far from being "the bottom line".
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115439 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Multiple lines of evidence indicate that the earth has warmed since the mid 1800s by an amount that normally takes hundreds, if not thousands of years


Look up "little ice age."

Also, since you seem to know so much about it, maybe YOU can tell me what the Earth's global temperature is SUPPOSED to be.

You see, the paleoclimatic record reflects that the Earth's been a shitload warmer that it is right now (or even where the most dire AGW/CC prediction models claim), as well as a shitload cooler (which is why we don't have a mile+ ice sheet on top of Chicago right now) - ALL of this without a single SUV or coal burning power plant.

In fact, the temperature variances show that the northern hemisphere was substantially warmer than it is now (or is projected to be in most AGW/CC models) within the last 1000 years (Medieval Climate Optimum), which is why Greenland was called that, and why you used to be able to grow wine grapes in Britain.

So, again, what is the "global" temperature SUPPOSED to be? Because it seems THAT is the question that MUST be answered before we start wringing our hands.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
167482 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 11:05 am to
Did you pledge monthly to save the poor polar bears? Please post a picture of the Polar Bear you sponsored. Because I want to see if the bear is pretty/studly enough to be the equal guise of you making Al Gore type billionaire fat cats,. That Obama, you and the democratic party supposedly despise? Does Al Gore redistribute his wealth and share his lear jets helping the poor?

LINK
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95646 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Multiple lines of evidence indicate that the earth has warmed in the last century by an amount that normally takes hundreds, if not thousands of years.


Apples to oranges comparisons of data, notwithstanding, I concede there has been a warming trend. I don't know about "hundreds" of years (which is still, statistically zero, in geological time) and certainly not "thousands" of years. We're still only talking a few tenths at this point, perhaps up to a full degree - even if the "dire predictions" are correct and man is 100% responsible for the warming (both of which are quite dubious).

quote:

We know that we are adding to the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, and numerous experiments and calculations indicate that CO2 contributes to global heat retention.


But CO2 is absolutely essential to life, it's neither toxic nor a pollutant under normal circumstances.

So, I ask again - what are appropriate concentrations and what is an appropriate surface temperature average temperature? All I see are the goalposts moving - any time the empirical data does not fit the agenda.



This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 11:13 am
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