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Message
Anyone else just cut thru the bs and watch Vegas odds?
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:04 pm
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:04 pm
They know, they always know. This will be a Reagan beat down.
13
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:06 pm to Duffnshank
Vegas odds had Trump at a 90% chance of winning at 9pm in 2020
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:07 pm to John Barron
What about at 4AM two days later?
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:10 pm to LemmyLives
Correct, Vegas does not know shite. They just set odds so they have equal amount of money on both sides and make their money on the Vig
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:11 pm to John Barron
quote:
Vegas odds had Trump at a 90% chance of winning at 9pm in 2020
You know he won... right?
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:15 pm to 1BIGTigerFan
Yes, I believe it was stolen. That furthers my point that Vegas does not know shite. If they had inside knowledge, they would have known it was going to be stolen and never gave those juicy odds for Biden. The odds only move based on the money coming in.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:16 pm to Duffnshank
quote:
They know, they always know.
It floors me how accurate they are with point spreads.
They're not in the business of losing money. They know what they're doing.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:18 pm to Duffnshank
I lost a considerable amount live betting Trump around 10pm on election night in 2020 when he was about -300 to win. I'm skeptical of everything now.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:19 pm to Duffnshank
You are not allowed to bet on Politics in the US. So, I don't even know if Vegas gives odds on that.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:24 pm to Duffnshank
You mean like in 2020 when I'm betting dimes offshore, and 4AM f@ckery, and Bill Barr's DOJ barely peak at the machines and say he thinks it's all BS, and the FIB is dispatched to quell the trucker driver guy and the Carone gal, and Michael Flynn says hold all tix and don't pay your wine bottle bets with your Libtard friends, and Trump tells cockteased Bedminster luncheonette broads a bunch of false hope of overturned election, and the Combatant Commanders all stand down while all Fed seventh floor divkheads run amok making a mockery of Justice, and all of Congress act as if the CIA and Mossad own their asses..etc..
Yeah, my money was robbed..and Tina Peters lost her son and is going to the fricking can for a decade..for merely doing her job with all of her heart and integrity.
Was nearly even money a week ago, I laid -120 and -130 the other day. Seeing -140 this morning.
Alphabets and Deep State f@ckery with plenty of foreign adversaries used as plausible deniability..laugh at your market moves.
Yeah, my money was robbed..and Tina Peters lost her son and is going to the fricking can for a decade..for merely doing her job with all of her heart and integrity.
Was nearly even money a week ago, I laid -120 and -130 the other day. Seeing -140 this morning.
Alphabets and Deep State f@ckery with plenty of foreign adversaries used as plausible deniability..laugh at your market moves.
This post was edited on 10/12/24 at 5:26 pm
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:24 pm to Duffnshank
Nope. The vegas odds thing on this board is really frickin dumb actually
Posted on 10/12/24 at 5:49 pm to John Barron
quote:
Vegas odds had Trump at a 90% chance of winning at 9pm in 2020
Trump was 100% legitimately winning until the 3am fraudulent ballots were trucked in and illegally counted.
Vegas was right.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 6:03 pm to Duffnshank
quote:
They know, they always know. This will be a Reagan beat down.
Except, they don't vote in person like they did 40 years ago. The mail in ballots will flow in for days and days. Did ya'll not learn anything from 2020 ? It is going to be a sad day for many on here. The commies count the votes in the precincts that count. Prepare yourselves for the inevitable outcome.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 6:04 pm to Duffnshank
**delete** double post
This post was edited on 10/12/24 at 6:05 pm
Posted on 10/12/24 at 6:22 pm to Duffnshank
He had a massive amount of money come in this last week. It moved the odds drastically.
The secret is getting out, the polls that were D+5-10 are starting to become what they should be, which is R+4 because this is the first election in 30 years where there are more registered republicans. He’s starting to take the lead in the polls. They want to save face. His side is bullish and her side is in panic mode.
Prior years he was always way behind but he out performs every single election bc a lot of his supporters don’t want to flaunt it so they don’t poll. If we factor in the shift of parties and his hidden vote he should probably be +6-8 nation wide. She’s up 2 but those polls are flawed and will fix themselves the last few weeks.
The secret is getting out, the polls that were D+5-10 are starting to become what they should be, which is R+4 because this is the first election in 30 years where there are more registered republicans. He’s starting to take the lead in the polls. They want to save face. His side is bullish and her side is in panic mode.
Prior years he was always way behind but he out performs every single election bc a lot of his supporters don’t want to flaunt it so they don’t poll. If we factor in the shift of parties and his hidden vote he should probably be +6-8 nation wide. She’s up 2 but those polls are flawed and will fix themselves the last few weeks.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 7:24 pm to Duffnshank
Are you aware of the Vegas odds election morning 2016?
A month is a lifetime in presidential elections.
A month is a lifetime in presidential elections.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 7:50 pm to Tiger985
Exactly, that’s why I asked if people just cut the bullshite and watch the odds.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 8:43 pm to John Barron
quote:
Vegas odds had Trump at a 90% chance of winning at 9pm in 2020
In all fairness, Trump was going to win. Vegas doesn’t account for fraud though.
Posted on 10/12/24 at 8:54 pm to Enadious
quote:
You are not allowed to bet on Politics in the US. So, I don't even know if Vegas gives odds on that.
Ok
Replace Vegas with OddsMakers at sports books and casinos
Posted on 10/12/24 at 8:59 pm to Duffnshank
quote:
Anyone else just cut thru the bs and watch Vegas odds?
Your hypothesis is invalid to begin with. Vegas has always managed the betting by manipulating the odds. That’s simply the method the industry is based upon.
It’s not so much the odds of winning/losing as it is the maximum chance of profit off of the betting, lowering the number of payouts while keeping peak betting volume.
quote:
They know, they always know. This will be a Reagan beat down.
They know that they depend on betting to occur so they can extract a fee. If you are in Vegas and place a bet in August they will send a notice in September that the odds have changed so that you will place another. Depending on how the $ flows determines whether they now favor pick A or pick B.
They want the flow and they want to control the direction both. Get it and keep it not just pay it back out.
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