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re: A little statistical reality for all you corona Nazis

Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:58 pm to
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
49829 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

I remember when you retards were cackling a month ago about how no one had died yet...




9000 out of 330 million is essentially nothing.
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27433 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:00 pm to
"Its just the flu"
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68216 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

Motorcycle and 4 wheeler had a wreck here, killing 1. Something says that's rona related.


of course, but for the social distancing order,

they would have been eating at a restaurant instead of out riding

therefore, covid19 related
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
111143 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:05 pm to
Does anyone have a link or source to that quoted pic?
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35626 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:05 pm to
No you were insinuating that the virus alone in America would cause 3,000 deaths per day.

That would be almost 200,000 deaths in just two months.

From one virus.

That's insane and has never happened.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35242 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

2017/18 influenza deaths had 50,000+ American deaths by this time in the flu season.
And the official cause of death data attributed to the flu is often only 1/3 to 1/4 the estimates of the flu deaths.

In other words, the estimates of seasonal flu deaths is often 3 or 4 times the originally reported figures, and that’s the result of multiple flu strains and the peak is MONTHS into flu season (e.g., we’re only a little over a month since the first death in the US for COVID-19).
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261654 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately, the number of deaths is going to rise pretty significantly over the next 10-14 days. We’re probably looking at 3,000 deaths per day in around 10 days.


Been hearing this for a couple of weeks.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131476 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

Been hearing this for a couple of weeks.


2 weeks ago 115 people were dying per day.

today 1300 people are dying per day.

You were hearing correctly.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261654 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

That would be almost 200,000 deaths in just two months.


Yep, not going to happen.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
131476 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

And the official cause of death data attributed to the flu is often only 1/3 to 1/4 the estimates of the flu deaths.


they only like their subjective math one way.


And frick Covid 19 for making me agree with both you and Juice Terry on the same day.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261654 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

and wait for it … climate deaths.


If Dems gain power, I have no doubt they'll capitalize on the success of shutting people down and apply it to CC.
Posted by Yak
DuPage County
Member since May 2014
4672 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

9000 out of 330 million is essentially nothing.

Just a statistic
Posted by jlntiger
Member since Feb 2011
1442 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:22 pm to
They don’t want to hear the truth. Even in the “hotspots “ this isn’t overwhelming or killing thousands . Look we are losing some that otherwise would live longer but the cure will cause more damage than the disease soon .
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 8:24 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35242 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

No you were insinuating that the virus alone in America would cause 3,000 deaths per day.
I wasn’t insinuating it; that has been my stated prediction, as a peak figure, for nearly 2 weeks. Here is my post from 03/24 explaining my rationale, which at that time the highest daily death total was 223 (on 03/24
although 2 more deaths were added after I posted).

03/24 Post

Since then I think the data suggest the possibility that we have a bit lower of a peak total deaths (say 2,000 to 2,500) but with a longer sustained plateau due to geographic discrepancies in the outbreak nationally.
quote:

That would be almost 200,000 deaths in just two months.
Yes. But I don’t expect the 3,000 “single-day death peak” to become a 3,000 “60-day death plateau.”
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261654 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

They don’t want to hear the truth. Even in the “hotspots “ this isn’t overwhelming or killing thousands .


When the sis over, millions will be screwed. Particularly small business and service employees.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111609 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

No you were insinuating that the virus alone in America would cause 3,000 deaths per day.


We’re not far from that on a timeline.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

2017/18 influenza deaths had 50,000+ American deaths by this time in the flu season.


At the end there were 43 million cases, 810,000 hospitalized and 61,000 dead.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 8:30 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35242 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

At the end there were 43 million cases, 810,000 hospitalized and 61,000 dead.

And that was over the course of roughly 8 months, and FOUR STRAINS, with the 2 type A strains (H3N2 and H1N1) being the most severe (particularly H3N2) and occurring earlier in the season with the 2 Type B strains (Yamagata and Victoria) peaking later in the season in the Spring.

And the 43,000,000 cases (actually 45,000,000) refers to symptomatic cases, but even using those figures, and despite being one of the most severe season on record, that’s a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.14%.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

And that was over the course of roughly 8 months, and FOUR STRAINS, with the 2 type A strains (H3N2 and H1N1) being the most severe (particularly H3N2) and occurring earlier in the season with the 2 Type B strains (Yamagata and Victoria) peaking later in the season in the Spring.

And the 43,000,000 cases (actually 45,000,000) refers to symptomatic cases, but even using those figures, and despite being one of the most severe season on record, that’s a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.14%.


Yes.
Why is pointing that out often met with the recited "You can't compare them!"?
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
12977 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 9:00 pm to
My neighbor’s father in law died and he basically was dead man walking. He had symptoms and is counted as a Covid-19 death here in Oregon. These stats are definitely being padded.
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