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A little statistical reality for all you corona Nazis

Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:35 pm
Posted by League Champs
Bayou Self
Member since Oct 2012
10340 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:35 pm
As of this moment there are 9,458 confirmed deaths (disclaimer: I'm certain that number is padded). There are also 3,141 counties in this great big, beautiful country of ours. That translates to 3 deaths per county. 3.01 to be precise.

In my county that translates to 1 death per hospital. ONE! And that number goes back 11 weeks. 1 death per hospital in 11 weeks (disclaimer: there have actually only been 3 deaths in my county). It is pure insanity to shutter an entire nation over the overhyped, slanted computer modeling.

Even if you are alarmed by the number of confirmed cases, of which the majority aren't deemed critical/serious there are 331,234 cases. Which translated to 105.45 per county. And once again applying that to my county, that would mean 35 cases per hospital over 11 weeks. And the majority of them haven't required hospitalization.

I would be willing to bet there have been more heart attacks/strokes over that same span of time. Neither of which were ever a danger of overwhelming our hospitals.
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26783 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:37 pm to
Well. Go make the call to open it up.

Let us know how it goes.
Posted by IceTiger
Really hot place
Member since Oct 2007
26584 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:37 pm to


Just a reminder of how they are reporting numbers...if you have it, or had symptoms (no confirmed test needed) and happen to die...

You are 1 of the 9000 dead
Posted by BarnHater
Member since May 2015
6766 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:38 pm to
The coronials just don’t want to go to work. Simple as that.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111546 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:39 pm to
Unfortunately, the number of deaths is going to rise pretty significantly over the next 10-14 days. We’re probably looking at 3,000 deaths per day in around 10 days.

That’s also a statistical reality.
Posted by IceTiger
Really hot place
Member since Oct 2007
26584 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:39 pm to
quote:


I would be willing to bet there have been more heart attacks/strokes over that same span of time. Neither of which were ever a danger of overwhelming our hospitals.


If they died from Heart Attack or Stroke...and you happen to have symptoms of the rona...
You died of the rona
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
3339 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:39 pm to
And for this we are not even supposed to go the grocery store anymore.
Posted by Dr Rosenrosen
Member since May 2006
3339 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:41 pm to
Riiiiiight.

This is the magical week where this nonevent turns into the apocalypse.
Posted by IceTiger
Really hot place
Member since Oct 2007
26584 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:41 pm to
quote:


That’s also a statistical reality


But it's not actual reality...they are making the #s up.

Not arguing with your statistical truth though...I think we get to 50k...it's mostly killing the same people that are susceptible to the flu.
Posted by MsHoghunter
Member since Oct 2017
2405 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:42 pm to
But just one death is too many! in fact, Dr. Doomsday takes it a step further and says we have to maintain social distancing until there isn't a single new positive test.
Posted by League Champs
Bayou Self
Member since Oct 2012
10340 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

That’s also a statistical reality.

Correction, that's a computer modeled prediction.

It's not reality, until you have data to back that up. Am I to include you in my Nazi count, based on your statement?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111546 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

Correction, that's a computer modeled prediction.


No. It’s just numbers based on current cases which are newly confirmed over the last 10 days.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111546 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

But it's not actual reality...they are making the #s up.


No. This is based on mortality trends of current reported cases. Around 12% of new cases reported correlated to deaths in a couple weeks. That’s just rough math over the last couple weeks.
Posted by Tiger Khan
Member since Oct 2009
2363 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:45 pm to
To be fair, it cuts both ways. There are people who died from COVID19 that have been attributed to other causes.

I think we need more time to get the real numbers.

To your point though, the lack of overwhelmed hospitals is a good sign.
Posted by Bulldogblitz
In my house
Member since Dec 2018
26783 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:46 pm to
quote:



If they died from Heart Attack or Stroke...and you happen to have symptoms of the rona...
You died of the rona


Motorcycle and 4 wheeler had a wreck here, killing 1. Something says that's rona related.
Posted by gatorrocks
Lake Mary, FL
Member since Oct 2007
13969 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately, the number of deaths is going to rise pretty significantly over the next 10-14 days. We’re probably looking at 3,000 deaths per day in around 10 days.




Welcome to three weeks ago. Because that was said three weeks ago, too.
Posted by MapGuy
I was born,I grew older,I'm here
Member since May 2010
37438 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:46 pm to
Ice, do you have a link for this?

I read the same and can’t find it. Want to send this to some folks.

Thanks!
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
21614 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:46 pm to
I remember when you retards were cackling a month ago about how no one had died yet...
Posted by League Champs
Bayou Self
Member since Oct 2012
10340 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

No. It’s just numbers based on current cases which are newly confirmed over the last 10 days.

And if half of them respond positively to Hydroxychloroquine?
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
11809 posts
Posted on 4/5/20 at 6:47 pm to
We’ve been quarantined for 3 weeks already. It is having a major effect on numbers.
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