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re: Zeta - The cleanup begins
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:01 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:01 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
The latest advisory has the center plotted almost precisely where the previous forecast had it at at this moment in time.
We shall see. I remember doing this with Delta. Took the western edge and models were slow to correct landfall, explaining the last day- day in a half shift west that clinched everyone’s a-hole in LC.
Different storm though, different setup. Could have no correlation at all
1
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:01 am to The People
quote:
So coming through Livingston or further West?
Just FYI, it’s gonna hit like 11 other towns before it gets to Livingston
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:07 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
Different storm though, different setup. Could have no correlation at all
Yeah, Zeta has more definitive steering in play.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:07 am to TheRouxGuru
im clearly an idiot with all this but it appears that we had a shift east as now florida is getting tropical storm warnings when they were not yesterday?
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 10:08 am
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:08 am to rocket31
quote:
im clearly an idiot with all this but it appears that we had a shift east as now florida is getting tropical storm warnings when they were not yesterday?
No, there's been a watch/warning area that stretched from MS/AL border to Okaloosa/Walton County line in Florida since yesterday.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:09 am to mightynine
copy
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:11 am to LSUFanHouston
quote:
How much wind does it take to move patio furniture? Does it need to be brought back into the garage?
This is an excellent opportunity to create the OT intensity scale. We already have the OT path forecast with S, H & M movements.
How should we rate intensity? Plastic lawn chair knocked over, lawn chair takes flight, metal patio furniture slides, etc.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:16 am to Jwho77
quote:
Yeah, Zeta has more definitive steering in play.
I agree. The steering is there. But who’s to say the front doesn’t come through later than expected? It’s not like met’s are able to pinpoint the exact arrival time of a front 48 hours before.
I’m just not getting rid of the idea of being further west than currently thought. You really never know with these systems, and people trying to forecast exact wind/rain readings right now are wasting their time. Just be alert in SELA, Miss/Al coast, and maybe even FL panhandle.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:18 am to trussthetruzz
I think it has a better chance to slow down in the gulf and turn further East than to go further west.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:20 am to TheAstroTiger
Are we looking at a Wednesday night landfall?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:22 am to Ancient Astronaut
Wed right around dark is current projected landfall. Trying to decide how long i will be able to work at the office in Mandeville tomorrow. Live in south east MS and don’t want to be driving home in shitty weather if I can help it.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 10:23 am
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:23 am to rds dc
I know somebody asks in every hurricane post, but this time it’s personal:
Flight out of BR at 5pm on Thursday via United.
Will it happen or not?
Flight out of BR at 5pm on Thursday via United.
Will it happen or not?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:23 am to trussthetruzz
Nullschool shows it going straight over Lake Maurepas so we shall see.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:24 am to MrFelixx
Dude this thing will be in Virginia by that time.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:25 am to MrFelixx
quote:
Flight out of BR at 5pm on Thursday via United.
Will it happen or not?
No.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:25 am to SwampBandit
What the hell is Nullschool?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:29 am to TDsngumbo
Someone on stormcast saying Livingston Parish has already called for a half day tomorrow...anybody heard that locally?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:30 am to LSUsmartass
True, coworker just got the text message that LP is closing schools for half a day.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:30 am to LSUsmartass
quote:
Someone on stormcast saying Livingston Parish has already called for a half day tomorrow...anybody heard that locally?
I heard that also. From Stormcast. Now I'm seeing it here too so I'm inclined to believe it.
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 10:31 am
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