re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!

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St Landry, Evangeline, Acadia, and Iberia schools all closed now.

Frickin hell man. You'd swear we were going to have a blizzard.

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18z GFS came in a tick warmer, and spread the precip a little further north. Minor variations from run to run at this point.

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Challenging forecast tonight with possibility of wet snow for
many areas and freezing temperatures for northern half of the
area. Current...light rain is occurring with temperatures mainly
in the lower to mid 40s. Sounding from UH and StormGeo showing
mostly subfreezing conditions aloft with freezing level only 2500
feet. Surface based warm layer enough for now keeping
precipitation all rain across the forecast area. Surface wet bulbs
also generally well above freezing attm. Lower dewpoint air
poised over northern counties should advect southward tonight. At
the same time upper trough and jet streak with associated lift
progged to migrate cross the area. This feature should bring
another band of precip across at least southern portions of the
area tonight. As this occurs there looks to be a small window
where temperature profiles, lift and adequate moisture coincide
for a period of wet snow over southern two tiers of counties.
Farther north will likely be some snowflakes as well but moisture
more limited so would expect just some flurries north.
Precipitation should push offshore tomorrow morning. Expect little
or no accumulation from the snow given warm boundary layer
temperatures. Cant rule out a small slushy accumulation if a
heavier band develops mainly on grassy areas over SW zones.

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