re: What's the end game for hurricane tracking/projections?

tracking is way better than it was, even 10 years ago. Lemme guess: you get mad when they say we're going to get a storm, and then we don't.

There is too much money in it for the WEATHER CHANNEL....
They make it so dramatic and juicy! This is it how it will be for the foreseeable future.

quote:

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Lemme guess: you get mad when they say we're going to get a storm, and then we don't.

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Absolutely not, and I'm not someone that thinks TWC is holding out on us to boost ratings, nor am I someone who thinks we haven't made improvements along the way. I'm genuinely curious if we'll ever see a time where we have the ability to accurately predict these things. We always see storm chasers and hurricane planes and other science bitches do science things and drop probes and try and collect as much data as possible, which has me wondering why if we can never truly have enough data to more accurately predict these things. That's why the original question was "What's the end game".

Like many scientific endeavors, weather projection doesn't improve on a linear scale. There are large leaps forward followed by stagnation in improving the accuracy of projection. When the next leap forward will happen is unknown.

Not enough observational data.
Not enough/computing power
equations of motion are not exact.
too many unknown variables.