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re: Weren't we supposed to run out of ventilators today?

Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:18 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178358 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:18 pm to
This is what happens when you let climate change scientists make your pandemic models.
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
44412 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

fast tracked thru FDA


Posted by NoSaint
Member since Jun 2011
12804 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

Isn't it something like the second or third day they were supposed to run our of them?


I recall reading very specific quotes of “could as early as” not “we think we will on...” with regards to these early April dates.
Posted by N2cars
Member since Feb 2008
40389 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:33 pm to
Google it.

Posted by Twenty 49
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2014
21534 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 4:56 pm to
You laugh, but the article says the FDA is already in touch and ready to get it done. They think they may have approval in a few days.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14343 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:01 pm to
Yeah, we have hysterical people here in AL claiming that we will have 5,000+ dead in a couple of months, all based on some model from the University of Washington. They are using this to advocate for ever more draconian restrictions. I'm no expert by any means, but I just don't see this in the numbers or in the limited info we are getting on hospitalizations.

I too wonder whether the people pushing these doomsday models are going to have to account when this is over.
Posted by lsucoonass
shreveport and east texas
Member since Nov 2003
70138 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:02 pm to
frick yes
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
12161 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:28 am to
The target is moving.. Or JBE is just doubling down on the stupidity.

Louisiana governor says state could run out of ventilators by end of the week if coronavirus cases continue to rise

The target is ever moving. Don't think this won't continue to happen. We actually had a DECREASE in the ventilator usage yesterday, but according to the JBE we will run out in 3 days.

quote:

"Every day we get new information that informs our modeling. We now think it's probably around the 9th of April before we exceed our ventilator capacity based on the current number on hand and that we're a couple of days behind that on ICU bed capacity being exceeded," he told CNN's Jake Tapper on "State of the Union."


The news March 29th was to run out of ventilators by April 4th.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:47 am to
Of course the date is moving. How could it not? In the past week, LA has received ventilators from the Nat'l Strategic Reserve and through private vendors. LCMC ordered additional ventilators three weeks ago that are starting to be delivered. I'm sure other hospitals have, as well.

The "target", as you call it, is going to move. Be happy it's moving back.
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
12161 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:52 am to
quote:

Additionally, Louisiana hospitals have a total 2,320 ventilators


This is before anything the Feds gave us.

Yesterday we went from 571 ventilators in use to 561 ventilators in use across the state. Meanwhile, JBE has continued to cry for 12,000 more from the Feds.

His target is irresponsibly overstated.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 8:09 am to
I don't know where that 12000 (sometimes 10000) number originated. I've seen it mentioned on TD in multiple threads over the past week or two. If Edwards actually requested 12000 vents from the feds, it is probably related to one, or both, of the following:
1) Competing for scarce resources (squeaky wheel gets the grease)
2) Based on worst case scenario from early inaccurate projections.

I know JBE isn't beyond scare tactics to get his way. I remember when "LSU football may have to be cancelled" to solve the budget crisis. What I don't understand is what good is any of this doing him now? What's he achieving by using the moving ventilator target as a scare tactic?
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
17020 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 8:12 am to
Federal aid.

I believe LA got $1.2bil
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 8:18 am to
In regard to "ventilators"...

I have no doubt that JBE is using a strict definition of ventilator when quoting his date for exceeding capacity. I think he is using the figure for strictly designed for ICU use ventilators, as opposed to all ventilators - anesthesia machines, EMT vents, etc. It serves the purpose of begging from the feds by making conditions look more dire.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 8:20 am to
Don't we have to pay a portion of federal aid and FEMA money back?
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41698 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 8:57 am to
Such a stupid take, OP. Predictions are based on the continual path of current trends. If we change what we are getting (such as get more ventilators, or change what we are doing so we need less ventilators) obviously the date will change.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 9:00 am
Posted by Pintail
Member since Nov 2011
12161 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Such a stupid take, OP. Predictions are based on the continual path of current trends. If we change what we are getting (such as get more ventilators, or change what we are doing so we need less ventilators) obviously the date will change.


The projections were based off all the measures that were being taken at the time. NOTHING HAS CHANGED.

JBE has done nothing but try to scare everyone. The same thing he did with calling to shut down LSU football. Its bullshite.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 9:58 am to
1) Total number of ventilators.
2) Daily count of patients improved enough to be removed from ventilators.
3) Daily deaths of patients on ventilators.
4) Daily count of patients who's condition degraded enough to require ventilation.

That's four things that CHANGE DAILY, just off the top of my head. If you can't understand this, I can't help you.
Posted by GusMcRae
Deep in the heart of the Big Sleazy
Member since Oct 2008
3839 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:09 pm to
At this point, we're not going to run out of ventilators.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:30 pm to
Id rather him over react than under.
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

If it saves just one life. Shut the bitch down for the year


I think we all wish it’s that easy.
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