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re: Weather Board: Enhanced (3 out of 5) Risk for Yankees This PM. Tornado Watch For Masters
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:46 pm to rt3
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:46 pm to rt3
We are in North Texas and the storms have settled - enough standing water along fence line to run shallow crawfish nets. The WIND tossed our full sized trampoline over the fence, within the past hour. This is a potent system
This post was edited on 4/13/19 at 3:47 pm
1
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:47 pm to wfallstiger
quote:
Mesoscale Discussion 0325
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019
Areas affected...Parts of southeast Texas...western and northern
Louisiana...western Mississippi and southeast Arkansas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 53...54...
Valid 132039Z - 132215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 53, 54 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe weather potential continues to gradually ramp up.
This appears likely to include a few supercells with increasing
potential for a strong tornadoes through 5-6 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...Gust front continues to advance eastward around 40 kt,
into the Sabine Valley and upper Texas coast, accompanied by a
narrow broken line of intense convective development. This activity
is preceded by scattered discrete storm development, and an evolving
cluster of storms centered around the Monroe LA area.
It appears that severe weather potential, including potentially
damaging wind gusts and a risk for tornadoes, will maximize in a
corridor near/north of Natchitoches through the Monroe LA area
between now and 22-23Z.
20Z surface observations indicate that rapid strong 2-hour surface
pressure falls have become focused across the Monroe LA into
Greenville/Vicksburg MS vicinity, where further boundary layer
destabilization associated with warming and moistening may support
intensifying boundary-layer based thunderstorm development during
the next few hours. Beneath a 50 kt southerly 850 mb jet, large
clockwise curved low-level hodographs will support increasing
potential for tornadoes. A couple could be strong.
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:52 pm to Duke
The main line just rolled through Shreveport and the sun immediately came out. 
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:53 pm to Duke
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:55 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Hah, yep. I'm glad that's over with
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:57 pm to LSURoss
So is Shreveport in the clear? Hardly raining and almost sunny off Norris ferry
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:57 pm to LSURoss
I’m assuming the brunt has passed for us. Could see the initial gusts coming from across the lake. Knocked some big arse limbs down.
Just saw a boat trying to go north. Do not envy that guy
Just saw a boat trying to go north. Do not envy that guy
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:59 pm to McCaigBro69
If I leave Gulfport MS now and drive to Jackson will I beat the storm
Posted on 4/13/19 at 3:59 pm to Duke
these pre frontal winds are worse than the storms that are coming later
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:02 pm to DVinBR
looks like Shreveport is clearing out now and should be ok the rest of the day
I'm ready for that 2nd line to get past Alexandria
I'm ready for that 2nd line to get past Alexandria
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:04 pm to Rooco
That's where I am as well and yeah. It's done!
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:05 pm to DVinBR
The low level winds are ripping through here. Flow above is ripping too, but from a different direction. This is the concern down this way tonight. Not sure if it lines out or not but whoever gets storms are going to get some powerful storms.
Right now my eyes are on the eastern parts of that meso discussion. Anywhere that's been relatively convection free near the warm front boundary.
Hoping that the clustered nature of storms today continues to keep the tornadoes mostly at bay in Louisiana.
Right now my eyes are on the eastern parts of that meso discussion. Anywhere that's been relatively convection free near the warm front boundary.
Hoping that the clustered nature of storms today continues to keep the tornadoes mostly at bay in Louisiana.
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:07 pm to Duke
When bad weather is predicted I always get this sick feeling in my stomach. I don’t feel that. I hope that’s a good sign.
This post was edited on 4/13/19 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:11 pm to Tester1216
quote:
000
WWUS84 KLCH 132108
SPSLCH
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
408 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019
LAZ027-132200-
VERNON LA-
408 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL VERNON PARISH UNTIL 500
PM CDT...
AT 408 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NEW LLANO, OR NEAR LEESVILLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEESVILLE, FORT POLK, SLAGLE, NEW LLANO, KURTHWOOD, HUTTON, SIMPSON
AND PICKERING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY, SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
LAT...LON 3136 9303 3136 9299 3134 9298 3133 9293
3132 9293 3132 9290 3094 9326 3103 9344
3137 9324 3137 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 211DEG 49KT 3106 9331
$$
RM12
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:15 pm to rt3
PDS warning!!
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
408 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019
LAC065-107-MSC149-132200-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-190413T2200Z/
Tensas LA-Madison LA-Warren MS-
408 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
TENSAS...CENTRAL MADISON PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...
At 408 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Newlight, or 18 miles east of Winnsboro, moving
northeast at 50 mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.
The tornado will be near...
Newellton around 420 PM CDT.
Somerset around 425 PM CDT.
Afton around 430 PM CDT.
Tallulah around 440 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mound,
Delta and Richmond.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:15 pm to rt3
looks like there's 2 different lines that are forming along that back line
next 100 minutes should be interesting for me
next 100 minutes should be interesting for me
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:17 pm to rt3
What’s going to happen in Baton Rouge? I’m having trouble
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:17 pm to rt3
An a-hole on the ground near Vicksburg.
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:18 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
PDS warning!!
is that that same cell that passed by Alexandria/Pineville/Ball and caused my tornado warning?
thing looks like it really ramped up asit got closer to the MS border
Posted on 4/13/19 at 4:19 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
A single PDS tornado warning is enough to verify for me that this was a bad system, and was worth the hype.
Hopefully this just blows a bunch of grass around and doesn't hurt anyone/anything.
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