re: War breaking out in South America as early as tomorrow?!?

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Who do we get? Canada or Mexico?

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I’m teaming up with the bandidos and we’re gonna wreck Canada.

I thought Guyana was in Africa.

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thought Guyana was in Africa.

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That's Ghana.

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Bow08tie
True with a different administration. With the current cesspool not so much.

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Having the Navy and Marines slap around a tin pot South American dictator would give Biden and his handlers the "wartime President" street cred just in time for the election with very little risk. Militarily and politically, Venezuela is some pretty low hanging fruit.

I'm headed to guyana next month.

I'm convinced bad luck follows me.

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learned that from an episode of one Anthony Bourdain‘s shows.

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Ha same. And knew about the Peru/Bolivia war because I’ve been to the atacama desert which switch hands as a result. As it was described to me at the time by a Chilean “our 4 ships beat their 4 ships”

Even these late 1880s South American wars just don’t have anywhere near the scale of euro/Asian conflicts.

It’s really quite remarkable no one in South America has gotten meaningfully belligerent with a neighbor in 140 years.

Did Monroe do this? What’s going on? It’s not like South America is some peaceful place.

True. But when they do fight it's bloody as hell though, eg The War of the Triple Alliance and the Chaco War.

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This would be very stupid for Venezuela to try. But I think their socialist state has almost completely collapsed and they are desperate for new resources to exploit. They need something to unite their people so they don’t overthrow their own government.

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Sounds like Argentina and the Falklands War in the early 80s.

They didn’t think a major power would show up to shove missiles up their asses and take losses over a few sparsely populated islands.

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It’s really quite remarkable no one in South America has gotten meaningfully belligerent with a neighbor in 140 years.

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Basically, South America is the opposite of the Middle East. The entire region is united under the same religion (Catholicism), and the overwhelming majority speak one of two languages (Portuguese or Spanish). The borders weren’t drawn by the British, Ottomans, or Russians to purposefully pit tribes against each other to be more easily exploited, so the borders actually make sense. Most countries in South America have significant natural features (raging rivers, massive mountain ranges, dense jungles) that make their borders extremely defensible. There’s not a ton of oil rich countries, pretty much just Venezuela and Guyana, with Brazil having some reserves but not enough to be a major exporter. In addition, many nations purposely interbred their disparate tribal and colonial populations in order to create a Mestizo culture, further eroding tribalism and creating greater social unity.