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re: Violent crime dropped an estimated 3% in the United States last year, FBI crime data shows

Posted on 9/23/24 at 12:51 pm to
Posted by Knuckle Checker
Member since Jan 2019
609 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Covid and George Floyd nonsense.


It had nothing to do with covid

It was all George Floyd and their defund the police campaign.

Liberals said we needed less police and less funding for police. Conservatives said we need more money for police and more police.

Who was right?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

You said you couldn't do observations

You can't, either. I'm using your "logic"

quote:

But you are, you attacked the data of the spike when it was pointed out the many ways the data is manipulatable

Only to refute your "logic"

I clearly stated earlier in this thread a crime spike did occur. I'm not arguing with the data, only bad logic.
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
14394 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 12:54 pm to
First, these numbers a very timely in favor of Democrats right before the election.
Hopefully discerning voters will realize that the numbers don't reflect reality.
The reality is that Democrats are allowing millions of illegal immigrants into our country and many of these people are criminals beyond violation of immigration law.
Law enforcement departments are overwhelmed and can't respond to criminal activity in a timely manner because they are understaffed and no one wants to be a cop in an environment in which Democrat DA's are putting criminals back on the streets.
Because police departments are overwhelmed, citizens often don't report crimes because they see no results in doing so.
So many communities find themselves in a Catch 22 situation until laws are actually enforced and criminals are taken off the streets.
Posted by Gaggle
Member since Oct 2021
7286 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Only to refute your "logic"

But it didn't refute it. I agree with the point entirely that the data is manipulated, even during the spike. My logic never applied to the decrease only, as stated numerous times
Do you refute the many ways laid out that make it inherently prone to human manipulation?
Posted by JEC119
Alabama
Member since Apr 2024
2117 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:02 pm to
Bull shite!!

The biggest city from my state…Birmingham, Alabama is on par to break a 91 year record in number of murders.

They must had excluded most Democrat run cities in that data.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
45938 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:03 pm to
A few things here.

There’s significantly less reporting year over year, predominantly from blue jurisdictions. One study showed roughly 1/3 of PDs representing about 25% of the population stopped submitting crime data to the FBI. This has been pretty well documented. Also, many of these districts are decriminalized certain crimes or refusing to enforce.

This is an engineered talking point designed to give the current regime a “win” that isn’t really there.
Posted by wartiger2004
9X National Champions WDE RIP CK
Member since Aug 2011
19890 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:05 pm to
bullshite
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

One study showed roughly 1/3 of PDs representing about 25% of the population stopped submitting crime data to the FBI. This has been pretty well documented.


Those jurisdictions have had a decrease too, which has also been pretty well documented.

quote:

Also, many of these districts are decriminalized certain crimes or refusing to enforce.

They're not decriminalizing violent crimes.

quote:

This is an engineered talking point designed to give the current regime a “win” that isn’t really there.

This ignores the "loss" the regime received when the crime spiked post-Covid.
Posted by At Nowhere
East Baton Rouge Parish
Member since Jul 2018
168 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:24 pm to
Are these stats based on convictions or the actual crime? If a violent crime is plead down to a lesser charge, then there is no violent crime. Prosecutor's, Governmental Officials, and Politicians all come out looking like they have solved the crime issues.
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
26689 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:52 pm to
quote:


What's sad is that people on here have bitched about high crime rate for year, but they get pissed when it comes down during a Democrat's tenure. If you give a shite about public safety, you should want crime to come down regardless of what it means for your favorite politician. Wake up yall.

i remember my first day on TD.com...
Posted by 14&Counting
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2012
41321 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Memphis must not have been included in that study


Birmingham didn’t get the memo
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
5276 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 1:57 pm to
Damn Statistics!
Posted by cypresstiger
The South
Member since Aug 2008
13336 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:09 pm to
the last data the indicated a drop in violent crime had some major metro areas completely excluded from the data set. Besides, in places like NYC and SF, the DAs are completely dropping charges for violent crime.

This is all manipulated data. Most people know it’s all bullshite and that crime hasn’t dropped
-----exactly right
Posted by cypresstiger
The South
Member since Aug 2008
13336 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:10 pm to
Everything is a Lie
---Ergo, that statement is a lie.
Posted by jclem11
Chief Nihilist
Member since Nov 2011
9537 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Violent crime dropped an estimated 3% in the United States last year, FBI crime data shows


Trust the science, am i right?
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
45938 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Those jurisdictions have had a decrease too

Violent crimes like rape and aggravated assault in places like NYC are underreported to the tune of 24-28%. Another deep blue city that uses different statistical definitions than the FBIs UCR Program to make crime stats seem lower than they really are.
quote:

Mayor Adams’ selective disclosures underscore a 12% drop in murders and a 25% reduction in shootings for 2023 yet fail to provide a comprehensive view of violent major crimes since bail reform began in 2020 and throughout his tenure as mayor. Since taking office, there has been a yearly increase in violent major felonies, climbing from 38,645 in 2021 to 45,529 in 2022, and peaking at 46,632 in 2023, which is a 21% increase since his mayoral term commenced. In 2023, the number of violent major felony offenses in NYC surpassed that of any year since 2003.


LINK

quote:

They're not decriminalizing violent crimes.


No shite!??!

I'm obviously making a case that crime, in general, being down is a debatable political talking point and giving examples of how we got here.

quote:

This ignores the "loss" the regime received when the crime spiked post-Covid.
Just like bounce-back jobs. Another politicized talking point.
Posted by Harry Rex Vonner
Foggy Bottom Law School
Member since Nov 2013
47191 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:23 pm to
horse shite
Posted by TigerMan327
Elsewhere
Member since Feb 2011
6045 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:24 pm to
Hasn't this been debunked multiple times already?

over 6000 precincts didn't even report crime data to the FBI, including some of the largest metros in the country.

Something to do with FBI switching to a digital reporting system in like 2021 and most precincts not having the capability\not switching to the new system of reporting yet?
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
45938 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:26 pm to
They cook up their own numbers based on their own definitions so they can brag about how they brought crime down when its actually up. Its an old blue tactic... like changing the definition of "vaccine" in real time, or changing "global warming" to "climate change" as temperatures flattened for a decade.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
23559 posts
Posted on 9/23/24 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Are these stats based on convictions or the actual crime? If a violent crime is plead down to a lesser charge, then there is no violent crime. Prosecutor's, Governmental Officials, and Politicians all come out looking like they have solved the crime issues.


FBI NIBRS and UCR Data is based on reported crime. It has nothing to do with prosecutions.
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