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Started By
Message
re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:28 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:28 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
You can see the thunderstorms fire over the center which is why it’s strengthening
3
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:30 pm to The Boat
My house is right on the bay. shite is picking up big time
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:31 pm to The Boat
Still ain't stacked perfectly.
Surface pressure has to be under 1000 mb with those winds present at 1002. About to get a pass though the east side.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:32 pm to The Boat
She's trying.
quote:
@NOAASatellitePA
TROPICAL UPDATE: This cloud/lightning composite imagery from @NOAA's #GOES16Satelliteis showing a better organized #Elsa, which has restrengthened into a #hurricane this evening. A #HurricaneWarning remains in effect for parts of
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:35 pm to Cosmo
quote:
A lot of FL folks expecting a nothingburger are in for a nice surprise
The GFS tried to tell em.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:35 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
The lightning today has been pretty impressive.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 7:40 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yes it has.
Recon so far
Recon so far
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:10 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Recon not all that impressive to this point.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:16 pm to Duke
quote:
Recon not all that impressive to this point.
I was hoping for a couple of barrel rolls myself.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:16 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
I live in Madeira Beach. One of my neighbors just put out their recycling bin for the night. 
Never underestimate the power of a moron.
Never underestimate the power of a moron.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:17 pm to Duke
Weather buoys that it passes over of just off to the side say differently. Though they have told me that pressure is lower than recon has, windspeed not so much and 10 MPH lower than Doppler trying to find 3 droplets being pushed along at hurricane speed
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:20 pm to CitizenK
I say recon not impressive.
So the buoys actually agree with my assessment of the unimpessiveness.
quote:
Weather buoys that it passes over of just off to the side say differently.
quote:
Though they have told me that pressure is lower than recon has, windspeed not so much
So the buoys actually agree with my assessment of the unimpessiveness.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:20 pm to Hog Zealot
We just finished walking and half my neighbors have their garbage and recycle bins out. I’m in Ocala.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:26 pm to Duke
A few good rays about 20 minutes before sunset today:
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:29 pm to Latebloomer
I feel your pain. We are about to catch the wall in next 90-120 minutes here on the coast. Pinellas county is quite windy and waves are already stacking near Johns Pass. Just had a gust of 51. Skyway is still open!
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:36 pm to LegendInMyMind
I see an outflow boundary coming out. No surprise convection wanes after. Some dry air got pulled in.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 9:00 pm to Hog Zealot
quote:
Skyway is still open!
No fricking way.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 9:08 pm to Hog Zealot
quote:Won't be much longer. We are getting lots of rain in Palmetto/Bradenton.
Skyway is still open!
Posted on 7/6/21 at 9:33 pm to Duke
quote:
I see an outflow boundary coming out. No surprise convection wanes after. Some dry air got pulled in.
Rapid warming of cloud tops supports that. Massive dump of cool stable air into the LLC region will do that.
ETA: The 18z HWRF nailed this and shows a convection less swirl by sunrise.
This post was edited on 7/6/21 at 9:40 pm
Posted on 7/6/21 at 9:46 pm to rds dc
Worked so hard to stack up and then sucks in some stability to ruin it.
For the best so near Tampa.
For the best so near Tampa.
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