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re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks

Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:12 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67067 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:12 pm to
Hurricane Warnings now up as Elsa is, in fact, making a run despite shear and dry air.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126054 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:14 pm to
Hope all the old people at The Villages stocked up on bread and milk
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

@StuOstro
#Elsa's center playing peekaboo again with deep convection
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126054 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:17 pm to
LLC kinda nekkid.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:19 pm to
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
10273 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:20 pm to
Sort of interesting bit of trivia: morning flight to check on the storm was late leaving Keesler, seems they can fly though bad weather, but they can't take off in bad weather of certain types.

LINK
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67067 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:20 pm to
Oh yeah, Elsa is angrier than she's been in a while. All that lightning.
This post was edited on 7/6/21 at 2:22 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67067 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:21 pm to
Yeah, they were delayed a while, and when they finally got to take off and got to the storm it had winds approaching hurricane strength.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:21 pm to
Trying to work some upshear convective magic and stack but the shear keeps knocking the low level center around.
Posted by eitek1
Member since Jun 2011
2637 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:22 pm to
I'm driving into Winter Haven, FL now. I hope this thing passes quickly. We got plans to ho to Legoland.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214035 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:33 pm to
It’s amazing that this storm was just racing along at like 31 MPH and now is moving at just 9 MPH… that front pushing it now to the north sure is strong.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
7692 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:41 pm to
Good lookin' naked swirl IMO
Posted by Wolfhound45
Member since Nov 2009
121779 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

I'm close to you.
You and yours stay safe TO.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126054 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

I'm close to you.


Bingo
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
12270 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:25 pm to
Looks like the eye passing right next to this buoy. Under 50 kets sustained, not the 60 that NHC is saying.

LINK
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

Philippe Papin
@pppapin
Earlier, #Elsa passed directly over Buoy 42023 and recorded sustained winds of 58 kt gusting to 68 kt. Certainly some ground truth to verify the estimated 60 kt intensity right now.

Still forecast to become a #hurricane before landfall sometime in the next 12-18 hours.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:40 pm to
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
15017 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:46 pm to

Man that lower level is looking like it's doing some work to get organized and intensified, but that upper level is still a sheared mess.

No telling what kind of monster she would've eventually turned into if she had a more westerly track that kept her in the open gulf longer, or the same track with more favorable conditions. Score one for the good guys this time

Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
104762 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:50 pm to
How hard is TWC praying it becomes a hurricane before landfall?
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
17164 posts
Posted on 7/6/21 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

How hard is TWC praying it becomes a hurricane before landfall?


I cant even watch those clowns anymore.
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