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Started By
Message
re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:18 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:18 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I'l be in Hilton Head next week for vacation. Is Elsa going to frick it up? Or is it too early to tell? My Ohio arse knows nothing about hurricanes.
1
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:22 pm to dukke v
quote:
How am I derailing it???? People started attacking me… All I have said is that it’s a bit to far out as of now for people to panic… that’s ALL I’ve said…..
no thats not all you've said....you also posting forecast
quote:
I’m being serious here but it’s all about timing when this front is gonna come through and push it easy….
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:28 pm to tgrbaitn08
WTF????
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:33 pm to KillerNut9
quote:
I'l be in Hilton Head next week for vacation. Is Elsa going to frick it up? Or is it too early to tell? My Ohio arse knows nothing about hurricanes.
Based on the current forecast track from NHC, it will likely impact the Georgia and South Carolina coasts during the day Wednesday. Obviously, the track is still subject to change, though.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:33 pm to rds dc
quote:
New advisory has it down to 991mb with winds 85 mph
Also, this meets the 24hr criteria for RI.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:35 pm to rds dc
quote:
New advisory has it down to 991mb with winds 85 mph
Also, this meets the 24hr criteria for RI.
So the stronger it gets means a more western course still?
That’s not good.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:35 pm to dukke v
PJ
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:38 pm to rds dc
quote:
Also, this meets the 24hr criteria for RI.
BINGO
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:39 pm to dukke v
Someone should calculate downvotes in these threads I'm willing to bet you have a record amount.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:41 pm to The Boat
And I'll be adding that to the ole gif collection
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:45 pm to rds dc
quote:
Whatever the global models are seeing (or not seeing) the 12z HWRF isn't buying it and is stronger and a bit south of 06z.
It'll be interesting to see if HWRF performs well again this year; I assumed last year was an aberration with other models being hurt by the lack of data from flights.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:47 pm to Hulkklogan
It wasn't good by accident last year. Whatever upgrades they did were money on structure and in the neighborhood on what that would mean for strength.
It's not that it got stuff right last year, it's how and why it got it right that gives it a lot of credence until I see a reason otherwise.
It's not that it got stuff right last year, it's how and why it got it right that gives it a lot of credence until I see a reason otherwise.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:51 pm to Duke
That's true, the other models' failing doesn't make HWRF right.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:53 pm to Duke
EGO much???? 
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:59 pm to rds dc
quote:
RI.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 1:59 pm to dukke v
I'm going to trust it until I see a reason otherwise. Pretty straightforward.
I'm not going to bite PEEJ.
I'm not going to bite PEEJ.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 2:05 pm to Duke
I think you are really good on here… so keep up the good work….
Posted on 7/2/21 at 2:27 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/2/21 at 2:33 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I want the official OT Hurricane Thread(TM) record to reflect that I am not involved in the current shitshow.
Posted on 7/2/21 at 2:37 pm to KOA
quote:
So Louisiana in the clear nice
I wouldn't say that until she's made landfall.
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