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Message

re: Tropical Storm Rafael - Spinning Down in Gulf

Posted on 10/29/24 at 3:39 am to
Posted by Z Cavaricci
Member since Jun 2020
1939 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 3:39 am to
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
45335 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 4:21 am to
Tampa ABC suspender weatherman said last night that if it does develop, it will go east of FL and NEonce it passes.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21035 posts
Posted on 10/31/24 at 2:10 pm to
NHC up to 60%

quote:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible during the next several days across portions of the area
from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
25605 posts
Posted on 10/31/24 at 3:02 pm to
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Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5946 posts
Posted on 10/31/24 at 3:07 pm to

Windy shows it going toward Texas.

Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
53887 posts
Posted on 10/31/24 at 3:59 pm to
one will absorb the other one
conditions not favorable once it gets in gulf, will get sheered apart
maybe some rain
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
35556 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:52 am to
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29467 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:56 am to
This isn't a wish cast... But I could deal with a very large amount of rain.
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54158 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 9:01 am to
GFS has it in the northern gulf next weekend
Posted by stbpike24
Slidell
Member since Jul 2011
378 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 9:05 am to
Wasn't the same thing stated during Milton that it was very unusual for that time of year for a storm to go in the direction it did instead of coming to the western side of the gulf?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21035 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 3:23 pm to
NHC up to 80%

GFS one week from today:





Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4174 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 3:27 pm to
Like insurance companies need any further reason to sock it to us
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79104 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 3:28 pm to
That would be a TS. Would suck to get all that rain on Saturday though.

What are the SSTs? Anyone have a map with freedom units?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21035 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 3:55 pm to
Posted by Herschal
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2011
2111 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 3:59 pm to
I was under the impression that it is November, not late September.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 4:00 pm
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
101299 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 4:01 pm to
Long term models always go to SELA


Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61275 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

conditions not favorable once it gets in gulf, will get sheered apart
maybe some rain


Then you run to the rant to start a thread about a hurricane moving the game away from Baton Rouge next weekend.
Posted by Screaming Viking
Member since Jul 2013
5599 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

GFS one week from toda


What direction is it moving at that point?
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
22507 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 5:32 pm to
quote:

Sorry. Gulf is closed for business. Moose out front should have told you


YouTube weather guys say there is a high pressure over SC/Georgia which block Florida and send storms to the west.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
48798 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

HAARP is going to pump that thing up into a Cat 6 supercane.


Psycho I work with believes that not only an they create hurricanes but they can steer them anywhere they want using lasers.

In theory I thin they could maybe make one stronger using cloud seeding. But this crack pot thinks the government can create one and steer it. He also claims the government can created hi and low pressure areas and fronts.

It should be no surprise that he doesn't watch any news outlets at all and gets all of his news from listening to the Alex Jones podcast.
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