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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:22 pm to bhtigerfan
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:22 pm to bhtigerfan
1
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:22 pm to bhtigerfan
Yea on a serious note, we do not need any more tropical activity. We’ve met our quota for the next 15 years with Ida alone. Mother fricker that was an intense arse hurricane. I’m still shocked at how strong it was here in eastern Ascension Parish. Wind had to be sustained at 80-90 mph for two hours and gusts had to be well over 100mph.
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:22 pm to bhtigerfan
quote:
NWS Weather Prediction Center
@NWSWPC
Confidence is increasing that significant rainfall will impact portions of the Western Gulf Coast starting early next week associated with an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean Sea. Interests along the TX/LA coast should monitor the progress of this system.
8:15 PM · Sep 10, 2021
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:27 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Note those are 7 day rainfall totals with the rain mostly late sunday to thursday
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:27 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Wind had to be sustained at 80-90 mph for two hours and gusts had to be well over 100mph.
Anybody seen any wind gust numbers? I'd be curious to know about Houma, up to LaPlace, Gonzales (Ascension) area, Northshore and Denham and Baton Rouge had to be over 75-80 in the southern part of EBR. I don't care about the Airport 15 miles away recording 60, south BR was higher.
This post was edited on 9/10/21 at 8:28 pm
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:36 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Anybody seen any wind gust numbers? I'd be curious to know about Houma, up to LaPlace, Gonzales (Ascension) area, Northshore and Denham and Baton Rouge had to be over 75-80 in the southern part of EBR. I don't care about the Airport 15 miles away recording 60, south BR was higher.
The western eyewall passed right to the east of Donaldsonville, north over eastern sections of St. Amant, and to Port Vincent. No doubt that Gonzales and Geismar saw considerably lower winds and wind gusts. It drops of very quickly on the western side. I’m just south of Port Vincent in Ascension Parish and I am 100% convinced my address saw 115mph wind gusts. No doubt about it in my mind. I’ve never experienced wind like that in my life and was legitimately concerned for a little while.
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:36 pm to lsugolfredman
Yea another bad thing looks like this will be a slow mover.
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:43 pm to lsuman25
Let's get this season over with already! 
Posted on 9/10/21 at 8:55 pm to TDsngumbo
I live in south Gonzales and my lowest pressure was 28.91 inches (979 mb).
Posted on 9/10/21 at 9:02 pm to Klingler7
No bueno
Posted on 9/10/21 at 9:14 pm to Klingler7
quote:
I live in south Gonzales and my lowest pressure was 28.91 inches (979 mb).
I got down to 972.
Posted on 9/10/21 at 10:35 pm to TDsngumbo
992 in Madisonville.
Posted on 9/10/21 at 11:34 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
Please share the rain totals?
5 inches
10
25
50
Posted on 9/10/21 at 11:35 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
Please share the rain totals?
5 inches
10 inches
Looks like somebody is gonna get somewhere in there over 3 days
This post was edited on 9/10/21 at 11:40 pm
Posted on 9/10/21 at 11:44 pm to Cosmo
GFS rain forecast I stopped it at 6pm Wednesday
This post was edited on 9/10/21 at 11:48 pm
Posted on 9/11/21 at 12:00 am to Jake88
I’d still like to know what the highest sustained winds and gusts were in Madisonville.
Anyone else have trouble with their ears popping the following day and the pressure went back up?
Anyone else have trouble with their ears popping the following day and the pressure went back up?
Posted on 9/11/21 at 6:19 am to TheFonz
The GFS shifted the heaviest rain totals into SWLA. Most of the rain coming throughout the day Monday with as much as 10” in a 6 hour window in some places.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 7:01 am to TheFonz
quote:I wouldn't be surprised if it was much less than we suspect. Like some sustained winds of 60-70 and a gust or two at 90.
I’d still like to know what the highest sustained winds and gusts were in Madisonville.
Wunderground has a bunch of weather stations from people's houses linked that you can find on a map, but at about 10pm they weren't registering anything, probably because they rely on electricity.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 7:26 am to rds dc
Very tough forecast coming up with higher than normal uncertainty. From a forecast perspective, the sooner this forms and the more organized it gets the better. There aren't a lot of track options b/c of the overall setup but a more organized system will make it somewhat easier to pin down the locations of the highest rain totals. Models have been all over the place but the one common theme has been the potential for some bigtime rain totals.
The latest from WPC.
The latest from WPC.
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