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lsugolfredman
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2005
1693 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana


TDsngumbo
USA Fan
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
31787 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Yea on a serious note, we do not need any more tropical activity. We’ve met our quota for the next 15 years with Ida alone. Mother fricker that was an intense arse hurricane. I’m still shocked at how strong it was here in eastern Ascension Parish. Wind had to be sustained at 80-90 mph for two hours and gusts had to be well over 100mph.


Bobby OG Johnson
USA Fan
Member since Apr 2015
15685 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

NWS Weather Prediction Center
@NWSWPC

Confidence is increasing that significant rainfall will impact portions of the Western Gulf Coast starting early next week associated with an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean Sea. Interests along the TX/LA coast should monitor the progress of this system.
8:15 PM · Sep 10, 2021


Image: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E-93z5eXEAAoJEg?format=png&name=900x900
Image: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E-93z6PXEB4Wj0o?format=jpg&name=900x900


Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
108478 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Note those are 7 day rainfall totals with the rain mostly late sunday to thursday


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51
LaBR4
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
46254 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

Wind had to be sustained at 80-90 mph for two hours and gusts had to be well over 100mph.



Anybody seen any wind gust numbers? I'd be curious to know about Houma, up to LaPlace, Gonzales (Ascension) area, Northshore and Denham and Baton Rouge had to be over 75-80 in the southern part of EBR. I don't care about the Airport 15 miles away recording 60, south BR was higher.
This post was edited on 9/10 at 8:28 pm


TDsngumbo
USA Fan
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
31787 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

Anybody seen any wind gust numbers? I'd be curious to know about Houma, up to LaPlace, Gonzales (Ascension) area, Northshore and Denham and Baton Rouge had to be over 75-80 in the southern part of EBR. I don't care about the Airport 15 miles away recording 60, south BR was higher.

The western eyewall passed right to the east of Donaldsonville, north over eastern sections of St. Amant, and to Port Vincent. No doubt that Gonzales and Geismar saw considerably lower winds and wind gusts. It drops of very quickly on the western side. I’m just south of Port Vincent in Ascension Parish and I am 100% convinced my address saw 115mph wind gusts. No doubt about it in my mind. I’ve never experienced wind like that in my life and was legitimately concerned for a little while.


lsuman25
LSU Fan
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
36894 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Yea another bad thing looks like this will be a slow mover.


sledgehammer
USA Fan
SWLA
Member since Oct 2020
1036 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Let's get this season over with already!


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60
Klingler7
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Nov 2009
7136 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
I live in south Gonzales and my lowest pressure was 28.91 inches (979 mb).


udtiger
US Space Force Fan
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
79860 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
No bueno


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01
TDsngumbo
USA Fan
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
31787 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

I live in south Gonzales and my lowest pressure was 28.91 inches (979 mb).

I got down to 972.


Jake88
George Mason Fan
Member since Apr 2005
54152 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
992 in Madisonville.


LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
29274 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

Please share the rain totals?
5 inches
10
25
50



Image: https://thumbs.gfycat.com/DismalFineGermanwirehairedpointer.webp


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310
Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
108478 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

Please share the rain totals?
5 inches
10 inches


Looks like somebody is gonna get somewhere in there over 3 days
This post was edited on 9/10 at 11:40 pm


lsuman25
LSU Fan
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
36894 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
GFS rain forecast I stopped it at 6pm Wednesday
This post was edited on 9/10 at 11:48 pm


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00
TheFonz
USA Fan
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
16793 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
I’d still like to know what the highest sustained winds and gusts were in Madisonville.

Anyone else have trouble with their ears popping the following day and the pressure went back up?


BallsEleven
USA Fan
Member since Mar 2019
4714 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
The GFS shifted the heaviest rain totals into SWLA. Most of the rain coming throughout the day Monday with as much as 10” in a 6 hour window in some places.


Jake88
George Mason Fan
Member since Apr 2005
54152 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
quote:

I’d still like to know what the highest sustained winds and gusts were in Madisonville.
I wouldn't be surprised if it was much less than we suspect. Like some sustained winds of 60-70 and a gust or two at 90.

Wunderground has a bunch of weather stations from people's houses linked that you can find on a map, but at about 10pm they weren't registering anything, probably because they rely on electricity.


rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
17655 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Very tough forecast coming up with higher than normal uncertainty. From a forecast perspective, the sooner this forms and the more organized it gets the better. There aren't a lot of track options b/c of the overall setup but a more organized system will make it somewhat easier to pin down the locations of the highest rain totals. Models have been all over the place but the one common theme has been the potential for some bigtime rain totals.

The latest from WPC.

Image: https://maps8.pivotalweather.com/maps/wpc/latest/wpc_qpf_168h_p.us_sc.png


rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
17655 posts

re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana


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