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re: Tropical Storm Debby - Flooding Threat Slowly Shifting NE
Posted on 7/27/24 at 1:41 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/27/24 at 1:41 pm to rds dc
Pretty good exchange here between Eric Webb and Andy Hazelton.
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Posted on 7/27/24 at 1:43 pm to rds dc
quote:
Canadian has other thoughts
Well they were showing Beryl hitting mid Texas coast early on while the other were going Brownsville or Mexico or nothing burger.
Posted on 7/27/24 at 1:58 pm to rds dc
Hopefully the Euro is right on a trough coming to send this east bc if not if the Euro is even slightly correct someone will have big problems down the road if no front is here to pick it up.
This post was edited on 7/27/24 at 2:00 pm
Posted on 7/27/24 at 2:35 pm to rds dc
quote:
Canadian has other thoughts
Posted on 7/27/24 at 4:00 pm to High C
Me too. I spent 21 days after Ida running on a portable generator. I don’t want to do that again
Posted on 7/27/24 at 5:56 pm to deltaland
Guess gonna be the classic Euro vs GFS battle. GFS nothing, Euro shows a decent storm near the Bahamas in a little over a week
Posted on 7/27/24 at 6:26 pm to lsuman25
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a
tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is
near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave
during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a
tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is
near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles or
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Posted on 7/27/24 at 8:09 pm to lsuman25
quote:
gonna be the classic Euro vs GFS battle.
If I recall correctly, the ECMWF is better at picking up the possibility of a storm forming, while the GFS excels with the track once cyclogenesis occurs.
This post was edited on 7/27/24 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 7/27/24 at 9:55 pm to Mr Roboto
Every storm starts off yellow or at 20% then like 80% are hurricanes in 3-5 days. These yellow/orange may turn into storms.
Just put it at 75% it'll be a hurricane
Just put it at 75% it'll be a hurricane
Posted on 7/27/24 at 10:44 pm to lsuman25
From Lemon to Orange now:
Posted on 7/28/24 at 12:30 am to rds dc
This will be nothing more than a tropical wave along the panhandle.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 12:32 am to GumboPot
quote:
From Lemon to Orange now:
Someone’s getting it, just a question of who.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 12:59 am to GumboPot
The track straight over Hispaniola and Cuba does nothing for the intensity.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 3:55 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
You can't trust the Canucks. Never, ever trust the Canucks.
I don't know about the weather model. Just don't trust the Canadians.
I don’t trust anybody with flapping heads.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 8:21 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
quote:
The track straight over Hispaniola and Cuba does nothing for the intensity.
Nobody along the gulf coast wants this tracking over the islands. Looking like the door North should be there, so it could still take it.
But a strong storm will take it if its there.
Stronger faster and misses the islands gives us the best odds of a fish storm.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 10:52 am to rds dc
as usual im not concerned until Levi starts making videos on it
Posted on 7/28/24 at 10:56 am to GumboPot
Corndog colored now baws. She comin.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 11:28 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Corndog colored now baws. She comin.
I legit laughed at this comment
Headed for LA. (Hopefully not). And I like corn dogs.
.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 11:30 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Corndog colored now baws. She comin.
Looks like one of those weird party balloons you get at the dollar store.
Posted on 7/28/24 at 11:31 am to GumboPot
This one feels like a South Carolina storm to me.
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