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re: Tropical Storm Debby - Flooding Threat Slowly Shifting NE

Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by AU_251
Your dads room
Member since Feb 2013
12113 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45947 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Shore Acres


That area has been flooding for the past 20+ years. I'm shocked people are buying and not building up.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 3:33 pm to
Looks like they expanded the High Risk a bit in the latest update:
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Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 4:50 pm to
zoomed in view

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102715 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:24 pm to
Latest HWRF in line with GFS on a westward track back into the gulf after the Florida landfall

2nd landfall as a TS in New Orleans





Euro, HMON, Canadian, Icon all agree on the 2nd landfall being Georgia/Carolina
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71097 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:27 pm to
Somebody should lose their job over that. Thats stupid


Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131565 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:28 pm to
Thats what the cranes are supposed to do. Its better for them to spin in wind direction.
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11932 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:31 pm to
Meanwhile, the Okefenokee Swamp is going to get wetter, will it make a play for adding acreage because the water is just going to sit there?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:46 pm to
Getting overshooting tops now in the center
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

Latest HWRF in line with GFS on a westward track back into the gulf after the Florida landfall 2nd landfall as a TS in New Orleans

I don’t think this happens with the heat ridge protecting LA this week
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
43337 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:08 pm to
quote:

Looks like they expanded the High Risk a bit in the latest update:

Now the entire Georgia coast is included. Was just Savannah.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

I don’t think this happens with the heat ridge protecting LA this week

Both the GFS and the Euro have the ridge weakening to some degree. HWRF has a similar idea to the GFS as far as track, but gets it even farther west. The ridge to the west not being that strong/backing off shows up in all the models. The WAtl ridge builds back and closes the out-to-sea door. There's a very weak shortwave that passes through up North that isn't enough to sweep it up which is what keeps it drifting. If the ridge to the west weakens or retreats it could take the open path across the coast to the west.
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:27 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:40 pm to
Center will be passing very close to this buoy in next 2-3 hours.

Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216467 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:47 pm to
No sticky for this storm???

Interesting.
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
2710 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:48 pm to
IF this were to happen when would be a time to start noticing/be on the lookout?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:51 pm to
Tornado warnings are going to pop up continuously, but this one is near fairly populated areas east of Sarasota.

quote:

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL MANATEE AND NORTH CENTRAL SARASOTA COUNTIES...
At 747 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Lake Sarasota, or near Sarasota, moving north at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.
This dangerous storm will be near... Bradenton, Lakewood Ranch, North Sarasota, and The Meadows around 755 PM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Lake Manatee State Park, Desoto Lakes, Bee Ridge, and Fruitville.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:57 pm to
One for Cape Canaveral a bit ago, too.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

IF this were to happen when would be a time to start noticing/be on the lookout?

I honestly think it is just a wait and see deal. There's no consensus as to what happens after landfall. That's what happens when all major steering tries to break down.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80875 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

No sticky for this storm???


She'll be a cane at the next update, but she doesn't have time to become major.
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