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re: Tropical Storm Debby - Flooding Threat Slowly Shifting NE

Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:19 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:19 pm to
Recon measured a 986.1 mb, but that is extrapolated. We'll see if they go with that or adjust it upward as they sometimes do.

And lowest pressure was a little NE of advisory position.

Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80875 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

Recon measured a 986.1 mb, but that is extrapolated. We'll see if they go with that or adjust it upward as they sometimes do.


That works out to around 80 mph.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51710 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:28 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51710 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:29 pm to
August hasn’t been friendly to the Big Bend area the last couple of years. Idalia last year and now Debby.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14297 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:39 pm to
They adjusted to 988. Still 4 mb drop in a short time.

Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46915 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

Recon measured a 986.1 mb, but that is extrapolated.


Wait a minute, don’t tell me hurricane pressures are calculated like unemployment numbers by our government?
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12703 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

Recon measured a 986.1 mb, but that is extrapolated.

Wait a minute, don’t tell me hurricane pressures are calculated like unemployment numbers by our government?


No conspiracy. Weather observations for hurricanes are based on surface conditions. When winds or pressure are recorded at flight level the data is extrapolated to surface conditions.

It is the reason why, when winds observed on a rig that is 150 feet up are lowered when used in the storm report.
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 8:25 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:39 pm to


Man, it is gonna be one hell of a turn when it finally makes the move to make landfall west of Cape San Blas. I'm starting to think it isn't gonna do it.
Posted by ticklechain
Forgotten coast
Member since Mar 2018
834 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:46 pm to
All quiet so far. Little rain, breezy
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46915 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

No conspiracy. Weather observations for hurricanes are based on surface conditions. When winds or pressure are recorded at flight level the data is extrapolated to surface conditions.

It is the reason why, when winds observed on a rig that is 150 feet up are lowered when used in the storm report.


OK well can handle that. Suck im so jaded about believing anything official anymore.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:57 pm to
Debby upgraded to a hurricane
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:58 pm to
..DEBBY BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST... ...WILL BRING A MAJOR FLOOD THREAT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS
WEEK...
11:00 PM EDT Sun Aug 4
Location: 28.6°N 84.0°W
Moving: N at 12 mph
Min pressure: 985 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24821 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51710 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:03 pm to
10 PM CDT advisory. We now have Hurricane Debby.



BULLETIN
Hurricane Debby Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
1100 PM EDT Sun Aug 04 2024

...DEBBY BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST...
...WILL BRING A MAJOR FLOOD THREAT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 84.0W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WSW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0300Z 28.6N 84.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 05/1200Z 29.8N 83.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 06/0000Z 30.8N 83.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/1200Z 31.5N 82.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 07/0000Z 31.6N 81.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...OVER WATER
60H 07/1200Z 31.7N 80.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 08/0000Z 32.1N 79.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 09/0000Z 33.0N 79.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
120H 10/0000Z 34.7N 79.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 10:06 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51710 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:04 pm to
Posted by OldCityGator
St. Augustine, FL
Member since Jan 2008
1018 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:07 pm to
What in the frick is that shite??
Posted by Zapps4Life
Houston
Member since May 2016
450 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:09 pm to
Seeing some Fujiwhara effect due to multiple inner cores consolidating…


Better view…
College of Dupage GOES

Fujiwhara effect
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 10:13 pm
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44882 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:12 pm to
I know the models don’t agree but looking at that gif this things headed straight for Tallahassee.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216467 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:43 pm to
There it is!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75137 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 10:50 pm to
Rewind back to Barrel for a second, because I just remembered to look.

Hurricane Beryl made the top five for the most prolific tornado producing Atlantic hurricanes on record. It barely beat out Andrew by six tornadoes. Beryl's final tally, stretching from TX fo NY, is 67, the most since Rita.
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