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Started By
Message
4
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:52 pm to Suntiger
quote:
IIRC, the Baton Rouge flood of 2016 was about 30 inches.
The worst of it. But it happened upstream so that didn’t help.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:56 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland
They'd have to open the upper deck of the Dome
Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:00 pm to redneck
Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:00 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
Bush might have to blow the levee to let water into the canals.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:01 pm to OysterPoBoy
Gulf of Mexico gonna get flooded AF
Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:36 pm to Cosmo
12oz Euro is starting to buy a bit of the GFS' bull shite
Posted on 7/31/24 at 3:57 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland
Posted on 7/31/24 at 4:45 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Gulf of Mexico gonna get flooded AF
I cant decide if Im mad at it or not yet.
Dry AF here
Posted on 7/31/24 at 4:47 pm to TDsngumbo
Yep, the Euro is trending toward the GFS. ICON and the the Canadian are now the models that have the vorticity the farthest north.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 4:53 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
I cant decide if Im mad at it or not yet.
Looking at that rain projection this would be like asking for a lap dance and having a 400 pound stripper come waddling over.
I’d be careful what you ask for with this.
This post was edited on 7/31/24 at 9:37 pm
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:10 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland
if that is the outcome, I might as well start taking the first 4 feet of drywall out of my bottom floor right now
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:13 pm to ThePoo
This thing won’t hit land. It’s going to curve NE
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:27 pm to dallastiger55
So hope you are right.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:33 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
12z UKMET Is Nola and stalls just inland
Setups that do this are why the coastal region designation lines extend further inland than most people think. A slow-moving tropical system just dumping massive amounts of rain inland while modest wind is pushing surge against the coast. We've seen it before on more localized locations, eg Laplace during Isaac. The storm is pushing water into Pontchartrain while the the rivers are dumping into Maurepas and Pontchartrain.
West of the river isn't safe, either. Modest surge can get pushed up into the Barataria Basin with no where for the watersheds above it to drain to. I remember going from BR to Nola after Isaac, and since I-10 was closed, we had to go back along the west side of the river. I had worked on a lot of computer flood modelling after Katrina, and it was amazing to see how closely our maps lined up with reality. Our models worked, and it was terrifying. It really impressed on me how bad the perfect slow-moving storm would be for the region.
I'm getting off topic, so excuse me. Anyways, back to model watching.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:34 pm to FLObserver
18z GFS has this thing making landfall near Panama City Beach and sitting there until Thursday/Friday.
Oh and your boy has a family vacation planned from Monday - Thursday. Where you ask?
Panama City Beach……
Oh and your boy has a family vacation planned from Monday - Thursday. Where you ask?
Panama City Beach……
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:37 pm to LSUTiger23
Until things claer up which who knows when that will happen gonna be a long week ahead on here.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:39 pm to BottomlandBrew
quote:
West of the river isn't safe, either. Modest surge can get pushed up into the Barataria Basin with no where for the watersheds above it to drain to. I remember going from BR to Nola after Isaac, and since I-10 was closed, we had to go back along the west side of the river. I had worked on a lot of computer flood modelling after Katrina, and it was amazing to see how closely our maps lined up with reality. Our models worked, and it was terrifying. It really impressed on me how bad the perfect slow-moving storm would be for the region.
I forget which storm in the 1990's before the new levees were built.
Didn't the Harvey Canal almost flood Jefferson because of a storm system that dumped alot of rain and there was no where for the water to go but up and Jefferson Parish had to deploy sand bangs to prevent the levee from over topping.
Now there is a huge floodgate and pump station at the foot of the Harvey Canal to pump out the canal as water is pumped into the canal from the drainage areas in Jefferson Parish.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:41 pm to lsuman25
We’ll know more in a couple days
Posted on 7/31/24 at 5:49 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
18z GFS has this thing making landfall near Panama City Beach and sitting there until Thursday/Friday.
Oh and your boy has a family vacation planned from Monday - Thursday. Where you ask?
Panama City Beach……
It is a good thing to be in the crosshairs this far out. Your family vacation will be alright.
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