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Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:11 pm to lsuman25
That's as if Florida weren't there.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:20 pm to lsuman25
Is it just me or do they keep inching the orange to the west...
NOT wishcasting but it seems they are moving it around. At what point do they release the cone of uncertainty? After it becomes an invest?
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:21 pm to alphaandomega
No cone until you get a Potential Tropical Cyclone or straight to Depression or Storm. So no cone for a while who knows may not get one at all.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:23 pm to lsuman25
Euro huge shift west near apalachicola. Weak as heck but west shift none the less
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:29 pm to lsuman25
The GFS Ensemble is also trending more into the GOM.
Yesterday's 12Z run (7 days out from now)
>
Today's 12Z run (6 days out from now)
Yesterday's 12Z run (7 days out from now)
> Today's 12Z run (6 days out from now)
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:37 pm to NorthEndZone
Where do yall see the updated Euro 12z? Tropical tidbits still only showing 06z as latest.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:54 pm to LSUTiger23
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:55 pm to NorthEndZone
So the GFS has it going up the west coast of Florida and making landfall just east of Tallahassee…then moving east to Gainesville, then South towards Tampa…then back out to the gulf…then making a second landfall just west of Tallahassee? What a nightmare!
Posted on 7/31/24 at 1:58 pm to rds dc
This is probably a fricking retarded question but:
Is there any impact on storm activity or significance of the crazy amount of rain that SELA has had this year vs the crazy drought we had last year (and lack of storms)?
Is there any impact on storm activity or significance of the crazy amount of rain that SELA has had this year vs the crazy drought we had last year (and lack of storms)?
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:03 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Is there any impact on storm activity or significance of the crazy amount of rain that SELA has had this year vs the crazy drought we had last year (and lack of storms)?
El Nino/Nina, if i recall
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:06 pm to lsuman25
Woah 30-40 inches of rain over 1/3 of Florida would be biblical. Almost Harvey level
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:06 pm to alphaandomega
quote:
Is it just me or do they keep inching the orange to the west...
Yes, it has shifted or expanded, however you want to look at it. It is due to there being more model support for where it finally consolidates, more south. They're accounting for the possibility of that shift, which puts the Gulf in play.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:16 pm to Tarps99
quote:
At 40 inches, the whole course could be water hazard.
I’d still find the native area there
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:33 pm to LegendInMyMind
[/img] I looks like a pinball just bouncing around.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:34 pm to alphaandomega
Yeah, a stall like that would be no good.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:42 pm to LegendInMyMind
Activate the cajun navy! We must save the people at the beach!!
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:47 pm to StonewallJack
Don’t freak out people. This is a South Carolina storm.
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
12Z euro ensemble lets have fun 
Posted on 7/31/24 at 2:52 pm to StonewallJack
You’re going to need large naval ships with 40 inches of rain. It’s hard to phantom the large scale flooding that would occur. IIRC, the Baton Rouge flood of 2016 was about 30 inches.
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