Tropical Development - Mid Atlantic - 70% 5 Day Development

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An area of disturbed weather spreading across south Florida and the Bahamas is forecast to move northward, producing additional locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Florida peninsula during the next day or two. Significant development of this system is not expected before it merges with a front and accelerates northeastward off the southeastern U.S. coast on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. 2. A broad low pressure system located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Slow development of this system is expected during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression is likely to form several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are now forecast to become unfavorable for additional development by early next week as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Zelinsky/McElroy

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