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Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:34 pm to slackster
Just noticed that one. Definitely in supercell development.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:38 pm to Woopigsooie20
Where do y'all go to watch this? What's your go to site?
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:39 pm to Woopigsooie20
Cell just north of Oberlin is starting to pick up some inflow on the velocity maps.


Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:40 pm to slackster
Cells south of Alexandria and starting to crowd each other. Looks like they are gonna merge.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:40 pm to Woopigsooie20
just got a "special weather statement" alert on my phone for the cell I assume just south of Alexandria... guessing that 1 is headed my way
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:42 pm to rt3
Warning south of Shreveport dropped.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:44 pm to DavidTheGnome
quote:
Where do y'all go to watch this? What's your go to site?
RadarScope tends to be the most popular choice, namely for the relative velocity maps.
If you want to get something for free, you can use NEXRAD from WUnderground or the NWS radar loops. Go back and forth between reflectivity and storm relative velocity while tracking storms to get an idea.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:45 pm to Scoop
quote:
Warning south of Shreveport dropped.
From tornado warned to non-severe. That got killed in a hurry.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:46 pm to slackster
I'm just wondering if there is too much cluttering of the convection to allow discrete supercells to really produce strong, long track tornadoes.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:47 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Yeah. So far nothing stout has held past I-20. That's where everything has fallen apart all day.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:48 pm to Scoop
quote:
Cells south of Alexandria and starting to crowd each other. Looks like they are gonna merge.
That area west to east has quite a few storms popping off. This cell between Newton, TX and De Ridder, LA blew up in 9 minutes:

Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:55 pm to slackster
quote:
Mesoscale Discussion 0403
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1249 PM CDT Sun Apr 02 2017
Areas affected...Portions of eastern LA...central/western
MS...southern LA
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 021749Z - 021945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...The severe risk will gradually increase east of ongoing
Tornado Watch 109. While not presently likely, these areas will
continue to be monitored for possible watch issuance through
mid-afternoon. The severe risk and watch probabilities will increase
later in the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Positive theta-e advection in association with a
northward-advancing warm front analyzed from west-central LA to
southern LA continues fostering convective development over
south-central LA. This activity is blossoming over the northern
extent of an uncapped, very moist boundary layer supporting
2000-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE. Lake Charles radar imagery indicates many
cells already exhibiting supercellular characteristics, and this
activity may continue developing northward across areas east of
Tornado Watch 109. Stronger deep ascent remains displaced to the
west of the area, and overall confidence in a more widespread severe
risk is limited in the short term. Nevertheless, with 35-50 kt of
effective shear supporting organized convective structures and
effective SRH of 300-500 m2/s2 building northward, the conditional
risk for severe hail, wind, and tornadoes may exist through
mid-afternoon. By later in the afternoon, as stronger deep ascent
arrives, unconditional severe-thunderstorm and tornado probabilities
will increase.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:56 pm to slackster
would basically be an extension of the last watch box
Posted on 4/2/17 at 12:57 pm to rds dc
Are we looking at a Tornado Outbreak type of day or just a day where one or two is possible?
Posted on 4/2/17 at 1:00 pm to rds dc
anyone know what the "SIG SEVERE" area means?
Posted on 4/2/17 at 1:02 pm to slackster
We might see a warning with this rotation coming out of Gary City, TX. It's part of a squall line though...


Posted on 4/2/17 at 1:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
I'm just wondering if there is too much cluttering of the convection to allow discrete supercells to really produce strong, long track tornadoes
Way too early to tell, but if I had to guess, we'll see probably 3 or 4 dominate supercells take over later this afternoon.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 1:05 pm to slackster
quote:
The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a
* Tornado Warning for... Northwestern De Soto Parish in northwestern Louisiana... Southwestern Caddo Parish in northwestern Louisiana... Southeastern Harrison County in northeastern Texas... Central Panola County in northeastern Texas...
* Until 145 PM CDT
* At 102 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Carthage, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD... Tornado. SOURCE... Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT... Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.
* This dangerous storm will be near... Deberry around 120 PM CDT. Greenwood around 140 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Midyett, Keithville, Deadwood, Front, Spring Ridge, Woods, Cross Lake, Gary City, Forbing and Keachi. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
Posted on 4/2/17 at 1:07 pm to slackster
Storms in CenLa are growing up scale into clusters, probably limiting the long track violent tornado threat with those. The next wave to watch will be the cell firing off in the Gulf about to move onshore.


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