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Started By
Message
Tornado! Threat Continues Overnight then Shifts East Tomorrow
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:24 am
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:24 am
For Tomorrow:
This post was edited on 4/2/17 at 8:24 pm
21
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:33 am to rds dc
Southeast Louisiana is in the in between outlooks timeframe, looks like a severe threat there as well, more than a flood threat
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:46 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Southeast Louisiana is in the in between outlooks timeframe
What does this mean?
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:47 am to shiftworker
quote:
quote:
Southeast Louisiana is in the in between outlooks timeframe
What does this mean?
That the impacts in SE Louisiana are expected to be beyond the time period that this outlook covers.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:47 am to rds dc
Why do these systems ALWAYS pass through Louisiana at NIGHT? It's unbelievable
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 8:50 am
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:49 am to rds dc
So when should we expect an outlook for SE La?
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:49 am to rds dc
so on a scale of 1-10 how dumb is it for me to drive from Austin to New Orleans Sunday?
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:51 am to rds dc
Modeled radar output from this morning:
This shows the significant tornado parameter - a model output that highlights areas with favorable atmospheric conditions for tornadoes:
This shows the significant tornado parameter - a model output that highlights areas with favorable atmospheric conditions for tornadoes:
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:57 am to shiftworker
quote:
So when should we expect an outlook for SE La?
It is in between outlooks, the time it will pass through SE La is after tomorrow's outlook, but before the Monday outlook, so it ends up not covered. As the outlook gets updated through the day tomorrow, SE La may eventually end up in the outlook. Some of SE La is in the standard slight risk for Monday.
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 9:05 am
Posted on 4/1/17 at 8:59 am to shiftworker
Yeah. The way the outlook is, we have a significant event during the day so that outlook focuses on that cause you can't have overlapping outlooks. Day 3 gives us a slight, but the models are showing a higher chance of severe weather for Sela early Monday morning. NWS also put out a product showing 4.5+ in of rain for New Orleans/Houma.
The latest NAM is showing STP rates of 5 over SELA around 3-6 am Monday. Low level curved holographs as well. CAPE values 3000+.
This is for Houma:
The latest NAM is showing STP rates of 5 over SELA around 3-6 am Monday. Low level curved holographs as well. CAPE values 3000+.
This is for Houma:
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:10 am to rds dc
What has South Louisiana and East Texas done to the weather gods lately? It seems like these events are focused in this area way too much over the past 6 months.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:26 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
The latest NAM is showing STP rates of 5 over SELA around 3-6 am Monday. Low level curved holographs as well. CAPE values 3000+.
*whatdoesitmeangif*
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:31 am to East Coast Band
Tired of having to fear these nasty arse storms. shite man we can't catch a damn break
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:32 am to saintsfan92612
quote:
so on a scale of 1-10 how dumb is it for me to drive from Austin to New Orleans Sunday?
100
You may want to leave early early in the AM,
This post was edited on 4/1/17 at 9:33 am
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:36 am to rds dc
I wouldn't be surprised if we end up getting a PDS out of this.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:38 am to Scoop
Our meteorologist things there will be a high risk
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:38 am to Tiger Nation 84
quote:
You may want to leave early early in the AM,
You should always defer to the local NWS office forecast, with that said, one of the unique things with this setup is that conditions will be favorable early in the day for all types of svr wx. It is likely that the 1st watches are issued in the morning.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:40 am to rds dc
Look at that radar output. Those pre frontal storms become right movers
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:42 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Our meteorologist things there will be a high risk
There is high end potential but it is dependent on how thing evolve overnight. If a big MCS forms in the Hill Country and then blasts east before discrete cells can form across SE Texas then that would limit the chances of a High Risk. If there is a wide open warm sector in the morning then SPC might pull the trigger.
Posted on 4/1/17 at 9:48 am to rds dc
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