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re: Tornado! - Bassfield, MS rated EF-4 w/ 63 Mile Track, Peak Winds 170 mph
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:34 am to East Coast Band
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:34 am to East Coast Band
The short version of the SPC risk level thread was this.
It used to be slight, moderate, high with corresponding tornado risks of (5%, 15%, 30%). Emergency managers would ask them on slight days if it was normal slight or "enhanced" slight (10%) since that is a big difference in risk.
So the SPC made the Enhanced for those 10% days, but that fricks with the step size. As it now goes up 5%, 10%, 15%, 30% from levels 2 to 5.
Then you have the fact "enhanced" sounds worse than "moderate" and that moderate means 4/5 instead of the middle.
It used to be slight, moderate, high with corresponding tornado risks of (5%, 15%, 30%). Emergency managers would ask them on slight days if it was normal slight or "enhanced" slight (10%) since that is a big difference in risk.
So the SPC made the Enhanced for those 10% days, but that fricks with the step size. As it now goes up 5%, 10%, 15%, 30% from levels 2 to 5.
Then you have the fact "enhanced" sounds worse than "moderate" and that moderate means 4/5 instead of the middle.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:34 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Link?
Ah hell, I'm terrible at linking Twitter. Let me go see if I can find it again. Levi retweeted it.
Patrick Marsh was the guy talking about it. I don't know how to do the direct Twitter links, though.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:36 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
April 27, 2011
Anyone recommend an article or video on the events of this day?
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:38 am to doubleb
quote:
The ripe area should be in Alabama and Miss.
Yeah these areas are going to keep heating up over the next 10-15 hours and then the front slams into unstable gulf air. Parts of GA too.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:39 am to Duke
on that 511LA link... I-20 @ Thomas Rd. camera in Monroe looks gnarly
heavy, sheeting rain & high winds
heavy, sheeting rain & high winds
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:39 am to SpanishFortTiger
quote:
Anyone recommend an article or video on the events of this day?
YouTube and dive in. I posted a good multi part documentary from NWS Huntsville that was really good.
James Spann has their entire coverage from that day on YouTube. There are countless documentaries about it. There are some coverage from North AL there, as well.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:41 am to LegendInMyMind
winds trying to swirl as the storm is entering downtown Monroe
but nothing on correlation coefficient yet
but nothing on correlation coefficient yet
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:41 am to Paul Allen
quote:
LegendInMyMind, I highly doubt you would have the wherewithal nor the balls to say that to dukkev’s face.
You don't know me. But, then again, with his otherworldly powers to completely dicker shite without intention, I would likely regret it.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:43 am to LegendInMyMind
2 radar confirmed tornadoes in Ouachita Parish (1 heading RIGHT INTO Monroe)
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:44 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
A moderate risk is very significant, so no one in the moderate risk should let their guard down.
I agree, and I wasn't implying that anyone should let their guard down. I was replying to the guy that said this is being hyped as the next April 27. I pointed out the difference in wording from the SPC. I wasn't downplaying anything.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:44 am to rds dc
looks like the worst weather south louisiana is going to get is the strong winds ahead of the front
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:45 am to SpanishFortTiger
quote:
Anyone recommend an article or video on the events of this day?
There's a good book on it called What Stands In A Storm, I listened to the audiobook version from the Google Play store.
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:45 am to rt3
all the interstate cameras in Monroe are starting to fail
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:46 am to rt3
Sounds like Monroe is taking a direct hit
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:46 am to MrLSU
quote:
MrLSU
blowing minds by showing there is an actual Bawcomville
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:47 am to MrLSU
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/7/23 at 3:28 pm
Posted on 4/12/20 at 11:47 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
I've already explained this to you once. The atmosphere over MS and AL IS NOT YET RIPE for discrete supercells. That comes later this afternoon/evening/tonight. Also, don't discount the tornado producing abilities of the squall line.
It might get that way in Alabama but where I’m at it won’t. It’s 65 degrees and looking at radar it’s almost gone except the squall line by Monroe
I’m just talking about my area in the Ms delta it seems to be pretty mild
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