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re: Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:54 am to iamAG
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:54 am to iamAG
quote:
Each spin you have a 1:38 chance to hit. With each spin that does not hit the number you choose, the “probability” that the number you selected hits will go up. This is what probability is.
That would be true if they covered up numbers so the ball couldn’t fall in those pockets. Unfortunately that isn’t the game. Every spin has the same probability, 1/38. There’s nothing to prevent the ball from hitting the same number 50 times in a row, it is not likely but it could theoretically happen.
0
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:54 am to jbgleason
OP is a dumbass
This is a better example
It’s better to play the same powerball numbers every time, assuming the game goes on indefinitely, than it is to play random numbers each time and hit a moving target with a changing numbers
This is a better example
It’s better to play the same powerball numbers every time, assuming the game goes on indefinitely, than it is to play random numbers each time and hit a moving target with a changing numbers
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:55 am to iamAG
Probablilty is not based on prior rolls. The odds of one roll hitting any number are the exact same regardless of all of the prior rolls. There is a reason they have that little sign up there with the previous 10 rolls. It’s for people like you.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:59 am to iamAG
quote:
Each spin you have a 1:38 chance to hit.
With each spin that does not hit the number you choose, the “probability” that the number you selected hits will go up. This is what probability is.
You... uh.... gonna come back and correct this statement or? I mean... come on dude... really? You can’t really think that, right?
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:59 am to iamAG
Each spins is independent of previous spins...so your chances to win are 1/38 every time. The don't add together...it is the same probability for every spin.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:01 am to iamAG
sucking on batteries is NOT good for you
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:02 am to SoFunnyItsNot
quote:
why people think they can figure out the casino is beyond me. there are a lot smarter people out there and no one has truly figured it out. Unless they are cheating
Yep. Where do you think the money to build those big hotels with fancy fountains out front comes from? From folks like iamAG.
This post was edited on 6/13/18 at 11:03 am
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:02 am to iamAG
Its not blackjack where you see face cards so there must be fewer in the deck. You know why they show what the last 10 numbers that hit are? For suckers. It could hit the same exact number or color, potentially forever.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:04 am to iamAG
So you're telling me that if you sit there and watch the spins, rather than gamble, and notice that the number 20 hasn't hit in 15 spins, all of the sudden your odds of it hitting are basically doubled and you should start betting big on 20? That's how this theory of yours works?
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:04 am to iamAG
quote:
That’s definitely how probability works. My math might be wrong
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:05 am to iamAG
quote:
With each spin that does not hit the number you choose, the “probability” that the number you selected hits will go up. This is what probability is.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:06 am to iamAG
quote:The hell is going on in here?
Not true when talking about probability of one number hitting. Over time when one number does not hit, the likelihood of that number hitting goes up.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:06 am to Triple Bogey
I do know that about 18 yrs ago in online casinos,
the Martingale strategy worked on French Roulette(only has one "0")with VERY high max bets. I would NO way fricking NO how try that shite now.
the Martingale strategy worked on French Roulette(only has one "0")with VERY high max bets. I would NO way fricking NO how try that shite now.
This post was edited on 6/13/18 at 11:07 am
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:07 am to iamAG
quote:So if you flip a coin and hit heads 5 times in a row, are you insinuating that on the next flip, tails has a better than 50% chance of hitting?
It’s not foolproof, but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
Is this real life?
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:07 am to Fe_Mike
quote:
So you're telling me that if you sit there and watch the spins, rather than gamble, and notice that the number 20 hasn't hit in 15 spins, all of the sudden your odds of it hitting are basically doubled and you should start betting big on 20? That's how this theory of yours works?
if black hits 10 times in a row, what is the probability that it will hit an 11th time in a row?
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:08 am to iamAG
Probability of a given number occurring in 38 spins is:
1 - ((37/38)^38) or 63.7%
1 - ((37/38)^38) or 63.7%
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:08 am to mikelbr
quote:
I would NO way fricking NO how try that shite now.
This sentence made my head throb worse than the OP'S mastery of probability.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:08 am to Dav
quote:This, but this is about the least fun you can have in a casino, and I love poker.
Just go sit at a cash game poker table. Play tight and only bet big hands. You’ll come out on top more often than not.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:09 am to iamAG
Posted on 6/13/18 at 11:10 am to iamAG
quote:
to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct
Every mathematician in the world disagrees with you.
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