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Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:49 am to iamAG
quote:
. Over time when one number does not hit, the likelihood of that number hitting goes up.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:50 am to Croacka
It’s not foolproof, but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:50 am to iamAG
The only way your "probability" model would work is if they took the number out that just hit.
For example, first spin hits 34. From now on the dealer cant hit 34. Second spin hits 15, from now on the dealer cant hit 34 or 15. Third spin hit 32. From now on the deal cant hit 34, 15, or 32. Etc Etc. Until all the numbers are hit, then start over.
As you seem to know, that is not the case. So, your probability model is, in fact, wrong.
For example, first spin hits 34. From now on the dealer cant hit 34. Second spin hits 15, from now on the dealer cant hit 34 or 15. Third spin hit 32. From now on the deal cant hit 34, 15, or 32. Etc Etc. Until all the numbers are hit, then start over.
As you seem to know, that is not the case. So, your probability model is, in fact, wrong.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:50 am to iamAG
quote:
Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Your thoughts on roulette are incorrect.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:50 am to iamAG
quote:
Not true when talking about probability of one number hitting. Over time when one number does not hit, the likelihood of that number hitting goes up.
Vegas absolutely loves people that think like this.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:50 am to iamAG
quote:
but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
Jesus dude, stop.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to Tiny Rick
quote:
He said “you want some advice? Get a stack of $20s about 2 inches thick. Find the nearest men’s room and every 10 minutes take one of those $20s and flush it down the toilet.
This is why I only play live poker and never house games.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
quote:
but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
Literally any source pls
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
I can’t tell if you really believe that or you’re just fricking with everyone
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
Just play a color and a hedge here or there like a normal person
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to LNCHBOX
why people think they can figure out the casino is beyond me. there are a lot smarter people out there and no one has truly figured it out. Unless they are cheating
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
Roulette is stastically one of the worst table games you can play.
Just go sit at a cash game poker table. Play tight and only bet big hands. You’ll come out on top more often than not.
Just go sit at a cash game poker table. Play tight and only bet big hands. You’ll come out on top more often than not.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
Let's say you bet one number. You get 38:1 odds with a 0 and 00 but paid out only 36:1. Every single spin, you are at a 5.2% disadvantage.
Let's say you bet black/red. You have 18:38 odds, or more simply put a 47.3 percent chance of getting your money back, a 2.7% disadvantage. Every spin. (Math may be slightly off so correct me if I'm wrong)
No matter how you cut it, you will always be behind the eight ball. Casinos are large, elaborate, money making machines because every single game in the casino has a house advantage. If it were this easy, then there wouldn't be any casinos anymore.
Let's say you bet black/red. You have 18:38 odds, or more simply put a 47.3 percent chance of getting your money back, a 2.7% disadvantage. Every spin. (Math may be slightly off so correct me if I'm wrong)
No matter how you cut it, you will always be behind the eight ball. Casinos are large, elaborate, money making machines because every single game in the casino has a house advantage. If it were this easy, then there wouldn't be any casinos anymore.
This post was edited on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:51 am to iamAG
Your thoughts are absolutely incorrect.
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am to iamAG
quote:
Not true when talking about probability of one number hitting. Over time when one number does not hit, the likelihood of that number hitting goes up
Casinos love people like you
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am to iamAG
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/13/18 at 11:48 am
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am to iamAG
quote:
not foolproof, but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
You do realize that it is possible an honest wheel could not hit, say #13 (cause it's bad luck), for an hour? Or day? Or week?
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am to jbgleason
Gambler's fallacy at work here people!
Posted on 6/13/18 at 10:53 am to iamAG
Each spin is an independent event resulting in your odds being reset to 1/38
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