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Started By
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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:19 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:19 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
quote:
This outcome would almost certainly destroy my entire life.
Wouldn’t destroy mine, but I’m already facing decisions that will change mine in some way if this lands in LC. Never in my life have I had to face decisions like this and I need whiskey already.
2
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:20 am to Prominentwon
The more time that passes, it looks more like we will be spared this one.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:21 am to BallsEleven
So waking up, Euro is still favoring SWLA (triggers anxiety) while the GFS still likes SELA?
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:23 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:23 am to BallsEleven
quote:
The more time that passes, it looks more like we will be spared this one.
I think we can handle anything outside of a direct hit. If it’s a direct hit, things are going to have to change.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:23 am to SouthernChick
Hey y’all. At the risk of sounding too sappy, just want to say I love all you guys. These threads are always informative with the typical sarcasm and humor mixed in to help keep some degree of sanity.
My parents are both from Moss Bluff. I spent Labor Day weekend last year helping family clean up post Laura, and the images of that have stayed with me for the last year in a profound way. This has got me nervous as hell right now.
I’ll say this: the strength of community outside of BR and NOLA in this state is freaking awesome. When the politics s abandon us, the community comes together and helps out in an amazing way. Gives me hope there are still lots of good people left here.
Hang in there folks.
My parents are both from Moss Bluff. I spent Labor Day weekend last year helping family clean up post Laura, and the images of that have stayed with me for the last year in a profound way. This has got me nervous as hell right now.
I’ll say this: the strength of community outside of BR and NOLA in this state is freaking awesome. When the politics s abandon us, the community comes together and helps out in an amazing way. Gives me hope there are still lots of good people left here.
Hang in there folks.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:24 am to sledgehammer
Latest euro has it hitting central la coast.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:24 am to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
remember the Cat 2 winds in BR.
Hahahahahahahaha
Judging by my downvotes no one remembers the Gustav bingo squares.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:24 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:26 am to sledgehammer
quote:
while the GFS still likes SELA?
I just saw on TV that he eye will run through Grand isle and be up to Houma at 10 am Tuesday.
This was on Weather Nation, so TIFWIW.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:26 am to Prominentwon
It looks to me like the models are starting to converge although there is still more disagreement than for earlier storms.
Texas is taken pretty much out of the equation, the highest and lowest speeds are getting more tightly packed, and we are looking at a Category 2 or 3 somewhere between Lake Charles and the LA/MS border.
But the landfall estimates are now shifting subtly, not going from central Mexico to Lake Charles in 24 hours.
Texas is taken pretty much out of the equation, the highest and lowest speeds are getting more tightly packed, and we are looking at a Category 2 or 3 somewhere between Lake Charles and the LA/MS border.
But the landfall estimates are now shifting subtly, not going from central Mexico to Lake Charles in 24 hours.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:32 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
Texas is taken pretty much out of the equation, the highest and lowest speeds are getting more tightly packed, and we are looking at a Category 2 or 3 somewhere between Lake Charles and the LA/MS border.
Smh… I admire your confidence, but this is too premature. This storm isnt even named yet, its still an invest.
Please inform me, wheres the NHCs landfall location? Whats the average error of models are 5 days out? Whats the NHCs average error 5 days out?
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 5:33 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:34 am to Hangit
quote:
just saw on TV that he eye will run through Grand isle and be up to Houma at 10 am Tuesday.
frickkkkkkkkkkk me
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:35 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
Texas is taken pretty much out of the equation
*yawn*
You'd think my daughter would be over these 4:15 bottles by now.
Anyway, Texas aint off the board yet. Models arent showing you the full range on outcomes. Louisiana though, Id agree, is clearly at the most risk.
quote:
we are looking at a Category 2 or 3
Im thinking 3 or 4.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:35 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
we are looking at a Category 2 or 3
zeta was a 3 correct?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:35 am to Keys Open Doors
Based on path projections and the forecast for this one to be a large system, It’s looking more and more like Louisiana will feel the effects from this one from all ends of the coastal border if it comes in anywhere between lafayette and grand isle.
It’s also looking more likely that it will be a strong system.
Anyone know when the hurricane hunters fly out?
It’s also looking more likely that it will be a strong system.
Anyone know when the hurricane hunters fly out?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:36 am to Duke
Will have a much better idea today once recon goes in.
Agree 3/4
Agree 3/4
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:36 am to Duke
quote:
Im thinking 3 or 4.
shite
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:38 am to LSUmajek
quote:
Will have a much better idea today once recon goes in.
Hopefully it'll help narrow the spread some. Plus, just awfully curious about what's under the hood.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:41 am to Keys Open Doors
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:43 am to Duke
GFS which has been on the high end for intensity had the most recent run at 958 mbar which is a mid tier 3.
The Euro was showing Category 1 winds yesterday I believe but has picked up the intensity.
Zeta was a 3 with max winds of 115 mph
The Euro was showing Category 1 winds yesterday I believe but has picked up the intensity.
Zeta was a 3 with max winds of 115 mph
Posted on 8/26/21 at 5:46 am to Prominentwon
quote:
think we can handle anything outside of a direct hit. If it’s a direct hit, things are going to have to change.
Kinda how I feel. The HWRF model going into SETX would be bad for us, but not catastrophic. Probably Cat1 or Cat2 winds in LC. Not sure about storm surge though.
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