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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:38 pm to
Posted by TchoupitoulasTiger
NOLA
Member since May 2011
1298 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:38 pm to
quote:

Given that experience and the current forecast, if you are currently sitting in New Orleans thinking you will have power Monday-Thursday you’ve got sunshine and rainbows coming out your a$$ (or a generator).


I left for Isaac- not really because of the storm, but because of the sh*tshow that I knew would follow. The Entergy app showed I had power a day or two after it passed. That ended up being COMPLETELY wrong. I spent 1 night in my apartment without power. It was so freaking hot, not even alcohol + Ambien could put me to sleep. Was 8 days before the lights came back on, 12 days for the people across the street.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71448 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:38 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/3/23 at 3:58 pm
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
51940 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:39 pm to
Staying in Central
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10781 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Everybody I know that lives in BR is staying here.


Good. Keep your asses off I10 when we drive through from NOLA tomorrow morning.
Posted by SW2SCLA
We all float down here
Member since Feb 2009
23006 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:39 pm to
So the western side develops but track remains fairly unchanged aside from the wobbles?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53476 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

HWRF showing a stronger storm than Laura. Unreal


Was the HWRF fairly accurate for Laura?
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76413 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

 bit of shear


frick yeah

quote:

reduces the shear on Ida


frick no
Posted by 3deadtrolls
lafayette
Member since Jan 2014
6720 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
I'm at work and haven't been able to watch much, how are things looking for Lafayette?
Posted by jdd48
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
23442 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

Everybody I know that lives in BR is staying here.



If anyone wants to get together for an Ida blowout, let me know.
Posted by Mike da Tigah
Bravo Romeo Lima Alpha
Member since Feb 2005
61368 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

Baton Rouge- 33% change of winds 75 mph or more. I thought it would be much higher.

That will be much higher 2 days from now when the storm is close.



So, what you’re saying is this is gonna suck
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40428 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
So the little bully bitches are spinning the merry go round on the east side?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
24803 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

have an Aunt and Uncle still in Houma. They are staying because they have a lot of shrimp in the freezer.

Bless their heart. Feel like I’d expect that out of someone from Houma
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71797 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:




A friend just sent me this from Pinar Del Rio:
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

So the western side develops but track remains fairly unchanged aside from the wobbles?




My post has zero to do with track. It's about how strong it is getting.

The track is good, except for the normal wobbles at the end that will save some folks and not so much others.
Posted by SlickRick55
Member since May 2016
2720 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

That will be much higher 2 days from now when the storm is close.


Maybe, but I don’t know what would change that prediction. That number above is based on the 140mph landfall/offshore.
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13496 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

Any more bigger jogs east/west?


Not a chance, MC and BR fricked.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40428 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:41 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176180 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

So this is what I'm watching tonight, using this very roughly drawn image to explain.

On the east side, a big outflow channel is opening up. This helps a storm strengthen.

Now on the west side there is a little upper low hanging around, shittily drawn in blue. This is the source of the bit of shear still hitting Ida, but it's getting bullied out of the way by the outflow starting to push out the west side.

As this feature weakens and drifts west, it further reduces the shear on Ida and allows it to expand it's west side.

So I'm watching this little battle on the western flank, seeing just how much Ida starts to breathe once across Cuba.




Cliff notes: ida finna split the uprights and go vroom vroom
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 6:42 pm
Posted by bayou39
Member since Nov 2012
630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:41 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175875 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

So, what you’re saying is this is gonna suck


Current track this would be the worst hurricane to ever impact Baton Rouge. Baton Rouge is in line for a direct hit.

If it goes into Vermilion Bay or east closer to New Orleans it won't be as bad *in Baton Rouge.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 6:43 pm
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