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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:38 am to
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19326 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:38 am to
That would appear to be a pretty big jump at this point but I suppose it’s possible since they’re in the cone.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21575 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:38 am to
quote:

What does this mean?


Wind shear is caused by changes in speed and direction of the wind as you go from the surface to the top of the storm. Convection has been displaced by shear away from the surface circulation (downshear). However, as the storm organizes it will try to wrap those storms around the low level circulation (upshear). So Papin's tweet was highlighting this phenomenon and pointing out that (at the time of tweet) shear was still blowing thunderstorms away from the surface circulation.
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
2740 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:38 am to
“ Steph’s tits on point this morning.”

Ida like to see that.
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34597 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:38 am to
quote:

You’re putting your own convenience in front of your children’s safety




Yikes


No I’m not
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19326 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:39 am to
quote:

What does this mean?



quote:

Wind shear is caused by changes in speed and direction of the wind as you go from the surface to the top of the storm. Convection has been displaced by shear away from the surface circulation (downshear). However, as the storm organizes it will try to wrap those storms around the low level circulation (upshear). So Papin's tweet was highlighting this phenomenon and pointing out that (at the time of tweet) shear was still blowing thunderstorms away from the surface circulation.



Ok, but what does that mean
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:40 am to
quote:

Wind shear is caused by changes in speed and direction of the wind as you go from the surface to the top of the storm. Convection has been displaced by shear away from the surface circulation (downshear). However, as the storm organizes it will try to wrap those storms around the low level circulation (upshear). So Papin's tweet was highlighting this phenomenon and pointing out that (at the time of tweet) shear was still blowing thunderstorms away from the surface circulation.

So...
Not strengthening?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:40 am to
Shear is blowing storms away from the center, and the storm is going to be working to rotate that back around the center.

This battle is a limitation on strengthening in the near term.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36233 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:40 am to
quote:

What does this mean?


Wind shear is caused by changes in speed and direction of the wind as you go from the surface to the top of the storm. Convection has been displaced by shear away from the surface circulation (downshear). However, as the storm organizes it will try to wrap those storms around the low level circulation (upshear). So Papin's tweet was highlighting this phenomenon and pointing out that (at the time of tweet) shear was still blowing thunderstorms away from the surface circulation.

Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95062 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:40 am to
quote:

My wife and 3 yr old are either going to family in Houston or Dallas, when would y’all expect the evac situation to get out of control? They would be leaving from BR


Those two bridges west out of BR are going to be a clusterfrick
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53520 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:41 am to

quote:

Exactly. This is going to be a recipe for disaster for widespread tree damage. Gustav was horrible for trees in BR, this could potentially be worse


Well don’t forget the Gustav blow wasn’t just a function of storm strength. It was the fact that BR had gone abnormally long without hurricane force winds, so you had a lot of weak trees sticking around.

That here has been culled a bit.
Posted by PurpleGoldTiger
Thibodaux, LA
Member since Mar 2010
4030 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Not strengthening?

Not yet to the extent that it will once that shear breaks down.
Posted by CCT
LA
Member since Dec 2006
6995 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:41 am to
My family in Houma “do not think they will get hit because the storms always avoid LA.”

Grandbaby is 1.5 months old.

Posted by EastBankTiger
A little west of Hoover Dam
Member since Dec 2003
21657 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:42 am to
I'm surprised that the media hasn't mentioned Sunday being the 16th anniversary of Katrina.
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:42 am to
quote:

My family in Houma “do not think they will get hit because the storms always avoid LA.”

Grandbaby is 1.5 months old.

It's literally right over them. It's not like hurricanes are Houmaphobes and avoid the area
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
24211 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:42 am to
Good news is that Houma has a pretty good levee hurricane protection system
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
69326 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:43 am to
All this sounds fun until you don’t have power for 10 days. It’s hot and muggy in the house and you can’t watch LSU.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14387 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:43 am to
quote:

No I’m not



By keeping them at home for a possible CAT 3 hurricane? Because you don’t want to get stuck in traffic with them?


I disagree
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34597 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:43 am to
quote:


Well don’t forget the Gustav blow wasn’t just a function of storm strength. It was the fact that BR had gone abnormally long without hurricane force winds, so you had a lot of weak trees sticking around.



Yep, also had Katrina weaken some trees a few years earlier. Gustav was just the perfect storm to take down trees, wasn’t really terrible in other regards IMO
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12930 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:44 am to
quote:

It was the fact that BR had gone abnormally long without hurricane force winds, so you had a lot of weak trees sticking around.
I don't BR has had anything close since though.
And with all this rain the ground around here is pretty wet.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 7:45 am
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103155 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Any chance it could jog closer to the Mississippi state line? I know this far out it usually jogs a little



Highly unlikely
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