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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:36 pm to Duke
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:36 pm to Duke
quote:
The HWRF looks primed to bomb Ida as it makes the approach to LA.
The HWRF seems to benefit from recon data more than any other model. So, even with that sounding looking like bad news, the trend today has been:
72hr
06z - 947mb
12z - 955mb
18z - 966mb
00z run will have even more recon data, so let's see if the trend continues. The track has basically stayed the same - right over the loop current, which is currently rocket fuel.
3
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:39 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z HWRF looks to be handling the situation pretty well and shows kind of a steady state system through Cuba with the "LLC" bouncing around and pressure going up over the next 6hrs or so. This results in a less organized system moving across Cuba tomorrow vs. 12z and the 18z GFS.
Trending toward a weaker system. I don’t think we see a major hurricane unless it gets its shite together tonight
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:39 pm to rds dc
Looks like forward speed and less organized off Cuba making the difference as we go.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:41 pm to WylieTiger
quote:
That path will flood NOLA
But not without showing its vax card
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:42 pm to Duke
What’s the over/under on the number of weather channel folks in NOLA this weekend?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:42 pm to rds dc
HWRF going with Marsh Island again.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:43 pm to slackster
HWRF can frick off
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:43 pm to slackster
quote:
Marsh Island
quote:
Slackster
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:44 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z - 966mb
Going for 955mb
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:44 pm to deltaland
quote:
Trending toward a weaker system. I don’t think we see a major hurricane unless it gets its shite together tonight
Even the weaker HWRF still gets Ida up to Cat 3 before landfall, fwiw.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Going for 955mb
He's talking about through 72 hours.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 pm to Duke
It still comes in at 955mb but the fact that the HWRF and HMON aren't going sub 920mb with the projected setup is a bit of an encouraging sign at this point.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 pm to slackster
Marsh Island about 75 miles west of the track right now. With the trends to the East I don’t see it hitting that far West
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 pm to Cosmo
I threw out an "infamous" Marsh Island earlier. 
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:45 pm to rds dc
This thing going to keep pushing E or what?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:46 pm to Swagga
Yucatán mountains really needs to be on the next version of TD hurricane bingo
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:46 pm to slackster
F that.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:47 pm to Cosmo
The Diocese of Lake Charles has canceled school tomorrow.
:lol:
:lol:Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:47 pm to rds dc
quote:
It still comes in at 955mb but the fact that the HWRF and HMON aren't going sub 920mb with the projected setup is a bit of an encouraging sign at this point
For sure.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 6:47 pm to Tigerfan1274
Has the HMON made this thing 250 mph yet?
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