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Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:27 am to The Pirate King
quote:
IF the storm develops AND hits us (and that's a huge if) you're talking about 7 more days of drainage and evaporation in the middle of 100* summer weather of the existing flood waters. I think we'll be ok
Sitting here in Livingston Parish looking out the window of my car. I can say will 100% certainty these people don't want any more
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:28 am to FelicianaTigerfan
Is this gonna bring Bob Breck out of retirement?
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 10:33 am
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:28 am to Tamer of beasts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:28 am to LSURussian
quote:
For those in the know
You just excluded every person on this board, fwiw.....
I'm as critical as it gets in these weather threads because I despise the speculative and alarmist nature they tend to have, but you're being an arse.
If someone wants to know when it could enter the GOM or when it could impact LA, I see no harm in relaying the information that models like the Euro are suggesting.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:28 am to tunechi
quote:
Is the gonna bring Bob Breck out of retirement?
He's still on as a special consultant so my guess is you'll see him on Fox 8 in the next few days.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:29 am to LSURussian
Sometimes you got to state the obvious Russian.
I'm on edge myself after three feet of water in my house, but there's not much there yet to try and track movement by satellite or to put much faith in any model run. The set up is concerning with the high building over the SE this weekend, but it's just potential now.
Just watch the model runs every 12 hours and wait until we get a name and better upper air data from the NWS.
I'm on edge myself after three feet of water in my house, but there's not much there yet to try and track movement by satellite or to put much faith in any model run. The set up is concerning with the high building over the SE this weekend, but it's just potential now.
Just watch the model runs every 12 hours and wait until we get a name and better upper air data from the NWS.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:30 am to Mudminnow
quote:
56 mph winds, just needs a closed circulation
guessing they'll put it up to a 45kt TS if they find a closed circulation. Probably going to skip depression entirely.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:31 am to baytiger
quote:
guessing they'll put it up to a 45kt TS if they find a closed circulation. Probably going to skip depression entirely.
How often do they go out, bay? Is it every 12 hours?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:31 am to Tamer of beasts
quote:
Wow, I just graduated and got a job in petroleum engineering after cold calling at least 200 companies. I'll be going offshore tomorrow for the first time ever for a week near the chandeleur islands.
and youll be going in by sunday
I just got out today. Im about 100 miles south of Daphne, and Im the fricking logistics coordinator. Already planning our evac...FML
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:33 am to slackster
Earlier you said I was being a dick. Now you're saying I'm an arse. Please make up your mind. I need to know if I'm cumming or going.
The Drama Queen Factor in this thread is off the scale.
The Drama Queen Factor in this thread is off the scale.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:33 am to Tigerdew
quote:they're in there right now, for a few more hours. Next plane goes out in about 8 hours.
How often do they go out, bay? Is it every 12 hours?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:35 am to LSURussian
quote:
The Drama Queen Factor in this thread is off the scale.
telling me. i was told off by a couple wanks bc i was telling them about my fuel, water, ammo, tarp, and plastic pool preparations.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:36 am to LSURussian
Don't let these guys get to you Russian.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:37 am to Rebel
They're shooting BB's at a battleship. 
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:38 am to Chad504boy
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1135 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update discussion on
tropical wave in the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gaston, located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands.
1. Updated: An Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft currently
investigating the broad low pressure area and tropical wave near
the northern Leeward Islands has found winds to tropical storm force
in a few squalls near the northernmost Leeward Islands. Squalls to
tropical storm force can be expected over the extreme northern
Leeward Islands and portions of the northern U.S. and British Virgin
Islands this afternoon. The reconnaissance aircraft mission is
ongoing to determine whether or not a tropical cyclone has formed.
Although environmental conditions are currently only marginally
conducive for additional development, this system could become a
tropical depression or tropical storm at any time during the next
few days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph across
the northern Leeward Islands, near or over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
and the Bahamas. Strong winds, heavy rains, and possible flash
floods and mudslides are expected to occur over portions of the
Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern and
central Bahamas. Please consult products issued by your local
meteorological offices for further details. Interests in the
northwestern Bahamas and Florida should also monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1135 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update discussion on
tropical wave in the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gaston, located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands.
1. Updated: An Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft currently
investigating the broad low pressure area and tropical wave near
the northern Leeward Islands has found winds to tropical storm force
in a few squalls near the northernmost Leeward Islands. Squalls to
tropical storm force can be expected over the extreme northern
Leeward Islands and portions of the northern U.S. and British Virgin
Islands this afternoon. The reconnaissance aircraft mission is
ongoing to determine whether or not a tropical cyclone has formed.
Although environmental conditions are currently only marginally
conducive for additional development, this system could become a
tropical depression or tropical storm at any time during the next
few days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph across
the northern Leeward Islands, near or over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
and the Bahamas. Strong winds, heavy rains, and possible flash
floods and mudslides are expected to occur over portions of the
Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern and
central Bahamas. Please consult products issued by your local
meteorological offices for further details. Interests in the
northwestern Bahamas and Florida should also monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:38 am to baytiger
looking at RGB imagery there's some hint at a lower level circulation NE of St. Croix. It's somewhat supported by local metars as well. Let's see if the recon can confirm.
Lower level clouds are yellowish in RGB imagery, while upper level clouds have a bluish tint.
Lower level clouds are yellowish in RGB imagery, while upper level clouds have a bluish tint.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:38 am to Chad504boy
Chad, do you have a bug out shelter on the north shore to ride things out?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 10:39 am to baytiger
Confirm what? Good or bad?
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