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re: Storm Tracking: Bertha - It's Over
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:41 am to Disco Ball
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:41 am to Disco Ball
quote:

This post was edited on 7/19/26 at 11:42 am
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:46 am to trussthetruzz
I was just telling my wife this morning “you know what would hit the spot right now, if our kids’s camps all closed for a day or two this week.”
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:54 am to trussthetruzz
Well at least it'll be well out of the way before I head to the camp next Tuesday. Hopefully the specks will be nice and hungry.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:55 am to Macintosh
quote:
Gonna turn into a cat 1 watch
Why? Because you’re worried that it does and you’re just coping?
Why would you even throw out an outlandishly uneducated prediction like this?
Posted on 7/19/26 at 11:55 am to ragincajun03
Will be fun to see what happens if HLS production comes offline for southeastern refining.....
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:00 pm to Bigfishchoupique
quote:
Bigfishchoupique
Will do my friend. Hopefully no call will be needed.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:06 pm to Macintosh
quote:
Gonna turn into a cat 1 watch

Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:09 pm to VermilionTiger
quote:im sorry if my post over a small storm effected you emotionally and mentally in any way. I will be better
Why would you even throw out an outlandishly uneducated prediction like this?
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:12 pm to Macintosh
You’re the emotional one
You’re posting about the Cat1 so someone can come back and reassure you that it won’t happen
Get a grip
You’re posting about the Cat1 so someone can come back and reassure you that it won’t happen
Get a grip
This post was edited on 7/19/26 at 12:14 pm
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:28 pm to VermilionTiger
One thing I always hate about slow moving storms like this is they have the potential to just absolutely dump on someone flooding wise. Obviously that's not now but maybe later this week.
The predictions this year Louisiana will get a A LOT of rain seem to be holding up true.
The predictions this year Louisiana will get a A LOT of rain seem to be holding up true.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:31 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
This is some bullshite.
Mets finally predicted a below average season after years of predicting an above average one only for it to be a bust.
This will be the year we get a bunch of hurricanes with a U.S. landfall. Watch
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:35 pm to deltaland
They seem to be predicting that because they also think El Nino is going to be historically strong this season which negatively impacts hurricanes in our region but brings a lot of rain. Supposedly they think this could linger into parts of next year and if that's true, you have to worry about serious flooding around spring time due to stalled fronts. They don't know though can't predict weather.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:38 pm to friendlyobservation
quote:
One thing I always hate about slow moving storms like this is they have the potential to just absolutely dump on someone flooding wise. Obviously that's not now but maybe later this week.
This one is a tad bit strange given its location and potentially track. If it stays parallel to the coast and northerly windshear is still around most of the rain and bad stuff will be south and west of the coasts.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:46 pm to friendlyobservation
quote:
They seem to be predicting that because they also think El Nino is going to be historically strong this season which negatively impacts hurricanes in our region but brings a lot of rain. Supposedly they think this could linger into parts of next year and if that's true, you have to worry about serious flooding around spring time due to stalled fronts. They don't know though can't predict weather
El Niño shuts down the mdr - not storms that spin up 200 miles offshore and don’t amount to much
Also the above average rainfall predictions are mostly because fall/winter will be way above because of the subtropical jet that El Niño brings
The most impressive thing about this storm has been the accuracy of the euro AI model - been predicting this track for at least 5 days
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:48 pm to gaetti15
quote:
This one is a tad bit strange given its location and potentially track. If it stays parallel to the coast and northerly windshear is still around most of the rain and bad stuff will be south and west of the coasts
Yea if it slides a little bit further south when it heads west most of LA won’t catch any rain
Posted on 7/19/26 at 12:56 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
Yea if it slides a little bit further south when it heads west most of LA won’t catch any rain
Yep stronger= mouth S/SW motion as the other ridge to its west start pulling it.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 1:02 pm to Bert Macklin FBI
quote:
quote:Should I start looking at earlier flights if I'm scheduled to fly out of MSY Thursday morning? I have the same question
I also have this question but I hate the dvs that come from asking about specific plans in these threads.
Posted on 7/19/26 at 1:19 pm to Motorboat
Planning to drive to Panama City Beach tomorrow. Is this a safe idea?
Posted on 7/19/26 at 1:31 pm to lsutigernosaint
quote:
Planning to drive to Panama City Beach tomorrow. Is this a safe idea?
You’re probably fine.
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