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Started By
Message
re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:29 am to slackster
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:29 am to slackster
quote:
For those of you waiting for the later updates, what would sway you to leave if you don't mind me asking? Intensity? Track? Both?
Track, for one.
I'm also about 15 miles inland where I am right now.
Where I would be going is in a hotel (structurally probably better off than my house, less glass, less trees to land on me) about the same distance further inland (maybe a little more)... But will be headed to Port St Lucie (further north, right where the current track takes it).
So it's a catch-22 for me either way.
2
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:29 am to Tiger in NY
quote:
Thats a pretty big range. Lets hope for the lower end of that. A Cat 5 would be devastating and cause mass panic.
What wind speeds West Palm Beach sees will be difficult to pin down, but in all likelihood the storm will have 130+ mph winds as it approaches.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:30 am to tigers win2
quote:
All of you be safe and make smart decisions. Err on the side of caution.
I'd only be traveling about 20 total miles, even in a gridlock, I'd beat the storm to where I'm headed.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:31 am to slackster
Both for me.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:31 am to NOLA1128
quote:
Where I would be going is in a hotel (structurally probably better off than my house, less glass, less trees to land on me) about the same distance further inland (maybe a little more)... But will be headed to Port St Lucie (further north, right where the current track takes it).
So it's a catch-22 for me either way.
The structural decision could be the way to go. What is the tree situation like at your home though? Barring a major uptick in intensity it won't have the winds to just level a well-built home, but trees are another issue altogether.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:31 am to slackster
This is absolutely wild. I am wondering if Wilm NC should trust this forecast 100%. Especially the ones on the coast. (me) He could plow right in. I just don't trust it.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 7:33 am
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:32 am to roadGator
quote:
Both for me.
I don't think you'll get much of an answer on the track one way or the other at 11 AM. Slightly west, slightly east, it won't move much at this point. Intensity is another story though.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:33 am to slackster
quote:
For those of you waiting for the later updates, what would sway you to leave if you don't mind me asking? Intensity? Track? Both
I'm guessing track, but reality is it will be bad. I guess we're waiting more jiust to leave, but the decision is really made. We are just going about 15 minutes inland.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:33 am to slackster
HH picked up 937 mb on their most recent pass. I wouldn't be surprised if it's 130 mph+ now, and it's still strengthening.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:35 am to NYNolaguy1
quote:
I wouldn't be surprised if it's 130 mph+ now, and it's still strengthening.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:35 am to Tiger in NY
Still bombing out... next VDM could be below 940mb
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 7:37 am
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:35 am to slackster
quote:
The structural decision could be the way to go. What is the tree situation like at your home though? Barring a major uptick in intensity it won't have the winds to just level a well-built home, but trees are another issue altogether.
In terms of what could hit my house?
Obviously debris is always a bit of a concern.
I have one palm tree in the back yard about 5 feet away that's about 13 feet tall.
4 pretty large pine trees on the south side of my house, about 15-20 feet high, right against the home.
To the north side, there is a wooded area with a bunch of relatively large pine trees, all within distance of the house if they fall.
I do have a pretty nice wind barrier to the east (an island in the middle of a pond, pretty wide, loaded with trees).
Keep in mind that none of the trees that I am speaking of fell in the '04 storms that hit us dead on (well, Hutchinson Island, but we were in the eye wall). The only tree we've had fall was then, but it was a giant oak out at the edge of my driveway (nowhere near the house).
The worst structural damage we've had is a few shingles flying off.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:38 am to rds dc
Whoa. 133kt right above the ground:
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:39 am to slackster
quote:
I don't think you'll get much of an answer on the track one way or the other at 11 AM. Slightly west, slightly east,
A little east makes a huge difference for me, keeps me out of the eye. A little west could put me in that northeast quadrant, and no thank you to that.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:41 am to slackster
quote:
Whoa. 133kt right above the ground:
that shows 154kt only 500 to 600 feet up, that is pushing 180 mph, that could easily mix down before landfall
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:42 am to NOLA1128
quote:
A little east makes a huge difference for me, keeps me out of the eye. A little west could put me in that northeast quadrant, and no thank you to that.
Sure, but catching the NE quadrant in your area is a actually a major shift west at this point:
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:42 am to rds dc
VDM reported 937mb... this is looking like a worst case scenario for eastern Florida.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:44 am to slackster
Most recent HRRR forecast:
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:47 am to slackster
Some guy outside Charleston got agitated that he to take a detour and ended up in a gunfight with officers. Yikes.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:47 am to slackster
Can thIs bad boy swing back around and get started again? Most of the models show it looping back around.
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