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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:48 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:48 am to
This model hasn't updated since yesterday but the numbers will only go up based on current strengthening of Matthew. There will be significant loss of power across most of Florida, including the Gainesville area...

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Can thIs bad boy swing back around and get started again? Most of the models show it looping back around.



Possible, sure, but nothing in the models suggest it will be anything to worry about after the loop.
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3936 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:49 am to
quote:


Sure, but catching the NE quadrant in your area is a actually a major shift west at this point:


See, and that's the ultimatum I am facing.
What you just posted with all of the models is completely different with what the NHC is posting as the possible track. They have this thing making landfall right on me (or literally on the coast). What you posted makes it where I would be entirely fine.
One reason why I'm waiting until 11 to see the update.

What RDS just posted literally has that landing on my head, fyi.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:50 am to
quote:

that shows 154kt only 500 to 600 feet up, that is pushing 180 mph, that could easily mix down before landfall


That's approaching Katrina numbers. Crazy.
Posted by TennesseeFan25
Honolulu
Member since May 2016
8391 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:50 am to
quote:

There will be significant loss of power across most of Florida, including the Gainesville area...


Don't worry, under Coach O LSU can bring all the power Florida can handle.


...I'm sorry for what I've done..
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:51 am to
Live radar out of Miami

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:52 am to
quote:

What you just posted with all of the models is completely different with what the NHC is posting as the possible track. They have this thing making landfall right on me (or literally on the coast). What you posted makes it where I would be entirely fine.


These ignore the cone and are the official forecasted tracks as of now:



The NHC forecast is in red.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166703 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:52 am to

Get out! Traffic was backed up for miles as residents make an evacuation route over 520 bridge heading west from Merritt Island, Florida on Wednesday

I have family in Cape Canaveral.


Mary Stanley looks at the empty shelves on a bread isle at the Piggly Wiggly grocery store in Leland, North Carolina on Wednesday as residents up and down the East Coast are preparing for Hurricane Matthew to hit Thursday

This is odd as I am not far from Leland, NC (across the bridge) and I was in a Wilm-- brand new Publix last night and the shelves are full.


Bedding down: A shopper walks by the empty shelves where bottled water normally would be on Wednesday at a grocery store in Hollywood, Florida

South Carolina state troopers direct traffic travelling on I-26 as an evacuation route during preparations for the expected arrival of Hurricane Matthew in Charleston, South Carolina on Wednesday


Motorists wait in a line of cars to buy gas at a Chevron gasoline station on Wednesday in Hollywood, Florida

Why Is Nikki providing buses much less to what most likely will be a Cat2?


Evacuations have begun across the states as the deadly, storm will hit the East Coast (pictured, bus drivers with the Greenville, South Carolina school district wait for word when to start evacuating people to Greenville from North Charleston)

Don't get me wrong good prep is a good thing but we were all wondering yesterday why she is providing buses?

I have been in numerous hurricanes and no one ever provided buses. You were ordered or not to get out and if you did, you did, if you didn't we were told NO ONE was risking their life to get your dumbass out. DONE.






Posted by Jimmy2shoes
The South
Member since Mar 2014
11004 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:53 am to
quote:

Can thIs bad boy swing back around and get started again? Most of the models show it looping back around.

How F' Ed up would that be!
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 7:55 am
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25905 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:53 am to
quote:

That's approaching Katrina numbers. Crazy.


Katrina hit as a CAT 3 but was massive in size and pushed a shite ton of water. This storm may well have much stronger winds.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:55 am to
quote:

That's approaching Katrina numbers. Crazy.



This could approach Katrina like numbers when the finally tally comes in from Haiti to NC.

Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:56 am to
This thing has really gotten it's act together. Look at the out-flow.
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3936 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:56 am to
quote:


These ignore the cone and are the official forecasted tracks as of now:


Y'all know more than me.
I tend to err on the side of caution, and it's the reason I went ahead and got my family safe.
Those models really look like I'd be fine, MAYBE catching the SW quadrant of the eye wall.

50 miles makes a helluva difference for me, though.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 7:57 am
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166703 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:57 am to
quote:

NOLA1128
LSU Fan
Camp Lejeune, NC


Your posts are confusing me you are not in Jax NC, you are in Florida, correct?
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3936 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:58 am to
quote:

Your posts are confusing me you are not in Jax NC, you are in Florida, correct?


Correct. Palm City, FL (30 miles north of WPB, 15 miles south of PSL).

I was in Camp Lejeune, NC for the past four years. Just got out. I haven't changed it on here.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:58 am to
quote:

This thing has really gotten it's act together. Look at the out-flow.


Posted by Harv1790
Member since Jul 2009
2571 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 7:59 am to
Starting to think this could strengthen to Cat 5 hurricane before landfall
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 8:00 am to
quote:

See, and that's the ultimatum I am facing. What you just posted with all of the models is completely different with what the NHC is posting as the possible track. They have this thing making landfall right on me (or literally on the coast). What you posted makes it where I would be entirely fine. One reason why I'm waiting until 11 to see the update. What RDS just posted literally has that landing on my head, fyi.

Something else to consider, especially depending how close you are to the water, is that even if the eye does not make landfall there will still be a strong onshore flow of the wind. This means that the surge still has very deadly potential. Just something to re,ember if you're close to the water.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25905 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 8:01 am to
All those multistory buildings on the coast are going to be hit hard. Since the winds will be devastating once more than 40 feet above ground level.
Posted by TennesseeFan25
Honolulu
Member since May 2016
8391 posts
Posted on 10/6/16 at 8:04 am to
That's interesting since NC doesn't really seem to be in a huge amount of danger due to this.

Then again though I am in Virginia and all the bottled water was sold out on Tuesday when we went grocery shopping for the week so....
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