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re: SpaceX to fly passengers on trip around moon in 2018

Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:09 pm to
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

Firstly, they didn't burn to death. They were asphyxiated by the smoke. They also died after 16 successful manned launches that equated to almost 2,000 hours in space.

Elon Musk is trying to run before he can crawl. He hasn't even put a man in space yet. Now he wants to send passengers to the moon by the end of next year.

Apollo level budgets are never coming back. We just won't make any progress without taking risks that we aren't comfortable with anymore. If we keep working with our accustomed to level of safety we won't be leaving this planet for a loooooooong time.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
82347 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:17 pm to
Won't happen. Everyone knows it's impossible to survive a trip through the Van Allen belts.
Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
21401 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:18 pm to
My grandpa's rocket engines constitute about 36% of the man-made lunar debris... it'd be nice to see them in person
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
80727 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:30 pm to
quote:


Elon Musk is trying to run before he can crawl. He hasn't even put a man in space yet. Now he wants to send passengers to the moon by the end of next year.


The two most complicated parts of circling the moon are egress and re-entry. The rest has some latent risk, but it's significantly less.
Posted by MississippiLSUfan
Brookhaven
Member since Oct 2005
12591 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:35 pm to
Lmk when he risks his own life, rather than our money.
Posted by Tempratt
Member since Oct 2013
15307 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:39 pm to
The moon is "deep space?"
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71720 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

But that's still a pretty high percentage of putting your life on the line. 1/16 is a terrifying stat when you are the one being exposed to it.


But we didn't lose an American in actual spaceflight until STS-51-L in 1986. The Apollo One crew died in a launch pad fire during what was supposedly a routine test of the life support systems.

NASA has launched 166 manned missions into space since 1961. Of those 166, only two of them resulted in fatalities.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71720 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

The two most complicated parts of circling the moon are egress and re-entry. The rest has some latent risk, but it's significantly less.



That's beside the point. How many unmanned tests has he had with the Falcon 9 rocket since 2010? Compare that with NASA and the Mercury-Redstone rocket. They had four unmanned tests over the course of five and a half months before they put a man atop the rocket and sent him into space.

Elon Musk has launched the Falcon 9 a grand total of 32 times - not once with a human being. And I'm pretty sure the rocket (which he's never had the balls to put a man on top of) doesn't even have the capable power necessary to execute a successful trans-lunar injection burn.
This post was edited on 2/27/17 at 9:06 pm
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

Compare that with NASA and the Mercury-Redstone rocket. They had four unmanned tests over the course of five and a half months before they put a man atop the rocket and sent him into space.
Nobody can afford that kind of safety margin anymore.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
49201 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:18 pm to
How do they plan on getting this going so soon when they've had so many problems with their rockets?

I hope like hell it happens, that would truly be a mindblowing experience. But, it happening in a year or 2 seems a little soon considering some of the problems they've had, doesn't it?

On another note, I think NASA dropped the ball big time on this. They could have done this, and probably sooner had they wanted to and instead of just sucking up government funding, could have used profits from something like this to apply to other projects as well and taken our money more directly, instead of through taxes.
Posted by ccomeaux
LA
Member since Jan 2010
8184 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:19 pm to
What could possibly go wrong ?
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

On another note, I think NASA dropped the ball big time on this. They could have done this, and probably sooner had they wanted to and instead of just sucking up government funding, could have used profits from something like this to apply to other projects as well and taken our money more directly, instead of through taxes.
Trump told NASA a few days ago to put astronauts around the moon in 2018 as well.
Posted by WaltTeevens
Santa Barbara, CA
Member since Dec 2013
12044 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 9:28 pm to
400,000 mile-high club?
Posted by Tempratt
Member since Oct 2013
15307 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

NASA has launched 166 manned missions into space since 1961. Of those 166, only two of them resulted in fatalities.


Thats pretty remarkable when one thinks about it.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

NASA has launched 166 manned missions into space since 1961. Of those 166, only two of them resulted in fatalities.


No, it's 3, and most of those were from the shuttle program, not attempting to escape Earth's orbit. That's 2%, roughly the chance of landing on a random slot on a Roulette wheel.

And there was Apollo 13 as well, which while it made it back, it was a bitch. It's now even higher at 2.5%.
This post was edited on 2/27/17 at 10:21 pm
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Thats pretty remarkable when one thinks about it.


Really? If you were on a rocket launching into space, would you be comfortable with a 2% chance of getting killed? 2% is a terrifying stat when your life is on the line.
This post was edited on 2/27/17 at 10:22 pm
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
21808 posts
Posted on 2/27/17 at 10:47 pm to
No they wont.
Posted by patchesohoulihan_007
Member since Jul 2015
2799 posts
Posted on 2/28/17 at 12:20 am to
quote:

Navigating in space is much easier.


While I agree with most of what you said, this just isn't accurate.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51733 posts
Posted on 2/28/17 at 12:34 am to
They really should make it a competition or contest to see who are the two to go. Making it only available for the extremely wealthy seems like a middle finger to most people
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 2/28/17 at 4:15 am to
quote:

The later stuff the astronauts did like building the oxygen canister contraption doesn't require an intimate knowledge of the spacecraft and its systems.

As long as you have contact with someone on the ground who does. What happens if the communications systems are part of what's damaged?

I'd prefer to have an engineer onboard.
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