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re: Solar at an Arkansas high school turns budget from a $250K deficit to $1.8M surplus

Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:16 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
80001 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

solar + LED lighting, insulation, HVAC/windows upgrades, water efficiency): Reduced energy use by 1.6 million kWh/year. Utilities dropped sharply (some quotes note monthly bills falling dramatically).
Huge details left out when the headline wants to solely credit solar. Almost like...propaganda.
This post was edited on 3/23/26 at 2:17 pm
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24175 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

Grok's fact check of your post:

Just because you can regurgitate and copy/paste an AI breakdown doesn’t mean you know what you’re talking about

The other upgrades done contributed far more to the cost savings than the solar. The original tweet and thread only credited solar

Propaganda
Posted by Street Hawk
Member since Nov 2014
3644 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Just because you can regurgitate and copy/paste an AI breakdown doesn’t mean you know what you’re talking about

The other upgrades done contributed far more to the cost savings than the solar. The original tweet and thread only credited solar

Propaganda

Let's just say I trust the AI more than some anonymous rando on an online internet forum. At least the AI backs up its answers with sources.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74872 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:10 pm to
one that references Reddit and other social media sources? ooof
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24175 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Let's just say I trust the AI more than some anonymous rando on an online internet forum. At least the AI backs up its answers with sources.


I quoted directly from the school district retard

you don't have a functioning brain as you can't interpret what the AI is telling you
This post was edited on 3/23/26 at 3:13 pm
Posted by Traffic Circle
Down the Rabbit Hole
Member since Nov 2013
5024 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:15 pm to
When can I get solar health car and auto insurance?
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18078 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Let's just say I trust the AI more than some anonymous rando on an online internet forum. At least the AI backs up its answers with sources.

They're pretty much right. There's no way the solar alone contributed that much considering the age of the project.

Source: I'm a solar asset manager.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14815 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:33 pm to
At a minimum, this link is misrepresenting the costs/payback. or they are just out right makign it up.


found an article on the size and "savings" for the solar array:

LINK

so the 5MWac solar array is "making" $500k year.

The article says that the site is also grandfather in to the 1 to 1 Net metering credit that is no longer in place.


What the article fails to show is the cost to construct the solar farm.is that solar farm will cost north of $10m to build and interconnect to the utility grid. And that is with the ITC credit that is gone shortly. so even with the old rules with ITC, that is a 20 year payback

so the article is stating the savings without factoring in the capitol upfront cost to built it. and this money was likely borrowed by the school district through bonds so there is an interest factor. also, there is a maintenance cost associated with maintaining a solar farm as well that will go against the savings.

Typically solar farms will last 25-30 years (barring a severe weather event) and the output will degrade about 0.5% per year.

But yea, if you make the initial cost of construction $0, and you are grandfathered into a 1 to 1 net metering deal that is no longer available you "make money"

However, with the ITC saf Harbor date of July 3, 2026 coming soon and no more ITC credits given for projects started after that date.

So once the ITC goes away, that $10m cost of construction goes to $15m and the simple payback goes from 20yer to 30year, which is the life of the panel. but the panels degrade 0.5% per year.......


THis is why solar is not sustainable without ITC subsidies....



Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18078 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

ITC saf Harbor date of July 3, 2026 coming soon and no more ITC credits given for projects started after that date.

Couple points of clarification. Safe harbor can extend far past 7/3/26 as long as you meet the 5% PWT. My fund is projecting SH sales into 2029. Pretty much everyone is buying up equipment to qualify. And then we'll start hitting step down for 48E projects. Then there the domestic content and foreign entity of concern stuff thrown in.
quote:

So once the ITC goes away
Wouldn't impact this, only newly constructed projects that can't access SH equipment.
quote:

that $10m cost of construction goes to $15m and the simple payback goes from 20yer to 30year, which is the life of the panel. but the panels degrade 0.5% per year.
Not quite that straight forward because of the way the ITC is monetized. It would be closer to 10MM going to 12.5MM if you pulled it straight back through to cost of construction but its really a cost of capital.
Posted by Gus007
TN
Member since Jul 2018
14720 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:00 pm to
Wait until the Solar Panels get old and are replaced.

Wonder how much the Federal Gov't gave in rebates in order to "Save the Planet".
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14815 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Not quite that straight forward because of the way the ITC is monetized. It would be closer to 10MM going to 12.5MM if you pulled it straight back through to cost of construction but its really a cost of capital.


i tried to simplify it without having to get into Net Present value and avoided capital costs. also i am on the engineering side and not the financing (bean counter) side

quote:

Safe harbor can extend far past 7/3/26 as long as you meet the 5% PWT. My fund is projecting SH sales into 2029. Pretty much everyone is buying up equipment to qualify.


this is true, but if you miss getting the 5% safe harbor "costs incurred" by 7/3/26 then you have until december 31, 2027 to put the solar farm into service or you lose the ITC credit. if this is an "in front of the meter" farm, IE "selling back" to the utility company, then that is highly unlikely to occur with construction and the utility companies interconnect. if behind the meter then that can be done but still a lot of work. needs to be done in a short amount of time on big projects.

This school system has an "in front of the meter" farm that sells the production back to the grid. my point was, that come 7/3/26 these construction project will be less affordable without the ITC.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18078 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

also i am on the engineering side and not the financing (bean counter) side

Thats where i started and somehow ended up on the capital markets side doing mostly IE reports then ended up starting an asset management business unit. I still do plenty of cap markets work though and basically work directly for the asset owner now. I have to fly to SF to meet with Blackstone for the second week in a row tomorrow since they're my biggest client.
quote:

needs to be done in a short amount of time on big projects.

True. Thats why i'm happy i do mostly resi and some C&I. But resi still makes me pull my hair out.
quote:

come 7/3/26 these construction project will be less affordable without the ITC.
Absolutely its changing the economics for net new projects. Throw in FEOC and now FEI and it's a complete shite show.
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
18078 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Wait until the Solar Panels get old and are replaced.

The inverters are far more likely to go out than the panels. The panels don't have a high failure rate unless they used some cheap chinese non-tier 1 junk.
Posted by ljhog
Lake Jackson, Tx.
Member since Apr 2009
20592 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:33 pm to
Only saved 100K. Well 100K here and 100K there and pretty soon it adds up to real money.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24175 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

Only saved 100K. Well 100K here and 100K there and pretty soon it adds up to real money.

Did anyone say money saved isn’t helpful?

Maybe try to understand the argument and why the original post is horseshite
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74872 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:37 pm to
that’s not the argument being made here.
Posted by 844_Tiger
Down_Under
Member since Jul 2021
608 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

The best they could come up with was an 800k surplus over 3 years

That's still pretty damn good, if true.
Posted by Street Hawk
Member since Nov 2014
3644 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

one that references Reddit and other social media sources? ooof

In addition to everything it has access to online versus regurgitating Politard MAGA hack talking points...oooh solar bad, fossil fuels good. frick off.
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
24175 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

In addition to everything it has access to online versus regurgitating Politard MAGA hack talking points...oooh solar bad, fossil fuels good. frick off.

you’re so mad you posted leftist propaganda that you don’t have the brainpower to objectively parse out
Posted by Street Hawk
Member since Nov 2014
3644 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

I quoted directly from the school district retard you don't have a functioning brain as you can't interpret what the AI is telling you

And the AI took that and then everything else it could find on the internet and debunked that post point by point and you have a hard time accepting that. That's fine.
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