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re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)

Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:38 am to
Posted by LafTiger
Member since Dec 2008
1568 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:38 am to
Interesting, I was a kid and walked out on the lake that year...it was freaking cold.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175860 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:40 am to
Adding to how the lake would freeze.. a front comes through to make it cold. It probably rained adding fresh water at the shore from the stream run off. The wind is howling out of the north for days.. pushing water out the Rigolets and making it fresher.
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:45 am to
Will we be receiving winter precipitation here in BR good sir?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:47 am to
Does salinity really matter that much?

Assuming 3.50% salt, it'll freeze at like 27-28 degrees.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175860 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:49 am to
quote:

Does salinity really matter that much?

Assuming 3.50% salt, it'll freeze at like 27-28 degrees.

I got enough of this shite to worry about in class to have to answer this on Tigerdroppings
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175860 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Will we be receiving winter precipitation here in BR good sir?


Canadian model shows something. NAM doesn't run out far enough yet but it's showing a central texas ice event as of now. GFS is showing a little something for north Louisiana. All around the same time frame
This post was edited on 1/17/22 at 10:51 am
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8774 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:50 am to
12z on friday is 6am right? so no they are saying maybe friday and not saturday??
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 10:50 am to
No one knows yet. We’ve got a couple days of model watching. Check back in Thursday
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
37717 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Check back in Thursday


By then it’s too late to panic buy 50 packs of TP and the entire stock of beans!
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
51935 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 11:13 am to
I bought 10# of rice Friday
Never hurts to prepare early
Posted by GB1017LSU
Member since Nov 2015
1070 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 11:16 am to
quote:

So we should plan for schools to be closed in Friday, got it




Hilarious….but so true.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10106 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 11:33 am to
I'll take some snow in BR, let the kids and dog play in it but F an Ice storm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71766 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:08 pm to
GEFS ensemble products are split 13-5 against any measurable snowfall in South Lousiana.

The mean heavily favors North Louisiana, and doesn't show anything in the SE part of the state. There is a swath North of NO and BR, though that nearly makes it to LC.

ETA: There's plenty of moisture, but the latest GFS run doesn't take temps down low enough for freezing rain to be a problem.
This post was edited on 1/17/22 at 12:11 pm
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10106 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:12 pm to
Which models are more reliable with winter storms?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71766 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:14 pm to
In the Southeast more than a day or so out? Pretty much none of them. The trend is all you can really look at. Like Duke said earlier in the thread, there's a chance for this one, though.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40232 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

But the day was Christmas Day 1989


Wasn't that the year that a few days before Christmas, it snowed in NOLA?

I was a kid and it was our first day off for Christmas break. Most of the morning had very fine, very dry small snowflakes, but after lunch, the snow became larger and more wet.

My dad crashed the family car coming home from work and I think he just left it and walked home, because there were so many accidents.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
48839 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

according to my dad people were walking on the lake pontchartrain ice sheets, that's wild to think about




Yeah this didn't happen
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

I got enough of this shite to worry about in class to have to answer this on Tigerdroppings


Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61280 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Yeah this didn't happen


He’s already shown that it did happen.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
42195 posts
Posted on 1/17/22 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Yeah this didn't happen


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