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Message

re: Snow on the ground in all 50 states, climate change is being downgraded

Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:34 am to
Posted by Lake Vegas Tiger
Lake Vegas
Member since Jun 2014
3250 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:34 am to
OP is a tard if you don't think CC is occurring, the erratic weather is just proof of it
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101591 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:36 am to
quote:

the erratic weather is just proof of it


Erratic compared to when?
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
17882 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:39 am to
Has anyone decided what temp the earth is supposed to be?
Posted by StickD
Houston
Member since Apr 2010
10627 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:40 am to
Nice spike. But that’s what happens when the scale changes from 500 years to 16 years. It shows “erratic weather”.

At this point idc, I hope we are trending warmer bc after the second snow, sleet, and frost in New Orleans frick an ice age.
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37551 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:41 am to
NOAA published a 2017-2018 winter prediction paper on October 27 and so far 100% of it has been wrong
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261167 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:42 am to
quote:

the erratic weather is just proof of it


our weather isn't erratic.

That sounds like the old conspiracy theory version of "no evidence is proof of a cover up"
Posted by Lake Vegas Tiger
Lake Vegas
Member since Jun 2014
3250 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:42 am to
This post was edited on 1/18/18 at 11:43 am
Posted by cssamerican
Member since Mar 2011
7133 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 11:54 am to
quote:

NOAA published a 2017-2018 winter prediction paper on October 27 and so far 100% of it has been wrong

That was my point earlier. The can’t predict one to two months out, but I’m supposed to believe they can predict a hundred years out.

People pull graphs that show we are warming at an alarming rate, others pull graphs showing it was significantly warmer in the past. I have come to the conclusion maybe it doesn’t matter because it is likely that I’ll be dead before it really affects me.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21284 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

OP is a tard


Well that is just mean. Tards are people too, you racist, sexist, bigoted person.

I do not know why people cannot look at the data and step back with a clear mind and say wow we are making some big arse assumptions.

Are climate change resident experts are dropping their science bombs on us and ignoring the fact they mixing in 2 different models.

Since the 1700s we have been able to tell the temperature, before that we are using a different measurement. That measurement may be accurate, but not to the degree we are doing today.

We have become more precise with how we can measure global temp, but you cannot tell me what the precise global temperature was 300 years ago. We can make a educated guess, but it does not have the same accuracy.

That is the largest problem. Some people want to believe something so much, they refuse to step back and question it.


Edit - At least the pseudo science got the conversation started though. We should try to keep the world clean, we just should not use it for wealth re-distribution and to make politicians wealthier

This post was edited on 1/18/18 at 12:13 pm
Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

And again it is tough to prove that humans are responsible for the change


This is always been the real issue for me. I don't necessarily support or deny climate change because what is climate change really? It's just historical trending of the weather patterns. No one doubts that that actually happens it's been observed and recorded. The real question is, does human activity have any measurable effect on this and how much.

Climate change/global warming is really an argument about quantifying humans affect on the weather over the long-term. This is what the debate needs to focus on
This post was edited on 1/18/18 at 12:47 pm
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
63168 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Has anyone decided what temp the earth is supposed to be?


I'm not sure, but I imagine it lies somewhere on this graph.

Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
856 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:53 pm to
65 in Denver today. Unseasonably warm all winter. Snowpack is at 50% of normal in the mountains.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14560 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:55 pm to
Did you read the entire article?

quote:

That "known unknown" is called equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), and for the last 25 years the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) -- the ultimate authority on climate science -- has settled on a range of 1.5 C to 4.5 C (2.7 to 8.1 degrees Fahrenheit).

Cox and colleagues, using a new methodology, have come up with a far narrower range: 2.2 C to 3.4 C, with a best estimate of 2.8 C (5 F).


Where do you get "Climate Change Being Downgraded" from?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21284 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 1:03 pm to
quote:


Marine geologist here that studies/works with ocean circulation, sediment sinks/sources, inlet dynamics, shoreline geomorphology, and paleoclimatology.

A large portion of my masters thesis revolved around the transgressing/regressing shorelines during the Pleistocene's major glacial maximums, interglacials, and glacial minimums.

It can be done independent of the thermometer being "invented in 1714


I am interested. Can you use your non-thermometer based calculations to provide us the average global temperature of the 19th and 20th centuries? I think it would be interesting to see how it compares to actual temps.

No cheating and show your work.
Posted by AlonsoWDC
Memphis, where it ain't Ten-a-Key
Member since Aug 2014
8771 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 1:18 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85099 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 1:37 pm to
You've come off pretty ignorant throughout this thread.

Arguing what kind of impact humans have on the climate is a far better approach than arguing whether or not the climate is getting warmer. Let's say the global temperature gets back to where it was 125,000 years ago, roughly 1-2 degrees Celsius warmer than it is now. Sea levels at that time were 4-6 meters higher than they are today. That's no bueno.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21284 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

You've come off pretty ignorant throughout this thread.


OK, sorry you think that because I do not agree with you.

quote:

Sea levels at that time were 4-6 meters higher than they are today. That's no bueno.


Why?



Humans think they are way more important than they really are. Nothing on Earth can change, we live here dangit.

Mother Nature is going to Mother Nature, you cannot stop it.
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
10976 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Humans think they are way more important than they really are. Nothing on Earth can change, we live here dangit.


This attitude assumes we've had no detrimental impact on the planet and should care less. No polluting of rivers, air, and oceans. No deforestation, etc. Do you believe that?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21284 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:49 pm to
Based off the last 40 years, we can tell you the ice caps are slowly melting.

Sincerly,
NASA

P.S. - We have no clue to what they were like the other 4 billion years, we did not have rockets yet to take pictures from space.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21284 posts
Posted on 1/18/18 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

This attitude assumes we've had no detrimental impact on the planet and should care less. No polluting of rivers, air, and oceans. No deforestation, etc. Do you believe that?




Earth - over 4 billion years old
Modern Humans - 200,000 years old
Modern civilization - 6,000 years old

Dinousaurs (for reference) - around 180 million years of existance

There is so much on this planet and it's evolution we know nothing about. We would all be better realizing we do not know the absolute answers and we are making the best guess possible.
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