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re: Severe Weather thread for Today

Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:43 am to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32092 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:43 am to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 5:31 am to
Updated OP
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14368 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 6:23 am to
What’s the timing on Tuesday for Nola metro/Northshore of Lake Ponchartrain?
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
30580 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 7:19 am to
Rough stuff, but at least no bone-racking cold with this front?

How will the timing of the front affect watching the Citrus Bowl? Do I need to break out the battery-operated 9 inch portable TV?
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44875 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:22 am to
Damn. Husband and son are driving back from NE Louisiana to Dallas today.
Posted by schwartzy
New Orleans
Member since May 2014
9908 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:23 am to
How are the parameters setting up for Hattiesburg? May go up there to chase tomorrow
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
19460 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:35 am to


It’s like positive vorticity advectionnnnn….on your wedding day
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
37855 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:46 am to
Dude out kicked his coverage. Good for him
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
88203 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Dude out kicked his coverage. Good for him



talk about a whirlwind romance
Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
54764 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 8:49 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 11:33 am to
quote:

With the negatively tilted trough some nice overlapping of term 2 and term 3 of the ageostrophic wind equation over the arklatex on Monday evening.




Terms 2 and 3... you fricking nerd

But Im with you on the diagnosis. Arklatex strikes me as the highest risk area.
This post was edited on 1/2/23 at 11:34 am
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 11:35 am to
Looks like things are proceeding pretty much as expected this morning. We have some early rain ongoing with moisture getting things primed. Maybe the surface low isn't quite as strong as forecast, at least to this point, but it still has decent flow. The hope is that we see just a sloppy mess that limits the top end of this event, but there's a good cap in place that may keep that from happening.

Still, two rounds of storms that could both go severe.

Earlier sounding in Shreveport shows the cap that will have to be overcome by those early storms.



Let's see if that cap can erode early and get some messy storms in an hour or so that could hamper the evening storms. That's the hope right now.
This post was edited on 1/2/23 at 11:46 am
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
12752 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 11:57 am to
Are schools and government offices shutting down Tuesday?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32092 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32092 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 12:35 pm to
Pretty safe to say that with these observations we will likely see CAPE higher than modeled.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61265 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

Are schools and government offices shutting down Tuesday?


I wish they would to see you folks melt
Posted by WhuckFistle
Member since Jul 2015
3347 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 12:56 pm to
I’m at Oaklawn now, looks like it’s gonna be a fun drive home
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37697 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:07 pm to
Did you win?
Posted by lachellie
LALA Land
Member since Aug 2012
1124 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Pretty safe to say that with these observations we will likely see CAPE higher than modeled.


Remind me again, is that good or bad? And thanks for your (all you mets) patience and service in these threads.
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