- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Severe Weather Thread: 4/17 --Extra Bonus Easter Edition-- North LA and Northshore
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:25 am to Thecoz
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:25 am to Thecoz
My cousin lives an hour north of Austin Texas. He said he was eating on his back patio when the front came through yesterday. All of a sudden he noticed a piece of plywood landed in his backyard, 30 seconds later he and his family were in a closet, 30 seconds after that it was over and his house was destroyed.
3
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:25 am to Potchafa
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:29 am to Thecoz
Is the discrete cell threat setting up a bit more west than expected? Latest SPC discussion is on an expected watch NWLA/ETX into SC Arkansas
Latest HRRR shows some potential individual cells in the area hefore getting linear further east
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:30 am to Thecoz
quote:
Never mind just got in touch…
Good.
Alright, looking over the CAMs this morning...they aren't as angry as last night.
I'm gonna call this one, roughly Deltaland since this is about where he is.
So not great, but the dews are a little lower than what was being shown last night and the instability is a little lower.
But the other thing is I'm seeing more linear vs open clusters/discrete cells this morning too.
Hopefully this evolution is what happens because it would help take the high end off the tornado threat.
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:33 am to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
Is the discrete cell threat setting up a bit more west than expected? Latest SPC discussion is on an expected watch NWLA/ETX into SC Arkansas
Vs last night, yes. The CAMs weren't all that interesting in firing cells until this afternoon. We have a good linear segment going by this afternoon now, with cells firing earlier.
The good news is the instability hasn't built up as much yet but the low level shear is nasty.
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:39 am to Duke
quote:
So not great, but the dews are a little lower than what was being shown last night and the instability is a little lower
What’s the timing on that sounding?
It rained earlier and was pretty cool out at 64 degrees but now it’s blue sky and heating up fast. 79 degrees on my truck dash right now
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:40 am to deltaland
3 pm
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:46 am to Duke
What time should the Little Rock area start their prayers?
Honestly, I'm planning on shutting down early to make sure all my folks can get home. We typically leave at 4:30. You think this will be on Little Rock before 3:30?
Honestly, I'm planning on shutting down early to make sure all my folks can get home. We typically leave at 4:30. You think this will be on Little Rock before 3:30?
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:49 am to Maytheporkbewithyou
quote:
You think this will be on Little Rock before 3:30?
Yes. Id imagine more like 1 or 2. Timing is always a little tricky as it develops.
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:50 am to Duke
I don’t think the tornado threat will be that great from Memphis north. Western/north ms, North LA, East Ark.
I think moderate risk should be extended south imo. My area, southern Arkansas, and north La is clear sky and heating up fast. And will continue to heat up over the next 4 hours leading to the area of highest instability
I think moderate risk should be extended south imo. My area, southern Arkansas, and north La is clear sky and heating up fast. And will continue to heat up over the next 4 hours leading to the area of highest instability
Posted on 4/13/22 at 10:56 am to deltaland
Whelp, let's do it again folks.
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:06 am to deltaland
quote:
Blue sky and daytime heating once this rain moves out
God dammit Delta
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:11 am to Wishnitwas1998
Tornado warning for perry and garland county in Arkansas
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:12 am to Wishnitwas1998
Here is the latest tornado watch, covering much of southern and central Arkansas, NE Texas, and NW Louisiana.
Probabilities within the watch:
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes - High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes - Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events - High (80%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots - Mod (60%)
Probabilities within the watch:
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes - High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes - Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events - High (80%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots - Mod (60%)
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:14 am to Duke
I'd go with the Southern two thirds of AR ro start and work toward MS. The line still looks quite broken with either embedded supercells or semi-discreet cells. Follow it along into Delta's neck of the woods, and it should line out completely by the time it is just past him.
I still think there's a sneaky chance N. LA could see a significant threat. FWIW, the only PDS I pulled on the HRRR was generally in North central LA. I didn't save it and couldn't find it again.
I still think there's a sneaky chance N. LA could see a significant threat. FWIW, the only PDS I pulled on the HRRR was generally in North central LA. I didn't save it and couldn't find it again.
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:14 am to Roll Tide Ravens
And another watch (likely a tornado watch) will be coming for parts of northern Arkansas, SE Missouri, and southern IL:
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:14 am to Roll Tide Ravens
1st warning of the day is on the board... and as expected... it's in Arkansas
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:18 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Alright Arkansas people, what is the story on Perry County's Northwest border? Did the town drunk draw that thing?
This post was edited on 4/13/22 at 11:19 am
Posted on 4/13/22 at 11:18 am to rt3
Zmonsoon is headed to Russellville, looks like that cell will be headed southeast of town.
Page 45 of 81
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News