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re: Severe weather this weekend March 14-15

Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:43 pm to
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
23041 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:43 pm to
How bad will it be in the Toledo Bend area?
Posted by EagleEye99
Member since Dec 2017
3174 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:48 pm to
My wife (no pics) texted earlier and asked if the weather was supposed to be bad here (Columbus, GA) on Saturday evening. I replied, yes ma'am and why you asking? She said a girl in her insurance office was talking about leaving town because all the Ft Benning Army wives were posting on FB about leaving town . I told her as long as my OT weather service thread, Radar Scope app and alerts work, we'd be ok. But yes babe, it seriously has that potential to be bad and everyone should be aware and monitor it closely.

Kinda surprised this thread hasn't been stickied yet.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7611 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:50 pm to
Can one of the resident experts explain why the 3K NAM and HRRR show most of the heavy stuff in central and north Mississippi, but they keep revising the tornado threat southward in Louisiana?

I like looking at these models as a hobby, but this is one where I'm confused.. Weather Channel has reduced the rain chance in NOLA from 95%+ to under 70%, and I'm just curious where the severe predictions keep coming from for that area.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100008 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

what does that mean?


This will get out hand. It will get out of hand and we will be lucky to live through it
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85452 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

If I had to drive from New Orleans to Houston on Saturday when would be the best time, approximately?


Tomorrow or Sunday

Supposed to start friday night sat morning.




This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 3:00 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43101 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:02 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100008 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:03 pm to
I still feel that moderate should be 3/5 and enhanced 4/5. Enhanced just sounds worse than moderate to me
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:04 pm to
Afternoon update from SPC. The moderate risk has been expanded further north.





Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18530 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:04 pm to
upvote for a Fred fricking Dalton quote
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:10 pm to
I have someone who downvotes all of my posts in this thread.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71178 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Legend, since you’re a north AL guy, do you know who Fred Gossage is?

I do. I haven't chased down what he's saying this go-around. He rang the bell early back in 2011.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

I do. I haven't chased down what he's saying this go-around. He rang the bell early back in 2011.

Yeah, he’s on that Talkweather message board that I read and occasionally post on. He’s not trying to scare anyone, obviously, but his posts there have been pretty ominous. Not 2011 ominous, but ominous.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71178 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:36 pm to
We have a little hailer west of Russellville, AL.
Posted by Lg
Hayden, Alabama
Member since Jul 2011
8385 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

This will get out hand.


My fear is there will be communities hit Friday night/Saturday morning and then take a even bigger shot Saturday afternoon without having shelter.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73473 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:41 pm to

Steve Caparotta, Ph.D.
@SteveWAFB
·
15m
NEW: Update from SPC has another expansion of the Level 4/5 (moderate) risk for Saturday.

VERY strong wording in their discussion:

"Numerous significant tornadoes are possible on Saturday afternoon and evening, centered on eastern Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Widespread


Posted by schwartzy
New Orleans
Member since May 2014
9853 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:43 pm to
The WWL meteorologist just seemed to think it won't be so bad in New Orleans proper because the prime ingredients will outrun the timing of the storms. Based on the HRRR, it looks like a messy line with some discrete action, but I'm anxious to see new data tomorrow with more accurate storm mode and timing.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100008 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:49 pm to
I’m now in the moderate zone for Saturday

Barely, but I’m in it
Posted by schwartzy
New Orleans
Member since May 2014
9853 posts
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:56 pm to
I think you may be far enough west Delta that the worst will miss you. It's the Meridian, Laurel, Ellisville, Hattiesburg, Columbia, Bassfield, Sumrall, and Tylertown zone that I think will get the greatest punch. I'll be around Hattiesburg Saturday and may trek northeast to Meridian depending on what's going on.
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