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re: Severe weather outbreak Central and Southern Plains States - DFW, OKC, Wichita
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:06 pm to El Segundo Guy
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:06 pm to El Segundo Guy
quote:
California to my other house and business in southern Oklahoma.
Talk about night and day.
0
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:06 pm to El Segundo Guy
Spotters reporting golf ball size hail just west of St. Louis.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:11 pm to genuineLSUtiger
It's still more of a hail and wind threat than significant tornadoes. Kinematics not ideal for an outbreak of tornadoes, but there will likely be a few. Thinking around the area those cells in eastern OK fired off over and into southern Kansas has the most likely tornado risk.
I'm hoping it lines up quickly and it's just high winds and isolated large hail, we'll see as the afternoon continues.
I'm hoping it lines up quickly and it's just high winds and isolated large hail, we'll see as the afternoon continues.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:12 pm to El Segundo Guy
quote:
I flew from California to my other house and business in southern Oklahoma. It's supposed to hit late afternoon/early evening. I'm probably just going to drink some whiskey and plan to stay inside tonight.
Keep us updated please.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
What's it looking like for DFW today?
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:14 pm to jlu03
quote:
Spotters reporting golf ball size hail just west of St. Louis.
St. Louis looks like it's about to get rocked. I'm looking at the air traffic into/out of STL and the flights are basically having to go all the way down to Arkansas then back up. Guessing there will be some diversions shortly
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:16 pm to CuseTiger
yeah, national weather service tweeted out size chart for hail, so they can report it as its used on chart.
Must be some nasty shite, i've never seen them post that hail chart before.
Must be some nasty shite, i've never seen them post that hail chart before.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:17 pm to TH03
NWS DFW Forecast Discussion
Cliffs: large hail risk, high winds possible in squall line coming through after dark.
Cliffs: large hail risk, high winds possible in squall line coming through after dark.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:18 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:20 pm to Duke
Tornado sirens going off in Union, MO just west of St. Louis.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:21 pm to Duke
Ah so the afternoon one didn't end up forming?
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:22 pm to stlslick
FM station here said that some Yukon and El Reno area (west of OKC) schools are shutting down early...
....which seems overly cautious because it's not supposed to really hit the OKC metro until about 530-600pm. They do seem to respect the potential for severe weather here.
EDIT: OKC schools closing 30 minutes early.
....which seems overly cautious because it's not supposed to really hit the OKC metro until about 530-600pm. They do seem to respect the potential for severe weather here.
EDIT: OKC schools closing 30 minutes early.
This post was edited on 4/26/16 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:23 pm to TH03
Wow,
Union is about 45 minutes west of St.Louis, out I-farty four
Union is about 45 minutes west of St.Louis, out I-farty four
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:24 pm to CuseTiger
Link?
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:24 pm to jlu03
Don't see it, it's too broad of a rotation imho. Some viscous winds though, there will be some wind damage in the dark blue.
Worth keeping an eye on.
Worth keeping an eye on.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:26 pm to dewster
quote:
They do seem to respect the potential for severe weather here.
As we should, VP that moved here from IL commented on this yesterday. It's very serious here based on what happens on a yearly basis. Joplin is a couple hours up the road, Moore has been hit like three times in the last few year. They give away storm shelters as prizes on the radio, with the purchase of new cars sometimes.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:26 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:27 pm to ShaneTheLegLechler
damn, we just got a new roof, from the bad storms last year.
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:29 pm to TH03
quote:
Ah so the afternoon one didn't end up forming?
It's forming up to your west this afternoon is the experts thinking and then pushing through the metroplex around 8 pm. I never want to say no, because it's really a probability game but the current thinking makes sense.
Saw a sounding (shows temperatures as you go up through the atmosphere) for Ft. Worth still has warmer air just above the surface and it'll take time to erode. Ought to keep it quiet until post rush hour.
You can see what I'm talking about here. Warmer air rises, and the the x axis is temperature. The rightward jog of the line just above the surface shows the warmer air above that "caps" the storms from rising.
Better news is the wind direction profile at the far right, you can see a notable western component about 850 mb. So imagine stirring a cup of coffee. Stir quickly in one direction and you get a little vortex. Now imagine you abruptly change direction of spin, and the vortex gets mixed out. That should limit tornado potential over y'all.
This post was edited on 4/26/16 at 2:07 pm
Posted on 4/26/16 at 1:43 pm to Duke
quote:
It's still more of a hail and wind threat than significant tornadoes. Kinematics not ideal for an outbreak of tornadoes
Let's hope it stays that way. You were pretty helpful in the last outbreak in Louisiana a month or so back. Thanks for your insight.
This post was edited on 4/26/16 at 1:44 pm
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