Started By
Message

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:54 pm to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
128757 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE


So what is the storm surge scale?

I assume “UNSURVIVABLE” is the worst

Where is “LIFE THREATENING” on the scale?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71136 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:54 pm to
Philippe Papin:

quote:

Convective structure remains uncertain in #Sally's forecast. Will convection rotate upshear & lead to axis-symmetrization? In moderate VWS this process is more stochastic (random). Timing on if/when this occurs is key too.

With ~36h before landfall, a tricky intensity forecast.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:55 pm to
It looks like another attempt to fire convection near the center.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146179 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:56 pm to
I'm intrigued by that spin in the lower left corner of that gif
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91271 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

It looks like another attempt to fire convection near the center.


Upshear it appears too. Hopefully it can’t make it around.
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19234 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

So what is the storm surge scale?

I assume “UNSURVIVABLE” is the worst

Where is “LIFE THREATENING” on the scale?



Somewhere below LUDICROUS

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
128757 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

I'm intrigued by that spin in the lower left corner of that gif


Thats the thing the NHC has moving towards the Bay of Campeche
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71136 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

I'm intrigued by that spin in the lower left corner of that gif



It looks like it is trying to wrap that new convection.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
106783 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

I once listened to Kathleen Blanco give a commencement speech


But why?

Did you break some law in New Orleans and this was part of your sentence?
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:04 pm to
That's what dumped a bit of rain on us yesterday right?
Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1472 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Somewhere below LUDICROUS


Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
25118 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

I’m in STG too. You should cut it right this second. *Rain starting in our area early evening and won’t stop (off and on) until Thursday.


Just cut mine lfg
Posted by EXPLAYER
Member since Jul 2017
10791 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:07 pm to
Not as deep on Gause but you are correct
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91271 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

But why?

Did you break some law in New Orleans and this was part of your sentence?




Didn’t know the speaker until arrival. Youngest brother’s graduation.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13725 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:10 pm to
Okay now that the 12Z Euro is out we roughly have these 48 hour positions (42 hours from now):

HWRF - Chandeleur Sound / Rigolets
GFS - Just North of Venice
Euro - Just west of SW Pass

The average is right over the River

ETA: I fixed the GFS location to just north of Venice

This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 1:14 pm
Posted by TypoKnig
Member since Aug 2011
8928 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Okay now that the 12Z Euro is out we roughly have these 48 hour positions (42 hours from now):

HWRF - Chandeleur Sound
GFS - Just east of Venice
Euro - Just west of SW Pass

The average is right over the River


Which of these models has been the most accurate this season? It always seems like some models just have bad years.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
26674 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:14 pm to
HWRF I want to say
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Which of these models has been the most accurate this season? It always seems like some models just have bad years.


Mixed bag, just split the difference at this point.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39830 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:19 pm to
At this point I’m really thinking Sally will be a bust. Too much shear. Lopsided storm with MS taking the brunt of the rainfall. Nothing major in terms of wind.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
26674 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

At this point I’m really thinking Sally will be a bust. Too much shear. Lopsided storm with MS taking the brunt of the rainfall. Nothing major in terms of wind.



Why do yall feel the need to post shite like this
Jump to page
Page First 68 69 70 71 72 ... 298
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 70 of 298Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram